East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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East Gippsland Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for East Gippsland Shire indicate a 12.3% increase in population under working age, a 43.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of East Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
East Gippsland Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,3655.52,5875.32,7885.2+423
5 to 9 2,4275.72,8235.73,0385.6+611
10 to 14 2,5926.12,8805.93,1235.8+532
15 to 19 2,5806.02,5005.12,7225.1+142
20 to 24 1,8684.41,9414.02,1284.0+260
25 to 29 1,8014.22,0174.12,1684.0+367
30 to 34 1,8524.32,2304.52,3614.4+509
35 to 39 2,1735.12,4395.02,6444.9+472
40 to 44 2,5866.02,6665.42,9345.5+348
45 to 49 2,7626.42,7915.73,0935.7+331
50 to 54 3,0907.23,0346.23,3276.2+236
55 to 59 3,2947.73,4006.93,6306.7+336
60 to 64 3,5918.43,7347.64,0017.4+410
65 to 69 3,1967.53,8897.94,1627.7+967
70 to 74 2,4695.83,5227.23,8047.1+1,335
75 to 79 1,7954.22,9235.93,2056.0+1,410
80 to 84 1,2743.01,9924.12,4104.5+1,136
85 and over1,1092.61,7643.62,2904.3+1,181
Total persons42,824100.049,134100.053,829100.0+11,004

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,290 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,410 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,205 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,804 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 4,162 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 4,001 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 3,630 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 3,327 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 3,093 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,934 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,644 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,361 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 2,168 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 2,128 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,722 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,123 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 3,038 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,788 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,764 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,992 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,923 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,522 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 3,889 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,734 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,400 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 3,034 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,791 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,666 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,439 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,230 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,017 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,941 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,500 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,880 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,823 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,587 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 1,109 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,274 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,795 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 2,469 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 3,196 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 3,591 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 3,294 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 3,090 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 2,762 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 2,586 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 2,173 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,852 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 1,801 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 1,868 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 2,580 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 2,592 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 2,427 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 2,365
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 526 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 418 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 283 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 282 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 273 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 267 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 231 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 293 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 302 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 267 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 205 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 130 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 151 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 187 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 222 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 243 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 215 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 655 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 717 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 1,128 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,053 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 694 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 143 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 105 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: -56 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 81 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 267 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 379 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 216 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: -80 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 396 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 222
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in East Gippsland Shire was ages 60 to 64 , which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,128 and account for 5.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 3,889 persons.

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