East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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East Gippsland Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in East Gippsland Shire is 55-59 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across East Gippsland Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • A dual housing market in operation, consisting of retirees (primarily 55-69 years) moving to selected coastal and rural locations; and families (30-49 years and 0-14 years) attracted to relatively affordable housing opportunities in regional towns
  • In common with most of regional Australia, major loss of young adults (18-24 years), leaving the region to seek education and employment elsewhere.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -7 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -160 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -195 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -94 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 187 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 457 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 516 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 374 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 343 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 323 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 373 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 277 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 168 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -179 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -512 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 80 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 271 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 292 0 2016 to 2021: 23 0 2016 to 2021: -95 0 2016 to 2021: -131 0 2016 to 2021: -94 0 2016 to 2021: 161 0 2016 to 2021: 414 0 2016 to 2021: 448 0 2016 to 2021: 340 0 2016 to 2021: 296 0 2016 to 2021: 312 0 2016 to 2021: 375 0 2016 to 2021: 280 0 2016 to 2021: 120 0 2016 to 2021: -231 0 2016 to 2021: -470 0 2016 to 2021: 82 0 2016 to 2021: 260 0 2016 to 2021: 264 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 37 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -73 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -84 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -50 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 127 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 367 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 383 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 245 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 241 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 200 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 338 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 264 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 106 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -254 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -561 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 60 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 198 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 180 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -7 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -160 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -195 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -94 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 187 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 457 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 516 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 374 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 343 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 323 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 373 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 277 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 168 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -179 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -512 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 80 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 271 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 292 0 2016 to 2021: 23 0 2016 to 2021: -95 0 2016 to 2021: -131 0 2016 to 2021: -94 0 2016 to 2021: 161 0 2016 to 2021: 414 0 2016 to 2021: 448 0 2016 to 2021: 340 0 2016 to 2021: 296 0 2016 to 2021: 312 0 2016 to 2021: 375 0 2016 to 2021: 280 0 2016 to 2021: 120 0 2016 to 2021: -231 0 2016 to 2021: -470 0 2016 to 2021: 82 0 2016 to 2021: 260 0 2016 to 2021: 264 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 37 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -73 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -84 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -50 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 127 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 367 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 383 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 245 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 241 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 200 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 338 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 264 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 106 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -254 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -561 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 60 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 198 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 180
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
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