City of DarebinPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Darebin

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Darebin is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 18,369 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of DarebinForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--11,95713,21613,98714,63315,302
Deaths--5,7606,1346,5107,0347,650
Natural increase/decrease--6,1977,0827,4777,5997,653
Net migration--12,0339,2226,6445,1405,280
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--140296303120

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 2,507 2040 forecast population change: 2,598 2039 forecast population change: 2,655 2038 forecast population change: 2,590 2037 forecast population change: 2,582 2036 forecast population change: 2,565 2035 forecast population change: 2,535 2034 forecast population change: 2,661 2033 forecast population change: 2,570 2032 forecast population change: 2,719 2031 forecast population change: 2,614 2030 forecast population change: 2,792 2029 forecast population change: 2,994 2028 forecast population change: 2,897 2027 forecast population change: 2,853 2026 forecast population change: 2,946 2025 forecast population change: 3,201 2024 forecast population change: 3,315 2023 forecast population change: 3,210 2022 forecast population change: 3,928 2021 forecast population change: 3,853 2020 forecast population change: 4,224 2019 forecast population change: 4,061 2018 forecast population change: 2,942 2017 forecast population change: 3,291
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 1,548 2040 Natural increase: 1,539 2039 Natural increase: 1,528 2038 Natural increase: 1,521 2037 Natural increase: 1,517 2036 Natural increase: 1,519 2035 Natural increase: 1,520 2034 Natural increase: 1,520 2033 Natural increase: 1,522 2032 Natural increase: 1,518 2031 Natural increase: 1,512 2030 Natural increase: 1,505 2029 Natural increase: 1,496 2028 Natural increase: 1,486 2027 Natural increase: 1,477 2026 Natural increase: 1,460 2025 Natural increase: 1,443 2024 Natural increase: 1,422 2023 Natural increase: 1,397 2022 Natural increase: 1,359 2021 Natural increase: 1,323 2020 Natural increase: 1,272 2019 Natural increase: 1,227 2018 Natural increase: 1,202 2017 Natural increase: 1,174 2041 Total deaths: 1,572 2040 Total deaths: 1,552 2039 Total deaths: 1,532 2038 Total deaths: 1,510 2037 Total deaths: 1,485 2036 Total deaths: 1,457 2035 Total deaths: 1,430 2034 Total deaths: 1,406 2033 Total deaths: 1,381 2032 Total deaths: 1,360 2031 Total deaths: 1,342 2030 Total deaths: 1,321 2029 Total deaths: 1,299 2028 Total deaths: 1,282 2027 Total deaths: 1,266 2026 Total deaths: 1,253 2025 Total deaths: 1,239 2024 Total deaths: 1,228 2023 Total deaths: 1,215 2022 Total deaths: 1,200 2021 Total deaths: 1,183 2020 Total deaths: 1,172 2019 Total deaths: 1,152 2018 Total deaths: 1,136 2017 Total deaths: 1,117 2041 Total births: 3,120 2040 Total births: 3,090 2039 Total births: 3,059 2038 Total births: 3,030 2037 Total births: 3,002 2036 Total births: 2,976 2035 Total births: 2,950 2034 Total births: 2,926 2033 Total births: 2,903 2032 Total births: 2,878 2031 Total births: 2,854 2030 Total births: 2,826 2029 Total births: 2,795 2028 Total births: 2,769 2027 Total births: 2,743 2026 Total births: 2,713 2025 Total births: 2,683 2024 Total births: 2,649 2023 Total births: 2,612 2022 Total births: 2,559 2021 Total births: 2,506 2020 Total births: 2,443 2019 Total births: 2,378 2018 Total births: 2,338 2017 Total births: 2,291 2041 Natural increase: 1,548 2040 Natural increase: 1,539 2039 Natural increase: 1,528 2038 Natural increase: 1,521 2037 Natural increase: 1,517 2036 Natural increase: 1,519 2035 Natural increase: 1,520 2034 Natural increase: 1,520 2033 Natural increase: 1,522 2032 Natural increase: 1,518 2031 Natural increase: 1,512 2030 Natural increase: 1,505 2029 Natural increase: 1,496 2028 Natural increase: 1,486 2027 Natural increase: 1,477 2026 Natural increase: 1,460 2025 Natural increase: 1,443 2024 Natural increase: 1,422 2023 Natural increase: 1,397 2022 Natural increase: 1,359 2021 Natural increase: 1,323 2020 Natural increase: 1,272 2019 Natural increase: 1,227 2018 Natural increase: 1,202 2017 Natural increase: 1,174 2041 Total deaths: 1,572 2040 Total deaths: 1,552 2039 Total deaths: 1,532 2038 Total deaths: 1,510 2037 Total deaths: 1,485 2036 Total deaths: 1,457 2035 Total deaths: 1,430 2034 Total deaths: 1,406 2033 Total deaths: 1,381 2032 Total deaths: 1,360 2031 Total deaths: 1,342 2030 Total deaths: 1,321 2029 Total deaths: 1,299 2028 Total deaths: 1,282 2027 Total deaths: 1,266 2026 Total deaths: 1,253 2025 Total deaths: 1,239 2024 Total deaths: 1,228 2023 Total deaths: 1,215 2022 Total deaths: 1,200 2021 Total deaths: 1,183 2020 Total deaths: 1,172 2019 Total deaths: 1,152 2018 Total deaths: 1,136 2017 Total deaths: 1,117 2041 Total births: 3,120 2040 Total births: 3,090 2039 Total births: 3,059 2038 Total births: 3,030 2037 Total births: 3,002 2036 Total births: 2,976 2035 Total births: 2,950 2034 Total births: 2,926 2033 Total births: 2,903 2032 Total births: 2,878 2031 Total births: 2,854 2030 Total births: 2,826 2029 Total births: 2,795 2028 Total births: 2,769 2027 Total births: 2,743 2026 Total births: 2,713 2025 Total births: 2,683 2024 Total births: 2,649 2023 Total births: 2,612 2022 Total births: 2,559 2021 Total births: 2,506 2020 Total births: 2,443 2019 Total births: 2,378 2018 Total births: 2,338 2017 Total births: 2,291
