Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shoalhaven City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Shoalhaven City indicate a 7.3% increase in population under working age, a 45.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shoalhaven City - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,5595.56,0025.36,7345.3+1,175
5 to 9 5,9195.86,3315.57,1065.6+1,187
10 to 14 5,6585.66,0615.36,8305.4+1,172
15 to 19 5,5165.45,2734.65,9424.7+426
20 to 24 5,0224.94,8374.25,3374.2+315
25 to 29 4,9914.94,9714.45,5494.4+558
30 to 34 4,9964.95,4324.86,0664.8+1,070
35 to 39 4,9044.85,7455.06,4095.1+1,505
40 to 44 5,5625.55,8625.16,6075.2+1,045
45 to 49 5,8735.85,8595.16,7075.3+833
50 to 54 6,6126.56,0025.36,8755.4+263
55 to 59 7,5907.56,7355.97,3085.8-283
60 to 64 7,7257.67,5386.67,9626.3+237
65 to 69 8,2348.18,2977.38,6086.8+375
70 to 74 6,4926.48,3587.38,4506.7+1,958
75 to 79 4,8104.77,5146.68,0546.4+3,244
80 to 84 3,2203.26,5705.87,2715.8+4,051
85 and over3,0953.06,8246.08,4506.7+5,355
Total persons101,777100.0114,211100.0126,266100.0+24,488

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 8,450 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 7,271 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 8,054 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 8,450 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 8,608 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 7,962 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 7,308 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 6,875 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 6,707 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 6,607 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 6,409 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 6,066 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 5,549 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 5,337 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 5,942 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 6,830 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 7,106 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 6,734 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 6,824 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 6,570 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 7,514 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 8,358 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 8,297 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 7,538 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 6,735 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 6,002 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 5,859 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 5,862 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 5,745 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 5,432 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 4,971 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 4,837 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 5,273 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 6,061 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 6,331 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 6,002 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3,095 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 3,220 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 4,810 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 6,492 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,234 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 7,725 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 7,590 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 6,612 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 5,873 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 5,562 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 4,904 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,996 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,991 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 5,022 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 5,516 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 5,658 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 5,919 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,559
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 1,626 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 702 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 540 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 92 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 311 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 424 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 573 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 873 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 848 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 744 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 664 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 633 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 579 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 500 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 669 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 769 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 775 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 732 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 3,729 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 3,349 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 2,704 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 1,866 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 63 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: -187 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: -856 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: -610 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: -15 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 300 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 841 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 436 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -20 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: -185 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: -243 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 404 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 412 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 443
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Shoalhaven City was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 3,729 and account for 6.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 70 to 74 years, with a total of 8,358 persons.

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