City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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City of Port Phillip

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in City of Port Phillip is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Port Phillip depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • New housing opportunities in St Kilda Road, St Kilda and East St Kilda, which are expected to attract young singles and couples. Post 2021, the Fishermans Bend Urban Renewal development starts, and provides very significant housing opportunities throughout the remainder of the forecast period, again attracting predominantly younger adults, although there will be an element of other age groups and other household types.
  • Affordability and market preference means that some loss of young and established couples and families from the City is expected to occur
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 472 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -87 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -228 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -113 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 15 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -183 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -82 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 251 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 53 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -1,170 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -2,953 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -1,519 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 5,520 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 8,421 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 3,309 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -104 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -832 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -2,263 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 457 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -8 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -201 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -118 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 37 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -92 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 45 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 191 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 102 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -1,083 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -2,754 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,021 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 5,953 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 8,195 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,016 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -777 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -2,024 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 277 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -37 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -135 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -146 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 6 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -30 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 101 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 249 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -79 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -973 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -2,794 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -1,973 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 4,629 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 7,172 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,639 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -33 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -542 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -1,989 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 472 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -87 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -228 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -113 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 15 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -183 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -82 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 251 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 53 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -1,170 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -2,953 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -1,519 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 5,520 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 8,421 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 3,309 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -104 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -832 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -2,263 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 457 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -8 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -201 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -118 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 37 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -92 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 45 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 191 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 102 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -1,083 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -2,754 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,021 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 5,953 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 8,195 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,016 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -777 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -2,024 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 277 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -37 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -135 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -146 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 6 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -30 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 101 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 249 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -79 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -973 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -2,794 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -1,973 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 4,629 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 7,172 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,639 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -33 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -542 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -1,989
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2019.
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