City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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East St Kilda

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for East St Kilda indicate a 1.5% decrease in population under working age, a 33.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
East St Kilda - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49495.59795.31,0275.2+78
5 to 96453.86033.36363.2-9
10 to 144372.54192.34402.2+3
15 to 194942.95743.15913.0+97
20 to 241,4428.41,6679.11,7628.8+320
25 to 292,98117.42,91815.93,10415.6+123
30 to 342,55414.92,70914.72,88214.5+328
35 to 391,74610.21,95710.62,04110.2+295
40 to 441,2827.51,3847.51,4637.3+181
45 to 491,0636.21,0415.71,1505.8+87
50 to 548585.08894.89774.9+120
55 to 597084.17644.28024.0+93
60 to 646053.56523.57063.5+100
65 to 695083.05513.06383.2+131
70 to 743101.84622.55742.9+264
75 to 792161.33792.14642.3+248
80 to 841831.12451.33541.8+171
85 and over1761.02151.23021.5+126
Total persons17,157100.018,408100.019,913100.0+2,756

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 302 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 354 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 464 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 574 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 638 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 706 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 802 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 977 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,150 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,463 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 2,041 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,882 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 3,104 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,762 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 591 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 440 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 636 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,027 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 215 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 245 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 379 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 462 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 551 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 652 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 764 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 889 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,041 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,384 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,957 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,709 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,918 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,667 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 574 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 419 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 603 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 979 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 176 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 183 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 216 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 310 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 508 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 605 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 708 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 858 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,063 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,282 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,746 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,554 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,981 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,442 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 494 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 437 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 645 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 949
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 87 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 109 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 113 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 88 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 53 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 38 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 89 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 109 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 79 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 84 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 173 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 186 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 95 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 33 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 48 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 62 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 151 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -22 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 211 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 155 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -63 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 81 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -18 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -42 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 29
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in East St Kilda was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 17.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 225 and account for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 2,918 persons.

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