East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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East Gippsland Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for East Gippsland Shire is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,262 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
East Gippsland ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--2,4532,4672,5282,628
Deaths--2,6632,8623,0373,174
Natural increase/decrease---210-395-509-546
Net migration--2,3552,4622,5802,641
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--118325991

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 402 2035 forecast population change: 417 2034 forecast population change: 441 2033 forecast population change: 458 2032 forecast population change: 468 2031 forecast population change: 424 2030 forecast population change: 427 2029 forecast population change: 419 2028 forecast population change: 414 2027 forecast population change: 445 2026 forecast population change: 414 2025 forecast population change: 421 2024 forecast population change: 399 2023 forecast population change: 422 2022 forecast population change: 443 2021 forecast population change: 448 2020 forecast population change: 475 2019 forecast population change: 436 2018 forecast population change: 452 2017 forecast population change: 452
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -108 2035 Natural increase: -109 2034 Natural increase: -109 2033 Natural increase: -110 2032 Natural increase: -109 2031 Natural increase: -107 2030 Natural increase: -105 2029 Natural increase: -103 2028 Natural increase: -99 2027 Natural increase: -94 2026 Natural increase: -90 2025 Natural increase: -85 2024 Natural increase: -79 2023 Natural increase: -73 2022 Natural increase: -67 2021 Natural increase: -61 2020 Natural increase: -51 2019 Natural increase: -41 2018 Natural increase: -31 2017 Natural increase: -27 2036 Total deaths: 642 2035 Total deaths: 639 2034 Total deaths: 635 2033 Total deaths: 631 2032 Total deaths: 626 2031 Total deaths: 620 2030 Total deaths: 614 2029 Total deaths: 608 2028 Total deaths: 601 2027 Total deaths: 594 2026 Total deaths: 587 2025 Total deaths: 580 2024 Total deaths: 572 2023 Total deaths: 565 2022 Total deaths: 558 2021 Total deaths: 551 2020 Total deaths: 541 2019 Total deaths: 532 2018 Total deaths: 522 2017 Total deaths: 517 2036 Total births: 534 2035 Total births: 530 2034 Total births: 526 2033 Total births: 521 2032 Total births: 517 2031 Total births: 513 2030 Total births: 509 2029 Total births: 505 2028 Total births: 502 2027 Total births: 499 2026 Total births: 497 2025 Total births: 494 2024 Total births: 493 2023 Total births: 492 2022 Total births: 491 2021 Total births: 490 2020 Total births: 490 2019 Total births: 491 2018 Total births: 492 2017 Total births: 490 2036 Natural increase: -108 2035 Natural increase: -109 2034 Natural increase: -109 2033 Natural increase: -110 2032 Natural increase: -109 2031 Natural increase: -107 2030 Natural increase: -105 2029 Natural increase: -103 2028 Natural increase: -99 2027 Natural increase: -94 2026 Natural increase: -90 2025 Natural increase: -85 2024 Natural increase: -79 2023 Natural increase: -73 2022 Natural increase: -67 2021 Natural increase: -61 2020 Natural increase: -51 2019 Natural increase: -41 2018 Natural increase: -31 2017 Natural increase: -27 2036 Total deaths: 642 2035 Total deaths: 639 2034 Total deaths: 635 2033 Total deaths: 631 2032 Total deaths: 626 2031 Total deaths: 620 2030 Total deaths: 614 2029 Total deaths: 608 2028 Total deaths: 601 2027 Total deaths: 594 2026 Total deaths: 587 2025 Total deaths: 580 2024 Total deaths: 572 2023 Total deaths: 565 2022 Total deaths: 558 2021 Total deaths: 551 2020 Total deaths: 541 2019 Total deaths: 532 2018 Total deaths: 522 2017 Total deaths: 517 2036 Total births: 534 2035 Total births: 530 2034 Total births: 526 2033 Total births: 521 2032 Total births: 517 2031 Total births: 513 2030 Total births: 509 2029 Total births: 505 2028 Total births: 502 2027 Total births: 499 2026 Total births: 497 2025 Total births: 494 2024 Total births: 493 2023 Total births: 492 2022 Total births: 491 2021 Total births: 490 2020 Total births: 490 2019 Total births: 491 2018 Total births: 492 2017 Total births: 490
