East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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East Gippsland Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in East Gippsland Shire will increase by an average of 281 dwellings per annum to 29,905 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in East Gippsland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
East Gippsland ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
East Gippsland Shire+5,618+23.1
Bairnsdale+867+23.3
Lakes Entrance & District+704+15.6
Mallacoota District+101+10.7
Metung - Nungurner & District+414+32.1
Orbost - Marlo & District+97+4.9
Paynesville+929+45.5
Paynesville Surrounds+668+41.6
Rural Far East+20+2.2
Rural North+20+2.1
Rural West+140+13.0
Twin Rivers - Bruthen & District+497+22.7
Wy Yung - Lucknow - East Bairnsdale+1,161+38.3

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 29,905 2035 Total dwellings: 29,626 2034 Total dwellings: 29,346 2033 Total dwellings: 29,060 2032 Total dwellings: 28,771 2031 Total dwellings: 28,487 2030 Total dwellings: 28,198 2029 Total dwellings: 27,912 2028 Total dwellings: 27,629 2027 Total dwellings: 27,348 2026 Total dwellings: 27,065 2025 Total dwellings: 26,786 2024 Total dwellings: 26,506 2023 Total dwellings: 26,228 2022 Total dwellings: 25,950 2021 Total dwellings: 25,671 2020 Total dwellings: 25,391 2019 Total dwellings: 25,113 2018 Total dwellings: 24,835 2017 Total dwellings: 24,555 2036 Total dwellings: 29,905 2035 Total dwellings: 29,626 2034 Total dwellings: 29,346 2033 Total dwellings: 29,060 2032 Total dwellings: 28,771 2031 Total dwellings: 28,487 2030 Total dwellings: 28,198 2029 Total dwellings: 27,912 2028 Total dwellings: 27,629 2027 Total dwellings: 27,348 2026 Total dwellings: 27,065 2025 Total dwellings: 26,786 2024 Total dwellings: 26,506 2023 Total dwellings: 26,228 2022 Total dwellings: 25,950 2021 Total dwellings: 25,671 2020 Total dwellings: 25,391 2019 Total dwellings: 25,113 2018 Total dwellings: 24,835 2017 Total dwellings: 24,555 2036 Forecast development: 279 2035 Forecast development: 280 2034 Forecast development: 286 2033 Forecast development: 289 2032 Forecast development: 284 2031 Forecast development: 289 2030 Forecast development: 286 2029 Forecast development: 283 2028 Forecast development: 281 2027 Forecast development: 283 2026 Forecast development: 279 2025 Forecast development: 280 2024 Forecast development: 278 2023 Forecast development: 278 2022 Forecast development: 279 2021 Forecast development: 280 2020 Forecast development: 278 2019 Forecast development: 278 2018 Forecast development: 280 2017 Forecast development: 268
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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