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City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast

St Kilda Road

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for St Kilda Road indicate a 60.8% increase in population under working age, a 18.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 29.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
St Kilda Road - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42443.14504.44684.2+224
5 to 91622.01931.92802.5+118
10 to 14911.11561.52141.9+123
15 to 191201.52692.62992.7+179
20 to 245817.39469.28858.0+304
25 to 291,32616.71,64816.01,55214.0+226
30 to 341,22115.41,54314.91,47413.3+253
35 to 3993611.81,10210.71,11610.1+180
40 to 446207.88057.88517.7+231
45 to 494595.86426.27456.7+286
50 to 543524.44524.45985.4+246
55 to 593634.64063.95404.9+177
60 to 643264.13663.54554.1+129
65 to 692843.63183.13753.4+91
70 to 742793.52872.83333.0+54
75 to 792202.82842.83152.8+95
80 to 841301.62222.12782.5+148
85 and over2242.82402.33132.8+89
Total persons7,938100.010,329100.011,090100.0+3,152
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in St Kilda Road was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 16.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 365 and account for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,648 persons.

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