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City of DarebinPopulation forecast

City of Darebin

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in the City of Darebin is forecast to grow from 64,180 in 2016 to 96,311 in 2041, with the average household size rising from 2.46 to 2.44 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Darebin. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
City of DarebinForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population155,016173,386189,985204,136217,186230,118
Change in population (5yrs)--18,37016,59914,15013,05012,932
Average annual change--2.27%1.85%1.45%1.25%1.16%
Households61,64868,46174,91881,02386,78392,629
Average household size2.462.482.482.472.452.44
Population in non private dwellings3,4733,6133,9093,9394,2514,251
Dwellings64,18071,27777,99584,28090,21596,311
Dwelling occupancy rate96.0596.0596.0596.1496.2096.18
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of the City of Darebin was estimated to be 155,016 people. It is expected to increase by over 49,120 people to 204,136 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.79%. This is based on an increase of over 19,375 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.46 to 2.47 by 2026.

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