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City of DarebinPopulation forecast

City of Darebin

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Darebin indicate a 26.9% increase in population under working age, a 19.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 22.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Darebin is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Darebin - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49,5966.212,3836.514,2486.2+4,652
5 to 98,3455.410,4995.512,2725.3+3,927
10 to 146,9414.58,6914.610,5694.6+3,628
15 to 197,3874.89,7765.111,7155.1+4,328
20 to 2412,5088.115,0317.917,7607.7+5,252
25 to 2915,70210.118,2439.621,6039.4+5,900
30 to 3415,1789.818,5389.821,7099.4+6,531
35 to 3912,4258.016,8138.819,7018.6+7,276
40 to 4411,4837.414,4997.617,2997.5+5,816
45 to 4910,8117.011,7596.215,0016.5+4,191
50 to 548,9515.810,4515.513,3155.8+4,364
55 to 597,9055.19,6005.111,4725.0+3,567
60 to 646,2664.07,9164.29,6094.2+3,343
65 to 695,4593.56,9433.78,5013.7+3,042
70 to 744,4372.95,7083.07,7923.4+3,355
75 to 794,2672.84,9482.66,7242.9+2,457
80 to 843,5752.33,9172.15,6222.4+2,048
85 and over3,7842.44,2702.25,2072.3+1,423
Total persons155,016100.0189,985100.0230,118100.0+75,102
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Darebin was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 4,389 and account for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 18,538 persons.

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