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East St Kilda

Components of population change

The greatest population change for East St Kilda is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 876 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
East St KildaForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,2781,3001,3021,3171,345
Deaths--398421443466492
Natural increase/decrease--881879858851853
Net migration---5-504-353-330-374
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--00000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 95 2040 forecast population change: 95 2039 forecast population change: 97 2038 forecast population change: 96 2037 forecast population change: 95 2036 forecast population change: 94 2035 forecast population change: 96 2034 forecast population change: 103 2033 forecast population change: 103 2032 forecast population change: 125 2031 forecast population change: 98 2030 forecast population change: 96 2029 forecast population change: 98 2028 forecast population change: 94 2027 forecast population change: 119 2026 forecast population change: 99 2025 forecast population change: 75 2024 forecast population change: 66 2023 forecast population change: 61 2022 forecast population change: 74 2021 forecast population change: 70 2020 forecast population change: 58 2019 forecast population change: 142 2018 forecast population change: 200 2017 forecast population change: 406
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 172 2040 Natural increase: 171 2039 Natural increase: 170 2038 Natural increase: 170 2037 Natural increase: 170 2036 Natural increase: 170 2035 Natural increase: 170 2034 Natural increase: 170 2033 Natural increase: 170 2032 Natural increase: 170 2031 Natural increase: 171 2030 Natural increase: 172 2029 Natural increase: 172 2028 Natural increase: 172 2027 Natural increase: 172 2026 Natural increase: 173 2025 Natural increase: 174 2024 Natural increase: 176 2023 Natural increase: 178 2022 Natural increase: 179 2021 Natural increase: 179 2020 Natural increase: 179 2019 Natural increase: 178 2018 Natural increase: 176 2017 Natural increase: 168 2041 Total deaths: 101 2040 Total deaths: 99 2039 Total deaths: 98 2038 Total deaths: 97 2037 Total deaths: 96 2036 Total deaths: 95 2035 Total deaths: 94 2034 Total deaths: 93 2033 Total deaths: 92 2032 Total deaths: 91 2031 Total deaths: 90 2030 Total deaths: 89 2029 Total deaths: 89 2028 Total deaths: 88 2027 Total deaths: 87 2026 Total deaths: 87 2025 Total deaths: 86 2024 Total deaths: 84 2023 Total deaths: 83 2022 Total deaths: 82 2021 Total deaths: 81 2020 Total deaths: 80 2019 Total deaths: 79 2018 Total deaths: 78 2017 Total deaths: 79 2041 Total births: 273 2040 Total births: 270 2039 Total births: 269 2038 Total births: 267 2037 Total births: 266 2036 Total births: 265 2035 Total births: 264 2034 Total births: 263 2033 Total births: 263 2032 Total births: 262 2031 Total births: 261 2030 Total births: 261 2029 Total births: 260 2028 Total births: 260 2027 Total births: 260 2026 Total births: 259 2025 Total births: 260 2024 Total births: 260 2023 Total births: 260 2022 Total births: 260 2021 Total births: 260 2020 Total births: 260 2019 Total births: 257 2018 Total births: 254 2017 Total births: 247 2041 Natural increase: 172 2040 Natural increase: 171 2039 Natural increase: 170 2038 Natural increase: 170 2037 Natural increase: 170 2036 Natural increase: 170 2035 Natural increase: 170 2034 Natural increase: 170 2033 Natural increase: 170 2032 Natural increase: 170 2031 Natural increase: 171 2030 Natural increase: 172 2029 Natural increase: 172 2028 Natural increase: 172 2027 Natural increase: 172 2026 Natural increase: 173 2025 Natural increase: 174 2024 Natural increase: 176 2023 Natural increase: 178 2022 Natural increase: 179 2021 Natural increase: 179 2020 Natural increase: 179 2019 Natural increase: 178 2018 Natural increase: 176 2017 Natural increase: 168 2041 Total deaths: 101 2040 Total deaths: 99 2039 Total deaths: 98 2038 Total deaths: 97 2037 Total deaths: 96 2036 Total deaths: 95 2035 Total deaths: 94 2034 Total deaths: 93 2033 Total deaths: 92 2032 Total deaths: 91 2031 Total deaths: 90 2030 Total deaths: 89 2029 Total deaths: 89 2028 Total deaths: 88 2027 Total deaths: 87 2026 Total deaths: 87 2025 Total deaths: 86 2024 Total deaths: 84 2023 Total deaths: 83 2022 Total deaths: 82 2021 Total deaths: 81 2020 Total deaths: 80 2019 Total deaths: 79 2018 Total deaths: 78 2017 Total deaths: 79 2041 Total births: 273 2040 Total births: 270 2039 Total births: 269 2038 Total births: 267 2037 Total births: 266 2036 Total births: 265 2035 Total births: 264 2034 Total births: 263 2033 Total births: 263 2032 Total births: 262 2031 Total births: 261 2030 Total births: 261 2029 Total births: 260 2028 Total births: 260 2027 Total births: 260 2026 Total births: 259 2025 Total births: 260 2024 Total births: 260 2023 Total births: 260 2022 Total births: 260 2021 Total births: 260 2020 Total births: 260 2019 Total births: 257 2018 Total births: 254 2017 Total births: 247
