East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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East Gippsland Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for East Gippsland Shire indicate a 11.9% increase in population under working age, a 18.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of East Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
East Gippsland Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,4085.32,6025.22,7855.1+377
5 to 9 2,5615.62,8535.73,0375.6+476
10 to 14 2,4845.52,8845.83,1235.8+639
15 to 19 2,3405.22,4875.02,7265.0+386
20 to 24 1,9454.31,9073.82,1223.9+178
25 to 29 2,0234.52,0294.12,1634.0+140
30 to 34 2,0394.52,2154.42,3504.3+311
35 to 39 2,0354.52,4755.02,6444.9+609
40 to 44 2,3445.22,6905.42,9295.4+585
45 to 49 2,6995.92,7705.63,1315.8+432
50 to 54 3,0866.82,9966.03,3416.2+255
55 to 59 3,4437.63,3816.83,6116.7+168
60 to 64 3,6828.13,8267.73,9967.4+314
65 to 69 4,0749.03,9778.04,1657.7+91
70 to 74 3,2217.13,5957.23,8747.2+653
75 to 79 2,2314.93,1656.43,2646.0+1,033
80 to 84 1,4663.22,1064.22,4404.5+973
85 and over1,3463.01,8293.72,4044.4+1,057
Total persons45,427100.049,788100.054,105100.0+8,678

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,404 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,440 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,264 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,874 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 4,165 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 3,996 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 3,611 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 3,341 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 3,131 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,929 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,644 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,350 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 2,163 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 2,122 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,726 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,123 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 3,037 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,785 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,829 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,106 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,165 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,595 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 3,977 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,826 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,381 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,996 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,770 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,690 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,475 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,215 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,029 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,907 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,487 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,884 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,853 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,602 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,346 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,466 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,231 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 3,221 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,074 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,682 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 3,443 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 3,086 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,699 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,344 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 2,035 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,039 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,023 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,945 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 2,340 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,484 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 2,561 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,408
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 574 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 334 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 99 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 280 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 188 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 170 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 230 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 345 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 361 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 238 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 169 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 135 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 134 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 215 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 239 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 238 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 185 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 483 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 639 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 934 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 374 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -97 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -63 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -90 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 71 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 347 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 440 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -37 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 401 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 194
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in East Gippsland Shire was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 9.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 934 and account for 6.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 3,977 persons.

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