City of DarebinPopulation forecast
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Fairfield

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Fairfield will increase by an average of 52 dwellings per annum to 3,965 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Darebin. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • Thirty Station Street - 27 dwellings (2017)
  • 66 Station Street - 14 dwellings (2019)
  • Greenwich Fairfield - 77 dwellings (2020)
  • 37 Gillies Street - 10 dwellings (2020)
  • 167-173 Station Street - 18 dwellings (2020)
  • Nightingale 2.0 - 20 dwellings (2020)
  • Fairfield Village - 817 dwellings (2021-2041)
  • 29-31 Railway Place - 25 dwellings (2021)
  • 71-73 Station Street - 25 dwellings (2021)
  • 32-40 Station Street - 56 dwellings (2022)
  • 137 Station Street - 10 dwellings (2022)
  • 215-217 Arthur Street - 10 dwellings (2023)
  • Low-moderate level of infill development (5-10 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 3,965 2040 Total dwellings: 3,919 2039 Total dwellings: 3,868 2038 Total dwellings: 3,817 2037 Total dwellings: 3,766 2036 Total dwellings: 3,715 2035 Total dwellings: 3,664 2034 Total dwellings: 3,613 2033 Total dwellings: 3,562 2032 Total dwellings: 3,514 2031 Total dwellings: 3,461 2030 Total dwellings: 3,409 2029 Total dwellings: 3,357 2028 Total dwellings: 3,307 2027 Total dwellings: 3,254 2026 Total dwellings: 3,210 2025 Total dwellings: 3,164 2024 Total dwellings: 3,120 2023 Total dwellings: 3,078 2022 Total dwellings: 3,029 2021 Total dwellings: 2,948 2020 Total dwellings: 2,885 2019 Total dwellings: 2,740 2018 Total dwellings: 2,718 2017 Total dwellings: 2,701 2041 Total dwellings: 3,965 2040 Total dwellings: 3,919 2039 Total dwellings: 3,868 2038 Total dwellings: 3,817 2037 Total dwellings: 3,766 2036 Total dwellings: 3,715 2035 Total dwellings: 3,664 2034 Total dwellings: 3,613 2033 Total dwellings: 3,562 2032 Total dwellings: 3,514 2031 Total dwellings: 3,461 2030 Total dwellings: 3,409 2029 Total dwellings: 3,357 2028 Total dwellings: 3,307 2027 Total dwellings: 3,254 2026 Total dwellings: 3,210 2025 Total dwellings: 3,164 2024 Total dwellings: 3,120 2023 Total dwellings: 3,078 2022 Total dwellings: 3,029 2021 Total dwellings: 2,948 2020 Total dwellings: 2,885 2019 Total dwellings: 2,740 2018 Total dwellings: 2,718 2017 Total dwellings: 2,701 2041 Forecast development: 46 2040 Forecast development: 51 2039 Forecast development: 51 2038 Forecast development: 51 2037 Forecast development: 51 2036 Forecast development: 51 2035 Forecast development: 51 2034 Forecast development: 51 2033 Forecast development: 48 2032 Forecast development: 53 2031 Forecast development: 52 2030 Forecast development: 52 2029 Forecast development: 50 2028 Forecast development: 53 2027 Forecast development: 44 2026 Forecast development: 46 2025 Forecast development: 44 2024 Forecast development: 42 2023 Forecast development: 49 2022 Forecast development: 81 2021 Forecast development: 63 2020 Forecast development: 145 2019 Forecast development: 22 2018 Forecast development: 17 2017 Forecast development: 37
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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