East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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East Gippsland Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in East Gippsland Shire is 55-59 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across East Gippsland Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • A dual housing market in operation, consisting of retirees (primarily 55-69 years) moving to selected coastal and rural locations; and families (30-49 years and 0-14 years) attracted to relatively affordable housing opportunities in regional towns
  • In common with most of regional Australia, major loss of young adults (18-24 years), leaving the region to seek education and employment elsewhere.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -20 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -184 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -228 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -115 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 449 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 523 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 388 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 372 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 326 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 353 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 267 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 193 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -174 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -499 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 89 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 260 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 280 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -116 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -155 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -130 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 131 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 406 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 437 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 347 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 317 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 381 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 389 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 240 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 95 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -182 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -467 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 114 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 281 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 241 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -20 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -184 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -228 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -115 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 449 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 523 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 388 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 372 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 326 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 353 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 267 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 193 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -174 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -499 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 89 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 260 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 280 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -116 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -155 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -130 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 131 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 406 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 437 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 347 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 317 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 381 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 389 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 240 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 95 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -182 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -467 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 114 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 281 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 241
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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