City of DarebinPopulation forecast
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Thornbury (East)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Thornbury (East) will increase by an average of 55 dwellings per annum to 6,498 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Darebin. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • 299-305 Victoria Road - 20 dwellings (2017)
  • Lomandra - 22 dwellings (2018)
  • 556 - 560 High Street - 16 dwellings (2018)
  • Hive Thornbury - 66 dwellings (2019)
  • 752 High Street - 14 dwellings (2020)
  • 13 Pender Street - 12 dwellings (2020)
  • 52-56 Clyde Street - 17 dwellings (2021)
  • 46-48 Clyde Street - 11 dwellings (2021)
  • 112 Dundas Street - 12 dwellings (2021)
  • 658-664 High Street - 28 dwellings (2022)
  • Le Pine Funerals Site - 41 dwellings (2023)
  • 7 Clarendon Street - 14 dwellings (2024)
  • 16-18 Clarendon Street - 11 dwellings (2026)
  • High level of infill development (40-45 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 6,498 2040 Total dwellings: 6,453 2039 Total dwellings: 6,408 2038 Total dwellings: 6,363 2037 Total dwellings: 6,318 2036 Total dwellings: 6,273 2035 Total dwellings: 6,228 2034 Total dwellings: 6,183 2033 Total dwellings: 6,138 2032 Total dwellings: 6,093 2031 Total dwellings: 6,048 2030 Total dwellings: 6,003 2029 Total dwellings: 5,958 2028 Total dwellings: 5,918 2027 Total dwellings: 5,878 2026 Total dwellings: 5,838 2025 Total dwellings: 5,787 2024 Total dwellings: 5,747 2023 Total dwellings: 5,693 2022 Total dwellings: 5,612 2021 Total dwellings: 5,544 2020 Total dwellings: 5,464 2019 Total dwellings: 5,390 2018 Total dwellings: 5,284 2017 Total dwellings: 5,203 2041 Total dwellings: 6,498 2040 Total dwellings: 6,453 2039 Total dwellings: 6,408 2038 Total dwellings: 6,363 2037 Total dwellings: 6,318 2036 Total dwellings: 6,273 2035 Total dwellings: 6,228 2034 Total dwellings: 6,183 2033 Total dwellings: 6,138 2032 Total dwellings: 6,093 2031 Total dwellings: 6,048 2030 Total dwellings: 6,003 2029 Total dwellings: 5,958 2028 Total dwellings: 5,918 2027 Total dwellings: 5,878 2026 Total dwellings: 5,838 2025 Total dwellings: 5,787 2024 Total dwellings: 5,747 2023 Total dwellings: 5,693 2022 Total dwellings: 5,612 2021 Total dwellings: 5,544 2020 Total dwellings: 5,464 2019 Total dwellings: 5,390 2018 Total dwellings: 5,284 2017 Total dwellings: 5,203 2041 Forecast development: 45 2040 Forecast development: 45 2039 Forecast development: 45 2038 Forecast development: 45 2037 Forecast development: 45 2036 Forecast development: 45 2035 Forecast development: 45 2034 Forecast development: 45 2033 Forecast development: 45 2032 Forecast development: 45 2031 Forecast development: 45 2030 Forecast development: 45 2029 Forecast development: 40 2028 Forecast development: 40 2027 Forecast development: 40 2026 Forecast development: 51 2025 Forecast development: 40 2024 Forecast development: 54 2023 Forecast development: 81 2022 Forecast development: 68 2021 Forecast development: 80 2020 Forecast development: 74 2019 Forecast development: 106 2018 Forecast development: 81 2017 Forecast development: 75
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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