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City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast

St Kilda

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for St Kilda indicate a 25.7% increase in population under working age, a 46.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
St Kilda - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46823.11,0624.01,1474.0+465
5 to 94722.25172.07482.6+275
10 to 144772.24711.86392.2+162
15 to 195562.57803.08302.9+274
20 to 241,3736.32,2178.42,1717.6+798
25 to 293,13714.34,00515.23,99913.9+863
30 to 343,16814.43,57213.63,66612.8+498
35 to 392,45611.22,4389.22,5689.0+112
40 to 441,6857.71,9337.31,9646.8+279
45 to 491,5697.11,5996.11,7376.1+168
50 to 541,4246.51,5345.81,6055.6+181
55 to 591,3806.31,4555.51,5685.5+187
60 to 641,2315.61,3135.01,3904.8+159
65 to 698493.91,1024.21,2164.2+367
70 to 747333.37793.01,0363.6+303
75 to 794111.96752.68823.1+471
80 to 842181.04091.67122.5+494
85 and over1490.74961.97942.8+645
Total persons21,970100.026,358100.028,671100.0+6,701
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in St Kilda was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 14.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 869 and account for 15.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 4,005 persons.

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