Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Shoalhaven City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shoalhaven City is forecast for the period from 2037 to 2041, which is expected to have a net increase of 6,093 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shoalhaven CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--5,4235,4225,5425,8336,181
Deaths--4,6995,6926,7047,6608,349
Natural increase/decrease--725-270-1,161-1,827-2,168
Net migration--2,7154,0526,3457,6048,147
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--6767525252

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 1,221 2040 forecast population change: 1,265 2039 forecast population change: 1,209 2038 forecast population change: 1,203 2037 forecast population change: 1,196 2036 forecast population change: 1,188 2035 forecast population change: 1,245 2034 forecast population change: 1,174 2033 forecast population change: 1,168 2032 forecast population change: 1,113 2031 forecast population change: 1,127 2030 forecast population change: 1,186 2029 forecast population change: 1,095 2028 forecast population change: 992 2027 forecast population change: 891 2026 forecast population change: 831 2025 forecast population change: 835 2024 forecast population change: 781 2023 forecast population change: 785 2022 forecast population change: 672 2021 forecast population change: 704 2020 forecast population change: 763 2019 forecast population change: 650 2018 forecast population change: 581 2017 forecast population change: 864
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: -445 2040 Natural increase: -438 2039 Natural increase: -435 2038 Natural increase: -429 2037 Natural increase: -421 2036 Natural increase: -399 2035 Natural increase: -387 2034 Natural increase: -371 2033 Natural increase: -348 2032 Natural increase: -323 2031 Natural increase: -294 2030 Natural increase: -267 2029 Natural increase: -239 2028 Natural increase: -202 2027 Natural increase: -159 2026 Natural increase: -130 2025 Natural increase: -92 2024 Natural increase: -54 2023 Natural increase: -16 2022 Natural increase: 22 2021 Natural increase: 58 2020 Natural increase: 95 2019 Natural increase: 140 2018 Natural increase: 193 2017 Natural increase: 239 2041 Total deaths: 1,710 2040 Total deaths: 1,689 2039 Total deaths: 1,671 2038 Total deaths: 1,651 2037 Total deaths: 1,628 2036 Total deaths: 1,593 2035 Total deaths: 1,567 2034 Total deaths: 1,537 2033 Total deaths: 1,500 2032 Total deaths: 1,463 2031 Total deaths: 1,422 2030 Total deaths: 1,383 2029 Total deaths: 1,344 2028 Total deaths: 1,301 2027 Total deaths: 1,253 2026 Total deaths: 1,219 2025 Total deaths: 1,178 2024 Total deaths: 1,137 2023 Total deaths: 1,098 2022 Total deaths: 1,060 2021 Total deaths: 1,024 2020 Total deaths: 988 2019 Total deaths: 945 2018 Total deaths: 896 2017 Total deaths: 847 2041 Total births: 1,265 2040 Total births: 1,250 2039 Total births: 1,236 2038 Total births: 1,222 2037 Total births: 1,208 2036 Total births: 1,194 2035 Total births: 1,180 2034 Total births: 1,166 2033 Total births: 1,153 2032 Total births: 1,140 2031 Total births: 1,128 2030 Total births: 1,116 2029 Total births: 1,106 2028 Total births: 1,098 2027 Total births: 1,094 2026 Total births: 1,089 2025 Total births: 1,086 2024 Total births: 1,084 2023 Total births: 1,082 2022 Total births: 1,082 2021 Total births: 1,082 2020 Total births: 1,083 2019 Total births: 1,085 2018 Total births: 1,089 2017 Total births: 1,085 2041 Natural increase: -445 2040 Natural increase: -438 2039 Natural increase: -435 2038 Natural increase: -429 2037 Natural increase: -421 2036 Natural increase: -399 2035 Natural increase: -387 2034 Natural increase: -371 2033 Natural increase: -348 2032 Natural increase: -323 2031 Natural increase: -294 2030 Natural increase: -267 2029 Natural increase: -239 2028 Natural increase: -202 2027 Natural increase: -159 2026 Natural increase: -130 2025 Natural increase: -92 2024 Natural increase: -54 2023 Natural increase: -16 2022 Natural increase: 22 2021 Natural increase: 58 2020 Natural increase: 95 2019 Natural increase: 140 2018 Natural increase: 193 2017 Natural increase: 239 2041 Total deaths: 1,710 2040 Total deaths: 1,689 2039 Total deaths: 1,671 2038 Total deaths: 1,651 2037 Total deaths: 1,628 2036 Total deaths: 1,593 2035 Total deaths: 1,567 2034 Total deaths: 1,537 2033 Total deaths: 1,500 2032 Total deaths: 1,463 2031 Total deaths: 1,422 2030 Total deaths: 1,383 2029 Total deaths: 1,344 2028 Total deaths: 1,301 2027 Total deaths: 1,253 2026 Total deaths: 1,219 2025 Total deaths: 1,178 2024 Total deaths: 1,137 2023 Total deaths: 1,098 2022 Total deaths: 1,060 2021 Total deaths: 1,024 2020 Total deaths: 988 2019 Total deaths: 945 2018 Total deaths: 896 2017 Total deaths: 847 2041 Total births: 1,265 2040 Total births: 1,250 2039 Total births: 1,236 2038 Total births: 1,222 2037 Total births: 1,208 2036 Total births: 1,194 2035 Total births: 1,180 2034 Total births: 1,166 2033 Total births: 1,153 2032 Total births: 1,140 2031 Total births: 1,128 2030 Total births: 1,116 2029 Total births: 1,106 2028 Total births: 1,098 2027 Total births: 1,094 2026 Total births: 1,089 2025 Total births: 1,086 2024 Total births: 1,084 2023 Total births: 1,082 2022 Total births: 1,082 2021 Total births: 1,082 2020 Total births: 1,083 2019 Total births: 1,085 2018 Total births: 1,089 2017 Total births: 1,085
