Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Paynesville Surrounds will increase by an average of 31 dwellings per annum to 2,218 in 2036.
The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).
Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.
.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in East Gippsland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.
List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:
2011-16 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. Specific assumptions from 2012 onwards:
- Corins Crescent - 18 dwellings (2012-2019)
- Eagle Bay Village - 78 dwellings (2012-2033)
- Eagle Bay Rise - 60 dwellings (2014-2027)
- Bayside Eagle Point - 36 dwellings (2016-2029)
- Eaglepoint Landing - 93 dwellings (2018-2035)
- Forge Creek Road Residential Land - 40 dwellings (2020-2030)
- Eagle Point Potential Residential - 125 dwellings (2027-2036)
- Low-moderate level of infill development (10-17 dwellings per annum)