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 959 2040 Total net migration: 1,059 2039 Total net migration: 1,128 2038 Total net migration: 1,069 2037 Total net migration: 1,065 2036 Total net migration: 1,046 2035 Total net migration: 1,015 2034 Total net migration: 1,008 2033 Total net migration: 971 2032 Total net migration: 1,099 2031 Total net migration: 1,101 2030 Total net migration: 1,287 2029 Total net migration: 1,498 2028 Total net migration: 1,381 2027 Total net migration: 1,376 2026 Total net migration: 1,486 2025 Total net migration: 1,638 2024 Total net migration: 1,727 2023 Total net migration: 1,802 2022 Total net migration: 2,568 2021 Total net migration: 2,530 2020 Total net migration: 2,897 2019 Total net migration: 2,779 2018 Total net migration: 1,740 2017 Total net migration: 2,087 2041 Total out migration: 20,436 2040 Total out migration: 20,209 2039 Total out migration: 19,978 2038 Total out migration: 19,755 2037 Total out migration: 19,534 2036 Total out migration: 19,317 2035 Total out migration: 19,106 2034 Total out migration: 18,896 2033 Total out migration: 18,692 2032 Total out migration: 18,474 2031 Total out migration: 18,256 2030 Total out migration: 18,017 2029 Total out migration: 17,757 2028 Total out migration: 17,513 2027 Total out migration: 17,267 2026 Total out migration: 17,014 2025 Total out migration: 16,743 2024 Total out migration: 16,459 2023 Total out migration: 16,171 2022 Total out migration: 15,790 2021 Total out migration: 15,417 2020 Total out migration: 15,008 2019 Total out migration: 14,610 2018 Total out migration: 14,341 2017 Total out migration: 13,986 2041 Total in migration: 21,395 2040 Total in migration: 21,268 2039 Total in migration: 21,106 2038 Total in migration: 20,824 2037 Total in migration: 20,599 2036 Total in migration: 20,363 2035 Total in migration: 20,121 2034 Total in migration: 19,904 2033 Total in migration: 19,663 2032 Total in migration: 19,573 2031 Total in migration: 19,357 2030 Total in migration: 19,304 2029 Total in migration: 19,255 2028 Total in migration: 18,894 2027 Total in migration: 18,643 2026 Total in migration: 18,500 2025 Total in migration: 18,381 2024 Total in migration: 18,187 2023 Total in migration: 17,973 2022 Total in migration: 18,358 2021 Total in migration: 17,947 2020 Total in migration: 17,905 2019 Total in migration: 17,389 2018 Total in migration: 16,081 2017 Total in migration: 16,073 2041 Total net migration: 959 2040 Total net migration: 1,059 2039 Total net migration: 1,128 2038 Total net migration: 1,069 2037 Total net migration: 1,065 2036 Total net migration: 1,046 2035 Total net migration: 1,015 2034 Total net migration: 1,008 2033 Total net migration: 971 2032 Total net migration: 1,099 2031 Total net migration: 1,101 2030 Total net migration: 1,287 2029 Total net migration: 1,498 2028 Total net migration: 1,381 2027 Total net migration: 1,376 2026 Total net migration: 1,486 2025 Total net migration: 1,638 2024 Total net migration: 1,727 2023 Total net migration: 1,802 2022 Total net migration: 2,568 2021 Total net migration: 2,530 2020 Total net migration: 2,897 2019 Total net migration: 2,779 2018 Total net migration: 1,740 2017 Total net migration: 2,087 2041 Total out migration: 20,436 2040 Total out migration: 20,209 2039 Total out migration: 19,978 2038 Total out migration: 19,755 2037 Total out migration: 19,534 2036 Total out migration: 19,317 2035 Total out migration: 19,106 2034 Total out migration: 18,896 2033 Total out migration: 18,692 2032 Total out migration: 18,474 2031 Total out migration: 18,256 2030 Total out migration: 18,017 2029 Total out migration: 17,757 2028 Total out migration: 17,513 2027 Total out migration: 17,267 2026 Total out migration: 17,014 2025 Total out migration: 16,743 2024 Total out migration: 16,459 2023 Total out migration: 16,171 2022 Total out migration: 15,790 2021 Total out migration: 15,417 2020 Total out migration: 15,008 2019 Total out migration: 14,610 2018 Total out migration: 14,341 2017 Total out migration: 13,986 2041 Total in migration: 21,395 2040 Total in migration: 21,268 2039 Total in migration: 21,106 2038 Total in migration: 20,824 2037 Total in migration: 20,599 2036 Total in migration: 20,363 2035 Total in migration: 20,121 2034 Total in migration: 19,904 2033 Total in migration: 19,663 2032 Total in migration: 19,573 2031 Total in migration: 19,357 2030 Total in migration: 19,304 2029 Total in migration: 19,255 2028 Total in migration: 18,894 2027 Total in migration: 18,643 2026 Total in migration: 18,500 2025 Total in migration: 18,381 2024 Total in migration: 18,187 2023 Total in migration: 17,973 2022 Total in migration: 18,358 2021 Total in migration: 17,947 2020 Total in migration: 17,905 2019 Total in migration: 17,389 2018 Total in migration: 16,081 2017 Total in migration: 16,073
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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