East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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Orbost - Marlo & District

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Orbost - Marlo & District will increase by an average of 5 dwellings per annum to 2,028 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in East Gippsland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2011-16 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. Specific assumptions from 2012 onwards:

  • Brodribb River Estate - 15 dwellings (2022-2036)
  • Low level of infill development (4-9 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 2,028 2035 Total dwellings: 2,023 2034 Total dwellings: 2,018 2033 Total dwellings: 2,013 2032 Total dwellings: 2,008 2031 Total dwellings: 2,003 2030 Total dwellings: 1,998 2029 Total dwellings: 1,993 2028 Total dwellings: 1,988 2027 Total dwellings: 1,983 2026 Total dwellings: 1,978 2025 Total dwellings: 1,973 2024 Total dwellings: 1,968 2023 Total dwellings: 1,963 2022 Total dwellings: 1,958 2021 Total dwellings: 1,953 2020 Total dwellings: 1,949 2019 Total dwellings: 1,945 2018 Total dwellings: 1,941 2017 Total dwellings: 1,937 2016 Total dwellings: 1,931 2015 Total dwellings: 1,922 2014 Total dwellings: 1,914 2013 Total dwellings: 1,908 2012 Total dwellings: 1,904 2036 Total dwellings: 2,028 2035 Total dwellings: 2,023 2034 Total dwellings: 2,018 2033 Total dwellings: 2,013 2032 Total dwellings: 2,008 2031 Total dwellings: 2,003 2030 Total dwellings: 1,998 2029 Total dwellings: 1,993 2028 Total dwellings: 1,988 2027 Total dwellings: 1,983 2026 Total dwellings: 1,978 2025 Total dwellings: 1,973 2024 Total dwellings: 1,968 2023 Total dwellings: 1,963 2022 Total dwellings: 1,958 2021 Total dwellings: 1,953 2020 Total dwellings: 1,949 2019 Total dwellings: 1,945 2018 Total dwellings: 1,941 2017 Total dwellings: 1,937 2016 Total dwellings: 1,931 2015 Total dwellings: 1,922 2014 Total dwellings: 1,914 2013 Total dwellings: 1,908 2012 Total dwellings: 1,904 2036 Forecast development: 5 2035 Forecast development: 5 2034 Forecast development: 5 2033 Forecast development: 5 2032 Forecast development: 5 2031 Forecast development: 5 2030 Forecast development: 5 2029 Forecast development: 5 2028 Forecast development: 5 2027 Forecast development: 5 2026 Forecast development: 5 2025 Forecast development: 5 2024 Forecast development: 5 2023 Forecast development: 5 2022 Forecast development: 5 2021 Forecast development: 4 2020 Forecast development: 4 2019 Forecast development: 4 2018 Forecast development: 4 2017 Forecast development: 6 2016 Forecast development: 9 2015 Forecast development: 8 2014 Forecast development: 6 2013 Forecast development: 4 2012 Forecast development: 6
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
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