Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Burrill Lake - Kings Point - Dolphin Point - Lake Tabourie

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Burrill Lake - Kings Point - Dolphin Point - Lake Tabourie indicate a 12.0% increase in population under working age, a 43.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Burrill Lake - Kings Point - Dolphin Point - Lake Tabourie - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41635.61735.11775.0+14
5 to 91806.11985.81965.5+16
10 to 141485.01795.21785.0+30
15 to 191735.91414.11434.0-30
20 to 24732.5792.3812.3+8
25 to 291143.91133.31173.3+3
30 to 341364.61644.81624.6+26
35 to 391655.61815.31785.0+13
40 to 441454.91795.21775.0+32
45 to 491926.51975.82035.7+11
50 to 542227.62457.12507.0+28
55 to 592558.72627.72687.5+13
60 to 642568.72948.62948.3+38
65 to 692217.52798.22858.0+64
70 to 741926.52537.42627.4+70
75 to 791244.22076.02296.5+105
80 to 84933.21564.61985.6+105
85 and over832.81263.71534.3+70
Total persons2,935100.03,425100.03,551100.0+616

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 153 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 198 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 229 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 262 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 285 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 294 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 268 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 250 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 203 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 177 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 178 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 162 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 117 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 81 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 143 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 178 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 196 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 177 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 126 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 156 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 207 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 253 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 279 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 294 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 262 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 245 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 197 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 179 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 181 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 164 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 113 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 79 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 141 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 179 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 198 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 173 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 83 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 93 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 124 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 192 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 221 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 256 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 255 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 222 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 192 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 145 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 165 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 136 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 114 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 73 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 173 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 148 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 180 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 163
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 27 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 42 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 23 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 9 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 0 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: -3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: -1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 43 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 63 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 83 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 61 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 58 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 38 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 7 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 23 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 5 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 34 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 16 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 28 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -1 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 6 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: -32 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 31 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 18 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 10
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Burrill Lake - Kings Point - Dolphin Point - Lake Tabourie was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 83 and account for 6.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 294 persons.

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