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Thornbury (East)

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Thornbury (East) is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,211 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Thornbury (East)Forecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--9491,0041,0121,0161,030
Deaths--418439451474511
Natural increase/decrease--531565561543519
Net migration--680253-80-100-77
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--029000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 90 2040 forecast population change: 90 2039 forecast population change: 88 2038 forecast population change: 88 2037 forecast population change: 86 2036 forecast population change: 91 2035 forecast population change: 89 2034 forecast population change: 85 2033 forecast population change: 87 2032 forecast population change: 91 2031 forecast population change: 100 2030 forecast population change: 101 2029 forecast population change: 88 2028 forecast population change: 100 2027 forecast population change: 93 2026 forecast population change: 135 2025 forecast population change: 138 2024 forecast population change: 139 2023 forecast population change: 238 2022 forecast population change: 196 2021 forecast population change: 219 2020 forecast population change: 214 2019 forecast population change: 295 2018 forecast population change: 247 2017 forecast population change: 237
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 104 2040 Natural increase: 104 2039 Natural increase: 103 2038 Natural increase: 104 2037 Natural increase: 104 2036 Natural increase: 106 2035 Natural increase: 107 2034 Natural increase: 109 2033 Natural increase: 110 2032 Natural increase: 110 2031 Natural increase: 111 2030 Natural increase: 111 2029 Natural increase: 112 2028 Natural increase: 113 2027 Natural increase: 114 2026 Natural increase: 114 2025 Natural increase: 114 2024 Natural increase: 114 2023 Natural increase: 112 2022 Natural increase: 111 2021 Natural increase: 109 2020 Natural increase: 108 2019 Natural increase: 106 2018 Natural increase: 104 2017 Natural increase: 104 2041 Total deaths: 103 2040 Total deaths: 103 2039 Total deaths: 103 2038 Total deaths: 102 2037 Total deaths: 100 2036 Total deaths: 98 2035 Total deaths: 96 2034 Total deaths: 95 2033 Total deaths: 93 2032 Total deaths: 92 2031 Total deaths: 92 2030 Total deaths: 91 2029 Total deaths: 90 2028 Total deaths: 89 2027 Total deaths: 89 2026 Total deaths: 89 2025 Total deaths: 88 2024 Total deaths: 88 2023 Total deaths: 87 2022 Total deaths: 87 2021 Total deaths: 86 2020 Total deaths: 85 2019 Total deaths: 84 2018 Total deaths: 82 2017 Total deaths: 81 2041 Total births: 208 2040 Total births: 207 2039 Total births: 206 2038 Total births: 205 2037 Total births: 205 2036 Total births: 204 2035 Total births: 204 2034 Total births: 203 2033 Total births: 203 2032 Total births: 203 2031 Total births: 202 2030 Total births: 202 2029 Total births: 202 2028 Total births: 203 2027 Total births: 203 2026 Total births: 202 2025 Total births: 202 2024 Total births: 202 2023 Total births: 199 2022 Total births: 198 2021 Total births: 195 2020 Total births: 193 2019 Total births: 189 2018 Total births: 187 2017 Total births: 185 2041 Natural increase: 104 2040 Natural increase: 104 2039 Natural increase: 103 2038 Natural increase: 104 2037 Natural increase: 104 2036 Natural increase: 106 2035 Natural increase: 107 2034 Natural increase: 109 2033 Natural increase: 110 2032 Natural increase: 110 2031 Natural increase: 111 2030 Natural increase: 111 2029 Natural increase: 112 2028 Natural increase: 113 2027 Natural increase: 114 2026 Natural increase: 114 2025 Natural increase: 114 2024 Natural increase: 114 2023 Natural increase: 112 2022 Natural increase: 111 2021 Natural increase: 109 2020 Natural increase: 108 2019 Natural increase: 106 2018 Natural increase: 104 2017 Natural increase: 104 2041 Total deaths: 103 2040 Total deaths: 103 2039 Total deaths: 103 2038 Total deaths: 102 2037 Total deaths: 100 2036 Total deaths: 98 2035 Total deaths: 96 2034 Total deaths: 95 2033 Total deaths: 93 2032 Total deaths: 92 2031 Total deaths: 92 2030 Total deaths: 91 2029 Total deaths: 90 2028 Total deaths: 89 2027 Total deaths: 89 2026 Total deaths: 89 2025 Total deaths: 88 2024 Total deaths: 88 2023 Total deaths: 87 2022 Total deaths: 87 2021 Total deaths: 86 2020 Total deaths: 85 2019 Total deaths: 84 2018 Total deaths: 82 2017 Total deaths: 81 2041 Total births: 208 2040 Total births: 207 2039 Total births: 206 2038 Total births: 205 2037 Total births: 205 2036 Total births: 204 2035 Total births: 204 2034 Total births: 203 2033 Total births: 203 2032 Total births: 203 2031 Total births: 202 2030 Total births: 202 2029 Total births: 202 2028 Total births: 203 2027 Total births: 203 2026 Total births: 202 2025 Total births: 202 2024 Total births: 202 2023 Total births: 199 2022 Total births: 198 2021 Total births: 195 2020 Total births: 193 2019 Total births: 189 2018 Total births: 187 2017 Total births: 185
