East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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East Gippsland Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in East Gippsland Shire will increase by an average of 276 dwellings per annum to 29,632 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in East Gippsland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
East Gippsland ShireChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
East Gippsland Shire+6,909+30.4
Bairnsdale+1,015+28.0
Lakes Entrance & District+860+20.0
Mallacoota District+126+13.9
Metung - Nungurner & District+520+45.2
Orbost - Marlo & District+130+6.8
Paynesville+1,142+62.3
Paynesville Surrounds+785+54.8
Rural Far East+28+2.8
Rural North+30+3.0
Rural West+190+18.0
Twin Rivers - Bruthen & District+572+28.2
Wy Yung - Lucknow - East Bairnsdale+1,511+60.3

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 29,632 2035 Total dwellings: 29,353 2034 Total dwellings: 29,073 2033 Total dwellings: 28,787 2032 Total dwellings: 28,498 2031 Total dwellings: 28,214 2030 Total dwellings: 27,925 2029 Total dwellings: 27,639 2028 Total dwellings: 27,356 2027 Total dwellings: 27,075 2026 Total dwellings: 26,792 2025 Total dwellings: 26,513 2024 Total dwellings: 26,233 2023 Total dwellings: 25,955 2022 Total dwellings: 25,677 2021 Total dwellings: 25,398 2020 Total dwellings: 25,118 2019 Total dwellings: 24,840 2018 Total dwellings: 24,562 2017 Total dwellings: 24,282 2016 Total dwellings: 24,014 2015 Total dwellings: 23,733 2014 Total dwellings: 23,463 2013 Total dwellings: 23,194 2012 Total dwellings: 22,942 2036 Total dwellings: 29,632 2035 Total dwellings: 29,353 2034 Total dwellings: 29,073 2033 Total dwellings: 28,787 2032 Total dwellings: 28,498 2031 Total dwellings: 28,214 2030 Total dwellings: 27,925 2029 Total dwellings: 27,639 2028 Total dwellings: 27,356 2027 Total dwellings: 27,075 2026 Total dwellings: 26,792 2025 Total dwellings: 26,513 2024 Total dwellings: 26,233 2023 Total dwellings: 25,955 2022 Total dwellings: 25,677 2021 Total dwellings: 25,398 2020 Total dwellings: 25,118 2019 Total dwellings: 24,840 2018 Total dwellings: 24,562 2017 Total dwellings: 24,282 2016 Total dwellings: 24,014 2015 Total dwellings: 23,733 2014 Total dwellings: 23,463 2013 Total dwellings: 23,194 2012 Total dwellings: 22,942 2036 Forecast development: 279 2035 Forecast development: 280 2034 Forecast development: 286 2033 Forecast development: 289 2032 Forecast development: 284 2031 Forecast development: 289 2030 Forecast development: 286 2029 Forecast development: 283 2028 Forecast development: 281 2027 Forecast development: 283 2026 Forecast development: 279 2025 Forecast development: 280 2024 Forecast development: 278 2023 Forecast development: 278 2022 Forecast development: 279 2021 Forecast development: 280 2020 Forecast development: 278 2019 Forecast development: 278 2018 Forecast development: 280 2017 Forecast development: 268 2016 Forecast development: 281 2015 Forecast development: 270 2014 Forecast development: 269 2013 Forecast development: 252 2012 Forecast development: 219
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
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