City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Blackburn North

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Blackburn North indicate a 2.1% increase in population under working age, a 12.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Blackburn North - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45196.74945.74955.6-24
5 to 95937.65476.35456.1-48
10 to 144906.35946.95906.7+100
15 to 195607.26417.46227.0+62
20 to 244305.55746.65596.3+129
25 to 294255.55045.85155.8+90
30 to 345557.15836.75876.6+32
35 to 395717.36347.36337.1+62
40 to 446077.86627.66607.4+53
45 to 495827.56287.36227.0+40
50 to 545126.65586.45676.4+55
55 to 594215.44865.65035.7+82
60 to 643224.14234.94334.9+111
65 to 692543.33534.13694.2+115
70 to 742553.33113.63473.9+92
75 to 792703.52573.03163.6+46
80 to 842092.72002.32562.9+47
85 and over1942.52102.42472.8+53
Total persons7,769100.08,658100.08,866100.0+1,097

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 247 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 256 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 316 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 347 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 369 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 433 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 503 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 567 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 622 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 660 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 633 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 587 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 515 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 559 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 622 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 590 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 545 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 495 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 210 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 200 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 257 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 311 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 353 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 423 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 486 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 558 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 628 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 662 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 634 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 583 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 504 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 574 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 641 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 594 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 547 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 494 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 194 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 209 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 270 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 255 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 254 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 322 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 421 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 512 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 582 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 607 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 571 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 555 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 425 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 430 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 560 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 490 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 593 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 519
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 37 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 56 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 59 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 36 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 17 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 10 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 9 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 0 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 12 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: -15 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: -19 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 16 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: -9 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: -13 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 56 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 99 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 101 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 65 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 46 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 46 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 55 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 63 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 28 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 79 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 144 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 81 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 104 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: -46 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: -25
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Blackburn North was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 144 and account for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 662 persons.

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