Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shoalhaven City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Shoalhaven City indicate a 8.0% increase in population under working age, a 44.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shoalhaven City - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,5595.56,0435.36,7415.3+1,182
5 to 9 5,9195.86,3665.67,1015.6+1,182
10 to 14 5,6585.66,0915.36,8225.4+1,164
15 to 19 5,5165.45,2754.65,9274.7+411
20 to 24 5,0224.94,8124.25,2954.2+273
25 to 29 4,9914.94,9604.35,5104.4+519
30 to 34 4,9964.95,4484.86,0424.8+1,046
35 to 39 4,9044.85,7785.06,3985.1+1,494
40 to 44 5,5625.55,9005.26,6035.2+1,041
45 to 49 5,8735.85,9005.26,7265.3+853
50 to 54 6,6126.56,0625.36,9255.5+314
55 to 59 7,5907.56,8346.07,4145.9-177
60 to 64 7,7257.67,6826.78,1356.4+410
65 to 69 8,2348.18,4707.48,8517.0+617
70 to 74 6,4926.48,5597.58,8077.0+2,315
75 to 79 4,8104.77,7256.78,4696.7+3,659
80 to 84 3,2203.26,6975.87,6146.0+4,394
85 and over3,0953.05,9295.27,1355.6+4,040
Total persons101,777100.0114,533100.0126,513100.0+24,736

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 7,135 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 7,614 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 8,469 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 8,807 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 8,851 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 8,135 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 7,414 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 6,925 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 6,726 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 6,603 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 6,398 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 6,042 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 5,510 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 5,295 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 5,927 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 6,822 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 7,101 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 6,741 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 5,929 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 6,697 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 7,725 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 8,559 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 8,470 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 7,682 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 6,834 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 6,062 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 5,900 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 5,900 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 5,778 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 5,448 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 4,960 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 4,812 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 5,275 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 6,091 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 6,366 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 6,043 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3,095 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 3,220 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 4,810 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 6,492 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,234 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 7,725 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 7,590 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 6,612 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 5,873 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 5,562 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 4,904 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,996 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,991 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 5,022 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 5,516 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 5,658 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 5,919 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,559
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 1,206 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 916 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 743 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 248 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 381 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 453 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 580 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 863 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 826 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 703 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 620 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 594 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 550 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 483 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 652 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 731 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 735 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 698 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 2,834 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 3,477 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 2,915 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 2,067 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 236 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: -43 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: -757 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: -549 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 27 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 338 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 874 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 452 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -31 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: -210 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: -241 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 433 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 448 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 484
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Shoalhaven City was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84 , which is expected to increase by 3,477 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 70 to 74 years, with a total of 8,559 persons.

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