Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Shoalhaven City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Shoalhaven City is 60-64 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Shoalhaven City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • A dual housing market, consisting of families with younger children, as well as retirees (50-69 years)
  • Loss of young adults (18-24 years), many of whom are leaving the family home after completing secondary education.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 312 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -145 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -38 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 133 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 615 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 1,059 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 957 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 730 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 416 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 529 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 486 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 687 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 577 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -151 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -764 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -188 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 322 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 808 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 330 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -85 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 50 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 464 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 819 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 824 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 511 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 329 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 432 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 319 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 463 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 323 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -325 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -852 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -314 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 164 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 597 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 456 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 26 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 477 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 799 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 657 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 464 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 133 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 366 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 233 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 301 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 140 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -531 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -1,010 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -379 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 103 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 491 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 312 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -145 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -38 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 133 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 615 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 1,059 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 957 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 730 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 416 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 529 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 486 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 687 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 577 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -151 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -764 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -188 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 322 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 808 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 330 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -85 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 50 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 464 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 819 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 824 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 511 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 329 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 432 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 319 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 463 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 323 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -325 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -852 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -314 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 164 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 597 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 456 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 26 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 477 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 799 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 657 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 464 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 133 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 366 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 233 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 301 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 140 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -531 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -1,010 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -379 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 103 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 491
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
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