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -14 2040 Total net migration: -14 2039 Total net migration: -15 2038 Total net migration: -15 2037 Total net migration: -18 2036 Total net migration: -15 2035 Total net migration: -18 2034 Total net migration: -24 2033 Total net migration: -23 2032 Total net migration: -19 2031 Total net migration: -10 2030 Total net migration: -11 2029 Total net migration: -24 2028 Total net migration: -13 2027 Total net migration: -21 2026 Total net migration: 21 2025 Total net migration: -5 2024 Total net migration: 25 2023 Total net migration: 126 2022 Total net migration: 86 2021 Total net migration: 110 2020 Total net migration: 106 2019 Total net migration: 189 2018 Total net migration: 142 2017 Total net migration: 133 2041 Total out migration: 1,337 2040 Total out migration: 1,330 2039 Total out migration: 1,323 2038 Total out migration: 1,316 2037 Total out migration: 1,310 2036 Total out migration: 1,303 2035 Total out migration: 1,297 2034 Total out migration: 1,291 2033 Total out migration: 1,286 2032 Total out migration: 1,279 2031 Total out migration: 1,271 2030 Total out migration: 1,264 2029 Total out migration: 1,259 2028 Total out migration: 1,252 2027 Total out migration: 1,245 2026 Total out migration: 1,235 2025 Total out migration: 1,227 2024 Total out migration: 1,215 2023 Total out migration: 1,193 2022 Total out migration: 1,175 2021 Total out migration: 1,155 2020 Total out migration: 1,135 2019 Total out migration: 1,106 2018 Total out migration: 1,082 2017 Total out migration: 1,059 2041 Total in migration: 1,323 2040 Total in migration: 1,316 2039 Total in migration: 1,308 2038 Total in migration: 1,301 2037 Total in migration: 1,292 2036 Total in migration: 1,288 2035 Total in migration: 1,279 2034 Total in migration: 1,267 2033 Total in migration: 1,263 2032 Total in migration: 1,260 2031 Total in migration: 1,261 2030 Total in migration: 1,253 2029 Total in migration: 1,234 2028 Total in migration: 1,238 2027 Total in migration: 1,224 2026 Total in migration: 1,257 2025 Total in migration: 1,222 2024 Total in migration: 1,240 2023 Total in migration: 1,319 2022 Total in migration: 1,261 2021 Total in migration: 1,265 2020 Total in migration: 1,241 2019 Total in migration: 1,296 2018 Total in migration: 1,225 2017 Total in migration: 1,193 2041 Total net migration: -14 2040 Total net migration: -14 2039 Total net migration: -15 2038 Total net migration: -15 2037 Total net migration: -18 2036 Total net migration: -15 2035 Total net migration: -18 2034 Total net migration: -24 2033 Total net migration: -23 2032 Total net migration: -19 2031 Total net migration: -10 2030 Total net migration: -11 2029 Total net migration: -24 2028 Total net migration: -13 2027 Total net migration: -21 2026 Total net migration: 21 2025 Total net migration: -5 2024 Total net migration: 25 2023 Total net migration: 126 2022 Total net migration: 86 2021 Total net migration: 110 2020 Total net migration: 106 2019 Total net migration: 189 2018 Total net migration: 142 2017 Total net migration: 133 2041 Total out migration: 1,337 2040 Total out migration: 1,330 2039 Total out migration: 1,323 2038 Total out migration: 1,316 2037 Total out migration: 1,310 2036 Total out migration: 1,303 2035 Total out migration: 1,297 2034 Total out migration: 1,291 2033 Total out migration: 1,286 2032 Total out migration: 1,279 2031 Total out migration: 1,271 2030 Total out migration: 1,264 2029 Total out migration: 1,259 2028 Total out migration: 1,252 2027 Total out migration: 1,245 2026 Total out migration: 1,235 2025 Total out migration: 1,227 2024 Total out migration: 1,215 2023 Total out migration: 1,193 2022 Total out migration: 1,175 2021 Total out migration: 1,155 2020 Total out migration: 1,135 2019 Total out migration: 1,106 2018 Total out migration: 1,082 2017 Total out migration: 1,059 2041 Total in migration: 1,323 2040 Total in migration: 1,316 2039 Total in migration: 1,308 2038 Total in migration: 1,301 2037 Total in migration: 1,292 2036 Total in migration: 1,288 2035 Total in migration: 1,279 2034 Total in migration: 1,267 2033 Total in migration: 1,263 2032 Total in migration: 1,260 2031 Total in migration: 1,261 2030 Total in migration: 1,253 2029 Total in migration: 1,234 2028 Total in migration: 1,238 2027 Total in migration: 1,224 2026 Total in migration: 1,257 2025 Total in migration: 1,222 2024 Total in migration: 1,240 2023 Total in migration: 1,319 2022 Total in migration: 1,261 2021 Total in migration: 1,265 2020 Total in migration: 1,241 2019 Total in migration: 1,296 2018 Total in migration: 1,225 2017 Total in migration: 1,193
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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