East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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East Gippsland Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for East Gippsland Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,393 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
East Gippsland ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births2,3472,3892,4462,5182,625
Deaths2,3142,5922,7592,9263,073
Natural increase/decrease33-203-313-408-448
Net migration1,7262,3542,5132,6502,750
Change in persons in non-private dwellings49118325991

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 455 2035 forecast population change: 457 2034 forecast population change: 484 2033 forecast population change: 488 2032 forecast population change: 509 2031 forecast population change: 471 2030 forecast population change: 458 2029 forecast population change: 446 2028 forecast population change: 451 2027 forecast population change: 475 2026 forecast population change: 436 2025 forecast population change: 437 2024 forecast population change: 436 2023 forecast population change: 442 2022 forecast population change: 480 2021 forecast population change: 447 2020 forecast population change: 453 2019 forecast population change: 460 2018 forecast population change: 484 2017 forecast population change: 424 2016 forecast population change: 412 2015 forecast population change: 386 2014 forecast population change: 310 2013 forecast population change: 328 2012 forecast population change: 373
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -90 2035 Natural increase: -90 2034 Natural increase: -89 2033 Natural increase: -89 2032 Natural increase: -88 2031 Natural increase: -87 2030 Natural increase: -85 2029 Natural increase: -82 2028 Natural increase: -79 2027 Natural increase: -75 2026 Natural increase: -72 2025 Natural increase: -67 2024 Natural increase: -63 2023 Natural increase: -58 2022 Natural increase: -54 2021 Natural increase: -50 2020 Natural increase: -44 2019 Natural increase: -40 2018 Natural increase: -36 2017 Natural increase: -32 2016 Natural increase: -27 2015 Natural increase: -13 2014 Natural increase: 6 2013 Natural increase: 42 2012 Natural increase: 25 2036 Total births: 534 2035 Total births: 530 2034 Total births: 525 2033 Total births: 520 2032 Total births: 516 2031 Total births: 511 2030 Total births: 507 2029 Total births: 503 2028 Total births: 500 2027 Total births: 497 2026 Total births: 494 2025 Total births: 491 2024 Total births: 489 2023 Total births: 487 2022 Total births: 485 2021 Total births: 482 2020 Total births: 480 2019 Total births: 478 2018 Total births: 476 2017 Total births: 472 2016 Total births: 469 2015 Total births: 476 2014 Total births: 449 2013 Total births: 468 2012 Total births: 486 2036 Total deaths: 624 2035 Total deaths: 620 2034 Total deaths: 615 2033 Total deaths: 610 2032 Total deaths: 604 2031 Total deaths: 598 2030 Total deaths: 592 2029 Total deaths: 586 2028 Total deaths: 578 2027 Total deaths: 572 2026 Total deaths: 565 2025 Total deaths: 558 2024 Total deaths: 552 2023 Total deaths: 545 2022 Total deaths: 538 2021 Total deaths: 533 2020 Total deaths: 525 2019 Total deaths: 518 2018 Total deaths: 512 2017 Total deaths: 505 2016 Total deaths: 496 2015 Total deaths: 489 2014 Total deaths: 443 2013 Total deaths: 425 2012 Total deaths: 461 2036 Natural increase: -90 2035 Natural increase: -90 2034 Natural increase: -89 2033 Natural increase: -89 2032 Natural increase: -88 2031 Natural increase: -87 2030 Natural increase: -85 2029 Natural increase: -82 2028 Natural increase: -79 2027 Natural increase: -75 2026 Natural increase: -72 2025 Natural increase: -67 2024 Natural increase: -63 2023 Natural increase: -58 2022 Natural increase: -54 2021 Natural increase: -50 2020 Natural increase: -44 2019 Natural increase: -40 2018 Natural increase: -36 2017 Natural increase: -32 2016 Natural increase: -27 2015 Natural increase: -13 2014 Natural increase: 6 2013 Natural increase: 42 2012 Natural increase: 25 2036 Total births: 534 2035 Total births: 530 2034 Total births: 525 2033 Total births: 520 2032 Total births: 516 2031 Total births: 511 2030 Total births: 507 2029 Total births: 503 2028 Total births: 500 2027 Total births: 497 2026 Total births: 494 2025 Total births: 491 2024 Total births: 489 2023 Total births: 487 2022 Total births: 485 2021 Total births: 482 2020 Total births: 480 2019 Total births: 478 2018 Total births: 476 2017 Total births: 472 2016 Total births: 469 2015 Total births: 476 2014 Total births: 449 2013 Total births: 468 2012 Total births: 486 2036 Total deaths: 624 2035 Total deaths: 620 2034 Total deaths: 615 2033 Total deaths: 610 2032 Total deaths: 604 2031 Total deaths: 598 2030 Total deaths: 592 2029 Total deaths: 586 2028 Total deaths: 578 2027 Total deaths: 572 2026 Total deaths: 565 2025 Total deaths: 558 2024 Total deaths: 552 2023 Total deaths: 545 2022 Total deaths: 538 2021 Total deaths: 533 2020 Total deaths: 525 2019 Total deaths: 518 2018 Total deaths: 512 2017 Total deaths: 505 2016 Total deaths: 496 2015 Total deaths: 489 2014 Total deaths: 443 2013 Total deaths: 425 2012 Total deaths: 461
