City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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City of Port Phillip

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in City of Port Phillip is 'Young workforce (25 to 34)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Port Phillip - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)5,4635.05,9264.47,3074.3+1,844
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)5,4885.15,2824.06,2693.7+781
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3,5183.24,3813.35,1383.0+1,620
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)8,9178.214,93611.219,37411.5+10,457
Young workforce (25 to 34)28,64526.435,23026.444,42326.4+15,778
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)26,64824.530,66123.038,08922.6+11,441
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)12,57711.614,63711.017,77610.5+5,199
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)9,3488.611,0638.313,9848.3+4,636
Seniors (70 to 84)6,4315.99,1046.812,7257.5+6,294
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,5231.42,3011.73,4642.1+1,941
Total persons108,558100.0133,520100.0168,549100.0+59,991

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 3,464 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2041: 12,725 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2041: 13,984 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2041: 17,776 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2041: 38,089 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2041: 44,423 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2041: 19,374 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2041: 5,138 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2041: 6,269 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 7,307 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,301 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 9,104 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 11,063 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 14,637 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 30,661 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 35,230 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 14,936 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 4,381 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 5,282 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,926 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,523 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 6,431 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 9,348 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 12,577 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 26,648 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 28,645 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 8,917 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 3,518 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 5,488 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,463
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 1,163 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2041: 3,621 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2041: 2,921 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2041: 3,139 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2041: 7,428 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2041: 9,193 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2041: 4,438 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2041: 758 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2041: 987 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 1,381 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 778 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 2,673 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,715 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 2,060 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 4,013 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 6,585 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 6,019 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 863 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: -206 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 463
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In City of Port Phillip between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 1,120 (7.7%), and will comprise 11.7% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 5,166 (29.9%) and comprise 16.8% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Young workforce (25 to 34)', with a total of 35,230 persons.

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