East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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Paynesville Surrounds

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Paynesville Surrounds will increase by an average of 31 dwellings per annum to 2,218 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in East Gippsland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2011-16 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. Specific assumptions from 2012 onwards:

  • Corins Crescent - 18 dwellings (2012-2019)
  • Eagle Bay Village - 78 dwellings (2012-2033)
  • Eagle Bay Rise - 60 dwellings (2014-2027)
  • Bayside Eagle Point - 36 dwellings (2016-2029)
  • Eaglepoint Landing - 93 dwellings (2018-2035)
  • Forge Creek Road Residential Land - 40 dwellings (2020-2030)
  • Eagle Point Potential Residential - 125 dwellings (2027-2036)
  • Low-moderate level of infill development (10-17 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 2,218 2035 Total dwellings: 2,182 2034 Total dwellings: 2,146 2033 Total dwellings: 2,109 2032 Total dwellings: 2,072 2031 Total dwellings: 2,037 2030 Total dwellings: 2,002 2029 Total dwellings: 1,967 2028 Total dwellings: 1,931 2027 Total dwellings: 1,896 2026 Total dwellings: 1,861 2025 Total dwellings: 1,829 2024 Total dwellings: 1,796 2023 Total dwellings: 1,763 2022 Total dwellings: 1,729 2021 Total dwellings: 1,695 2020 Total dwellings: 1,663 2019 Total dwellings: 1,631 2018 Total dwellings: 1,602 2017 Total dwellings: 1,575 2016 Total dwellings: 1,550 2015 Total dwellings: 1,525 2014 Total dwellings: 1,498 2013 Total dwellings: 1,476 2012 Total dwellings: 1,452 2036 Total dwellings: 2,218 2035 Total dwellings: 2,182 2034 Total dwellings: 2,146 2033 Total dwellings: 2,109 2032 Total dwellings: 2,072 2031 Total dwellings: 2,037 2030 Total dwellings: 2,002 2029 Total dwellings: 1,967 2028 Total dwellings: 1,931 2027 Total dwellings: 1,896 2026 Total dwellings: 1,861 2025 Total dwellings: 1,829 2024 Total dwellings: 1,796 2023 Total dwellings: 1,763 2022 Total dwellings: 1,729 2021 Total dwellings: 1,695 2020 Total dwellings: 1,663 2019 Total dwellings: 1,631 2018 Total dwellings: 1,602 2017 Total dwellings: 1,575 2016 Total dwellings: 1,550 2015 Total dwellings: 1,525 2014 Total dwellings: 1,498 2013 Total dwellings: 1,476 2012 Total dwellings: 1,452 2036 Forecast development: 36 2035 Forecast development: 36 2034 Forecast development: 37 2033 Forecast development: 37 2032 Forecast development: 35 2031 Forecast development: 35 2030 Forecast development: 35 2029 Forecast development: 36 2028 Forecast development: 35 2027 Forecast development: 35 2026 Forecast development: 32 2025 Forecast development: 33 2024 Forecast development: 33 2023 Forecast development: 34 2022 Forecast development: 34 2021 Forecast development: 32 2020 Forecast development: 32 2019 Forecast development: 29 2018 Forecast development: 27 2017 Forecast development: 25 2016 Forecast development: 25 2015 Forecast development: 27 2014 Forecast development: 22 2013 Forecast development: 24 2012 Forecast development: 19
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
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