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 1,653 2040 Total net migration: 1,639 2039 Total net migration: 1,632 2038 Total net migration: 1,619 2037 Total net migration: 1,604 2036 Total net migration: 1,575 2035 Total net migration: 1,568 2034 Total net migration: 1,533 2033 Total net migration: 1,504 2032 Total net migration: 1,424 2031 Total net migration: 1,410 2030 Total net migration: 1,389 2029 Total net migration: 1,323 2028 Total net migration: 1,183 2027 Total net migration: 1,039 2026 Total net migration: 949 2025 Total net migration: 849 2024 Total net migration: 824 2023 Total net migration: 790 2022 Total net migration: 640 2021 Total net migration: 635 2020 Total net migration: 590 2019 Total net migration: 499 2018 Total net migration: 377 2017 Total net migration: 614 2041 Total out migration: 9,769 2040 Total out migration: 9,659 2039 Total out migration: 9,552 2038 Total out migration: 9,444 2037 Total out migration: 9,335 2036 Total out migration: 9,229 2035 Total out migration: 9,117 2034 Total out migration: 9,005 2033 Total out migration: 8,894 2032 Total out migration: 8,794 2031 Total out migration: 8,692 2030 Total out migration: 8,586 2029 Total out migration: 8,489 2028 Total out migration: 8,400 2027 Total out migration: 8,317 2026 Total out migration: 8,245 2025 Total out migration: 8,181 2024 Total out migration: 8,121 2023 Total out migration: 8,061 2022 Total out migration: 8,013 2021 Total out migration: 7,966 2020 Total out migration: 7,927 2019 Total out migration: 7,886 2018 Total out migration: 7,866 2017 Total out migration: 7,967 2041 Total in migration: 11,422 2040 Total in migration: 11,298 2039 Total in migration: 11,184 2038 Total in migration: 11,063 2037 Total in migration: 10,939 2036 Total in migration: 10,804 2035 Total in migration: 10,685 2034 Total in migration: 10,538 2033 Total in migration: 10,398 2032 Total in migration: 10,218 2031 Total in migration: 10,103 2030 Total in migration: 9,975 2029 Total in migration: 9,812 2028 Total in migration: 9,583 2027 Total in migration: 9,356 2026 Total in migration: 9,195 2025 Total in migration: 9,030 2024 Total in migration: 8,944 2023 Total in migration: 8,851 2022 Total in migration: 8,652 2021 Total in migration: 8,601 2020 Total in migration: 8,517 2019 Total in migration: 8,384 2018 Total in migration: 8,243 2017 Total in migration: 8,581 2041 Total net migration: 1,653 2040 Total net migration: 1,639 2039 Total net migration: 1,632 2038 Total net migration: 1,619 2037 Total net migration: 1,604 2036 Total net migration: 1,575 2035 Total net migration: 1,568 2034 Total net migration: 1,533 2033 Total net migration: 1,504 2032 Total net migration: 1,424 2031 Total net migration: 1,410 2030 Total net migration: 1,389 2029 Total net migration: 1,323 2028 Total net migration: 1,183 2027 Total net migration: 1,039 2026 Total net migration: 949 2025 Total net migration: 849 2024 Total net migration: 824 2023 Total net migration: 790 2022 Total net migration: 640 2021 Total net migration: 635 2020 Total net migration: 590 2019 Total net migration: 499 2018 Total net migration: 377 2017 Total net migration: 614 2041 Total out migration: 9,769 2040 Total out migration: 9,659 2039 Total out migration: 9,552 2038 Total out migration: 9,444 2037 Total out migration: 9,335 2036 Total out migration: 9,229 2035 Total out migration: 9,117 2034 Total out migration: 9,005 2033 Total out migration: 8,894 2032 Total out migration: 8,794 2031 Total out migration: 8,692 2030 Total out migration: 8,586 2029 Total out migration: 8,489 2028 Total out migration: 8,400 2027 Total out migration: 8,317 2026 Total out migration: 8,245 2025 Total out migration: 8,181 2024 Total out migration: 8,121 2023 Total out migration: 8,061 2022 Total out migration: 8,013 2021 Total out migration: 7,966 2020 Total out migration: 7,927 2019 Total out migration: 7,886 2018 Total out migration: 7,866 2017 Total out migration: 7,967 2041 Total in migration: 11,422 2040 Total in migration: 11,298 2039 Total in migration: 11,184 2038 Total in migration: 11,063 2037 Total in migration: 10,939 2036 Total in migration: 10,804 2035 Total in migration: 10,685 2034 Total in migration: 10,538 2033 Total in migration: 10,398 2032 Total in migration: 10,218 2031 Total in migration: 10,103 2030 Total in migration: 9,975 2029 Total in migration: 9,812 2028 Total in migration: 9,583 2027 Total in migration: 9,356 2026 Total in migration: 9,195 2025 Total in migration: 9,030 2024 Total in migration: 8,944 2023 Total in migration: 8,851 2022 Total in migration: 8,652 2021 Total in migration: 8,601 2020 Total in migration: 8,517 2019 Total in migration: 8,384 2018 Total in migration: 8,243 2017 Total in migration: 8,581
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
v19.05.15-1.0.0