Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Shoalhaven City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Shoalhaven City will increase by an average of 584 dwellings per annum to 69,257 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shoalhaven City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
Shoalhaven CityChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
Shoalhaven City+14,604+26.7
Bangalee - Cambewarra Village - Tapitallee & Surrounds+2,154+191.2
Berry & Surrounds+338+15.7
Bomaderry+352+11.2
Burrill Lake - Kings Point - Dolphin Point - Lake Tabourie+409+23.8
Callala Bay - Callala Beach - Currarong - Myola & Surrounds+403+13.7
Coastal Mid+432+20.4
Coastal South+185+12.6
Culburra Beach - Orient Point+378+15.0
Greenwell Point - Terara & Surrounds+58+5.7
Huskisson - Falls Creek - Tomerong - Woollamia+396+21.8
Milton - Mollymook - Mollymook Beach - Narrawallee & Surrounds+1,619+39.4
North Nowra+630+25.9
Nowra+849+19.6
Rural Balance+231+15.8
Sanctuary Point+356+8.5
Shoalhaven Heads+158+9.2
St Georges Basin - Basin View+903+40.9
Sussex Inlet - Swanhaven - Berrara - Cudmirrah & Surrounds+694+21.9
Ulladulla+607+17.8
Vincentia - Erowal Bay & Surrounds+677+17.2
West Nowra - South Nowra - Nowra Hill & Surrounds+2,179+122.7
Worrigee+596+31.3

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2018.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 69,257 2040 Total dwellings: 68,673 2039 Total dwellings: 68,091 2038 Total dwellings: 67,506 2037 Total dwellings: 66,924 2036 Total dwellings: 66,342 2035 Total dwellings: 65,755 2034 Total dwellings: 65,179 2033 Total dwellings: 64,595 2032 Total dwellings: 64,007 2031 Total dwellings: 63,416 2030 Total dwellings: 62,810 2029 Total dwellings: 62,196 2028 Total dwellings: 61,586 2027 Total dwellings: 60,994 2026 Total dwellings: 60,410 2025 Total dwellings: 59,854 2024 Total dwellings: 59,309 2023 Total dwellings: 58,728 2022 Total dwellings: 58,138 2021 Total dwellings: 57,564 2020 Total dwellings: 56,984 2019 Total dwellings: 56,376 2018 Total dwellings: 55,760 2017 Total dwellings: 55,175 2041 Total dwellings: 69,257 2040 Total dwellings: 68,673 2039 Total dwellings: 68,091 2038 Total dwellings: 67,506 2037 Total dwellings: 66,924 2036 Total dwellings: 66,342 2035 Total dwellings: 65,755 2034 Total dwellings: 65,179 2033 Total dwellings: 64,595 2032 Total dwellings: 64,007 2031 Total dwellings: 63,416 2030 Total dwellings: 62,810 2029 Total dwellings: 62,196 2028 Total dwellings: 61,586 2027 Total dwellings: 60,994 2026 Total dwellings: 60,410 2025 Total dwellings: 59,854 2024 Total dwellings: 59,309 2023 Total dwellings: 58,728 2022 Total dwellings: 58,138 2021 Total dwellings: 57,564 2020 Total dwellings: 56,984 2019 Total dwellings: 56,376 2018 Total dwellings: 55,760 2017 Total dwellings: 55,175 2041 Forecast development: 584 2040 Forecast development: 582 2039 Forecast development: 585 2038 Forecast development: 582 2037 Forecast development: 582 2036 Forecast development: 587 2035 Forecast development: 576 2034 Forecast development: 584 2033 Forecast development: 588 2032 Forecast development: 591 2031 Forecast development: 606 2030 Forecast development: 614 2029 Forecast development: 610 2028 Forecast development: 592 2027 Forecast development: 584 2026 Forecast development: 556 2025 Forecast development: 545 2024 Forecast development: 581 2023 Forecast development: 590 2022 Forecast development: 574 2021 Forecast development: 580 2020 Forecast development: 608 2019 Forecast development: 616 2018 Forecast development: 585 2017 Forecast development: 522
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
v19.02.13-1.0.0