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 509 2035 Total net migration: 522 2034 Total net migration: 539 2033 Total net migration: 550 2032 Total net migration: 520 2031 Total net migration: 531 2030 Total net migration: 531 2029 Total net migration: 518 2028 Total net migration: 504 2027 Total net migration: 496 2026 Total net migration: 504 2025 Total net migration: 506 2024 Total net migration: 478 2023 Total net migration: 495 2022 Total net migration: 479 2021 Total net migration: 501 2020 Total net migration: 504 2019 Total net migration: 441 2018 Total net migration: 430 2017 Total net migration: 479 2036 Total out migration: 3,897 2035 Total out migration: 3,867 2034 Total out migration: 3,834 2033 Total out migration: 3,801 2032 Total out migration: 3,770 2031 Total out migration: 3,738 2030 Total out migration: 3,706 2029 Total out migration: 3,674 2028 Total out migration: 3,644 2027 Total out migration: 3,613 2026 Total out migration: 3,582 2025 Total out migration: 3,553 2024 Total out migration: 3,527 2023 Total out migration: 3,498 2022 Total out migration: 3,460 2021 Total out migration: 3,427 2020 Total out migration: 3,396 2019 Total out migration: 3,372 2018 Total out migration: 3,345 2017 Total out migration: 3,309 2036 Total in migration: 4,406 2035 Total in migration: 4,389 2034 Total in migration: 4,373 2033 Total in migration: 4,351 2032 Total in migration: 4,290 2031 Total in migration: 4,268 2030 Total in migration: 4,236 2029 Total in migration: 4,193 2028 Total in migration: 4,148 2027 Total in migration: 4,108 2026 Total in migration: 4,086 2025 Total in migration: 4,059 2024 Total in migration: 4,005 2023 Total in migration: 3,992 2022 Total in migration: 3,939 2021 Total in migration: 3,928 2020 Total in migration: 3,900 2019 Total in migration: 3,814 2018 Total in migration: 3,775 2017 Total in migration: 3,788 2036 Total net migration: 509 2035 Total net migration: 522 2034 Total net migration: 539 2033 Total net migration: 550 2032 Total net migration: 520 2031 Total net migration: 531 2030 Total net migration: 531 2029 Total net migration: 518 2028 Total net migration: 504 2027 Total net migration: 496 2026 Total net migration: 504 2025 Total net migration: 506 2024 Total net migration: 478 2023 Total net migration: 495 2022 Total net migration: 479 2021 Total net migration: 501 2020 Total net migration: 504 2019 Total net migration: 441 2018 Total net migration: 430 2017 Total net migration: 479 2036 Total out migration: 3,897 2035 Total out migration: 3,867 2034 Total out migration: 3,834 2033 Total out migration: 3,801 2032 Total out migration: 3,770 2031 Total out migration: 3,738 2030 Total out migration: 3,706 2029 Total out migration: 3,674 2028 Total out migration: 3,644 2027 Total out migration: 3,613 2026 Total out migration: 3,582 2025 Total out migration: 3,553 2024 Total out migration: 3,527 2023 Total out migration: 3,498 2022 Total out migration: 3,460 2021 Total out migration: 3,427 2020 Total out migration: 3,396 2019 Total out migration: 3,372 2018 Total out migration: 3,345 2017 Total out migration: 3,309 2036 Total in migration: 4,406 2035 Total in migration: 4,389 2034 Total in migration: 4,373 2033 Total in migration: 4,351 2032 Total in migration: 4,290 2031 Total in migration: 4,268 2030 Total in migration: 4,236 2029 Total in migration: 4,193 2028 Total in migration: 4,148 2027 Total in migration: 4,108 2026 Total in migration: 4,086 2025 Total in migration: 4,059 2024 Total in migration: 4,005 2023 Total in migration: 3,992 2022 Total in migration: 3,939 2021 Total in migration: 3,928 2020 Total in migration: 3,900 2019 Total in migration: 3,814 2018 Total in migration: 3,775 2017 Total in migration: 3,788
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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