City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Port Phillip

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Port Phillip indicate a 2.8% increase in population under working age, a 33.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 24.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Port Phillip - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,4635.05,9264.47,3074.3+1,844
5 to 9 4,1233.83,9443.04,7162.8+593
10 to 14 3,2103.03,2842.53,8242.3+614
15 to 19 3,1322.95,0653.86,1733.7+3,041
20 to 24 7,4586.912,3069.216,0699.5+8,611
25 to 29 14,19413.118,38413.823,36013.9+9,166
30 to 34 14,45113.316,84612.621,06312.5+6,612
35 to 39 10,3829.612,6969.515,7349.3+5,352
40 to 44 8,6097.99,8607.412,1517.2+3,542
45 to 49 7,6577.18,1046.110,2036.1+2,546
50 to 54 6,5546.07,6325.79,2765.5+2,722
55 to 59 6,0235.57,0055.28,5005.0+2,477
60 to 64 4,9044.55,9624.57,4704.4+2,566
65 to 69 4,4444.15,1003.86,5143.9+2,070
70 to 74 3,0452.83,8152.95,3503.2+2,305
75 to 79 2,0371.93,1962.44,2682.5+2,231
80 to 84 1,3491.22,0931.63,1071.8+1,758
85 and over1,5231.42,3011.73,4642.1+1,941
Total persons108,558100.0133,520100.0168,549100.0+59,991

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 3,464 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 3,107 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 4,268 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 5,350 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 6,514 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 7,470 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 8,500 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 9,276 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 10,203 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 12,151 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 15,734 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 21,063 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 23,360 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 16,069 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 6,173 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 3,824 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 4,716 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 7,307 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,301 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,093 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,196 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,815 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 5,100 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 5,962 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 7,005 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 7,632 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 8,104 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 9,860 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 12,696 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 16,846 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 18,384 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 12,306 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 5,065 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 3,284 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 3,944 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,926 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,523 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,349 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,037 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 3,045 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,444 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 4,904 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 6,023 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 6,554 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 7,657 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 8,609 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 10,382 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 14,451 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 14,194 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 7,458 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 3,132 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 3,210 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4,123 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,463
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 1,163 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,014 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 1,072 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 1,535 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 1,413 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 1,508 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 1,495 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 1,644 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 2,099 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 2,291 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 3,038 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 4,217 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 4,976 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 3,763 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 1,108 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 539 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 772 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 1,381 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 778 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 744 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,159 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 770 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 656 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,058 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 982 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 1,078 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 447 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,251 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 2,314 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 2,395 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 4,190 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 4,847 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 1,933 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 74 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -179 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 463
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Port Phillip was ages 30 to 34 , which accounted for 13.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24 , which is expected to increase by 4,847 and account for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 18,384 persons.

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