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 544 2035 Total net migration: 543 2034 Total net migration: 562 2033 Total net migration: 560 2032 Total net migration: 541 2031 Total net migration: 557 2030 Total net migration: 541 2029 Total net migration: 524 2028 Total net migration: 521 2027 Total net migration: 506 2026 Total net migration: 507 2025 Total net migration: 504 2024 Total net migration: 499 2023 Total net migration: 500 2022 Total net migration: 502 2021 Total net migration: 490 2020 Total net migration: 476 2019 Total net migration: 464 2018 Total net migration: 469 2017 Total net migration: 457 2016 Total net migration: 439 2015 Total net migration: 399 2014 Total net migration: 304 2013 Total net migration: 275 2012 Total net migration: 309 2036 Total out migration: 3,885 2035 Total out migration: 3,853 2034 Total out migration: 3,818 2033 Total out migration: 3,784 2032 Total out migration: 3,751 2031 Total out migration: 3,716 2030 Total out migration: 3,682 2029 Total out migration: 3,650 2028 Total out migration: 3,619 2027 Total out migration: 3,588 2026 Total out migration: 3,558 2025 Total out migration: 3,528 2024 Total out migration: 3,499 2023 Total out migration: 3,470 2022 Total out migration: 3,432 2021 Total out migration: 3,404 2020 Total out migration: 3,377 2019 Total out migration: 3,351 2018 Total out migration: 3,323 2017 Total out migration: 3,282 2016 Total out migration: 3,252 2015 Total out migration: 3,225 2014 Total out migration: 3,213 2013 Total out migration: 3,201 2012 Total out migration: 3,260 2036 Total in migration: 4,429 2035 Total in migration: 4,396 2034 Total in migration: 4,381 2033 Total in migration: 4,344 2032 Total in migration: 4,291 2031 Total in migration: 4,273 2030 Total in migration: 4,223 2029 Total in migration: 4,175 2028 Total in migration: 4,140 2027 Total in migration: 4,094 2026 Total in migration: 4,065 2025 Total in migration: 4,032 2024 Total in migration: 3,999 2023 Total in migration: 3,970 2022 Total in migration: 3,934 2021 Total in migration: 3,894 2020 Total in migration: 3,853 2019 Total in migration: 3,815 2018 Total in migration: 3,792 2017 Total in migration: 3,739 2016 Total in migration: 3,691 2015 Total in migration: 3,624 2014 Total in migration: 3,517 2013 Total in migration: 3,477 2012 Total in migration: 3,569 2036 Total net migration: 544 2035 Total net migration: 543 2034 Total net migration: 562 2033 Total net migration: 560 2032 Total net migration: 541 2031 Total net migration: 557 2030 Total net migration: 541 2029 Total net migration: 524 2028 Total net migration: 521 2027 Total net migration: 506 2026 Total net migration: 507 2025 Total net migration: 504 2024 Total net migration: 499 2023 Total net migration: 500 2022 Total net migration: 502 2021 Total net migration: 490 2020 Total net migration: 476 2019 Total net migration: 464 2018 Total net migration: 469 2017 Total net migration: 457 2016 Total net migration: 439 2015 Total net migration: 399 2014 Total net migration: 304 2013 Total net migration: 275 2012 Total net migration: 309 2036 Total out migration: 3,885 2035 Total out migration: 3,853 2034 Total out migration: 3,818 2033 Total out migration: 3,784 2032 Total out migration: 3,751 2031 Total out migration: 3,716 2030 Total out migration: 3,682 2029 Total out migration: 3,650 2028 Total out migration: 3,619 2027 Total out migration: 3,588 2026 Total out migration: 3,558 2025 Total out migration: 3,528 2024 Total out migration: 3,499 2023 Total out migration: 3,470 2022 Total out migration: 3,432 2021 Total out migration: 3,404 2020 Total out migration: 3,377 2019 Total out migration: 3,351 2018 Total out migration: 3,323 2017 Total out migration: 3,282 2016 Total out migration: 3,252 2015 Total out migration: 3,225 2014 Total out migration: 3,213 2013 Total out migration: 3,201 2012 Total out migration: 3,260 2036 Total in migration: 4,429 2035 Total in migration: 4,396 2034 Total in migration: 4,381 2033 Total in migration: 4,344 2032 Total in migration: 4,291 2031 Total in migration: 4,273 2030 Total in migration: 4,223 2029 Total in migration: 4,175 2028 Total in migration: 4,140 2027 Total in migration: 4,094 2026 Total in migration: 4,065 2025 Total in migration: 4,032 2024 Total in migration: 3,999 2023 Total in migration: 3,970 2022 Total in migration: 3,934 2021 Total in migration: 3,894 2020 Total in migration: 3,853 2019 Total in migration: 3,815 2018 Total in migration: 3,792 2017 Total in migration: 3,739 2016 Total in migration: 3,691 2015 Total in migration: 3,624 2014 Total in migration: 3,517 2013 Total in migration: 3,477 2012 Total in migration: 3,569
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
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