City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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Middle Park - Albert Park

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Middle Park - Albert Park indicate a 24.6% decrease in population under working age, a 11.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Middle Park - Albert Park - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47516.26215.16425.2-109
5 to 97526.25284.35364.3-216
10 to 146515.34763.94513.7-200
15 to 194433.64894.04353.5-8
20 to 244663.86525.36084.9+141
25 to 296985.78927.38947.2+196
30 to 349808.01,0438.51,0578.6+77
35 to 399647.99958.21,0218.3+58
40 to 449447.78907.39147.4-30
45 to 491,0728.87746.37946.4-278
50 to 548557.07806.47606.1-95
55 to 597876.48787.27666.2-21
60 to 646865.67696.37426.0+56
65 to 696935.76795.66955.6+2
70 to 745744.75454.56605.3+85
75 to 794093.35074.25584.5+149
80 to 842452.03903.24503.6+205
85 and over2462.02912.43723.0+126
Total persons12,215100.012,197100.012,353100.0+138

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 372 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 450 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 558 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 660 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 695 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 742 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 766 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 760 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 794 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 914 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,021 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,057 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 894 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 608 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 435 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 451 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 536 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 642 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 291 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 390 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 507 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 545 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 679 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 769 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 878 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 780 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 774 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 890 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 995 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,043 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 892 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 652 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 489 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 476 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 528 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 621 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 246 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 245 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 409 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 574 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 693 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 686 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 787 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 855 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,072 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 944 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 964 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 980 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 698 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 466 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 443 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 651 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 752 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 751
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 82 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 60 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 50 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 115 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 16 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -27 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -112 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -21 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 24 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 27 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 14 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: -45 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -54 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -25 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 21 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 145 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -29 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 83 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -74 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -297 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -54 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 186 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -175 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -224 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -131
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Middle Park - Albert Park was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 194 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,043 persons.

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