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -76 2040 Total net migration: -75 2039 Total net migration: -74 2038 Total net migration: -74 2037 Total net migration: -75 2036 Total net migration: -76 2035 Total net migration: -74 2034 Total net migration: -67 2033 Total net migration: -68 2032 Total net migration: -45 2031 Total net migration: -73 2030 Total net migration: -75 2029 Total net migration: -73 2028 Total net migration: -78 2027 Total net migration: -53 2026 Total net migration: -74 2025 Total net migration: -99 2024 Total net migration: -110 2023 Total net migration: -117 2022 Total net migration: -104 2021 Total net migration: -109 2020 Total net migration: -121 2019 Total net migration: -36 2018 Total net migration: 24 2017 Total net migration: 238 2041 Total out migration: 3,059 2040 Total out migration: 3,047 2039 Total out migration: 3,034 2038 Total out migration: 3,021 2037 Total out migration: 3,008 2036 Total out migration: 2,995 2035 Total out migration: 2,982 2034 Total out migration: 2,968 2033 Total out migration: 2,954 2032 Total out migration: 2,935 2031 Total out migration: 2,922 2030 Total out migration: 2,910 2029 Total out migration: 2,898 2028 Total out migration: 2,885 2027 Total out migration: 2,867 2026 Total out migration: 2,854 2025 Total out migration: 2,846 2024 Total out migration: 2,841 2023 Total out migration: 2,839 2022 Total out migration: 2,835 2021 Total out migration: 2,831 2020 Total out migration: 2,830 2019 Total out migration: 2,811 2018 Total out migration: 2,778 2017 Total out migration: 2,716 2041 Total in migration: 2,983 2040 Total in migration: 2,972 2039 Total in migration: 2,960 2038 Total in migration: 2,947 2037 Total in migration: 2,933 2036 Total in migration: 2,919 2035 Total in migration: 2,908 2034 Total in migration: 2,901 2033 Total in migration: 2,886 2032 Total in migration: 2,890 2031 Total in migration: 2,849 2030 Total in migration: 2,834 2029 Total in migration: 2,825 2028 Total in migration: 2,807 2027 Total in migration: 2,814 2026 Total in migration: 2,780 2025 Total in migration: 2,747 2024 Total in migration: 2,732 2023 Total in migration: 2,723 2022 Total in migration: 2,730 2021 Total in migration: 2,722 2020 Total in migration: 2,709 2019 Total in migration: 2,775 2018 Total in migration: 2,802 2017 Total in migration: 2,953 2041 Total net migration: -76 2040 Total net migration: -75 2039 Total net migration: -74 2038 Total net migration: -74 2037 Total net migration: -75 2036 Total net migration: -76 2035 Total net migration: -74 2034 Total net migration: -67 2033 Total net migration: -68 2032 Total net migration: -45 2031 Total net migration: -73 2030 Total net migration: -75 2029 Total net migration: -73 2028 Total net migration: -78 2027 Total net migration: -53 2026 Total net migration: -74 2025 Total net migration: -99 2024 Total net migration: -110 2023 Total net migration: -117 2022 Total net migration: -104 2021 Total net migration: -109 2020 Total net migration: -121 2019 Total net migration: -36 2018 Total net migration: 24 2017 Total net migration: 238 2041 Total out migration: 3,059 2040 Total out migration: 3,047 2039 Total out migration: 3,034 2038 Total out migration: 3,021 2037 Total out migration: 3,008 2036 Total out migration: 2,995 2035 Total out migration: 2,982 2034 Total out migration: 2,968 2033 Total out migration: 2,954 2032 Total out migration: 2,935 2031 Total out migration: 2,922 2030 Total out migration: 2,910 2029 Total out migration: 2,898 2028 Total out migration: 2,885 2027 Total out migration: 2,867 2026 Total out migration: 2,854 2025 Total out migration: 2,846 2024 Total out migration: 2,841 2023 Total out migration: 2,839 2022 Total out migration: 2,835 2021 Total out migration: 2,831 2020 Total out migration: 2,830 2019 Total out migration: 2,811 2018 Total out migration: 2,778 2017 Total out migration: 2,716 2041 Total in migration: 2,983 2040 Total in migration: 2,972 2039 Total in migration: 2,960 2038 Total in migration: 2,947 2037 Total in migration: 2,933 2036 Total in migration: 2,919 2035 Total in migration: 2,908 2034 Total in migration: 2,901 2033 Total in migration: 2,886 2032 Total in migration: 2,890 2031 Total in migration: 2,849 2030 Total in migration: 2,834 2029 Total in migration: 2,825 2028 Total in migration: 2,807 2027 Total in migration: 2,814 2026 Total in migration: 2,780 2025 Total in migration: 2,747 2024 Total in migration: 2,732 2023 Total in migration: 2,723 2022 Total in migration: 2,730 2021 Total in migration: 2,722 2020 Total in migration: 2,709 2019 Total in migration: 2,775 2018 Total in migration: 2,802 2017 Total in migration: 2,953
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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