Murray Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Murray

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Shire of Murray indicate a 64.6% increase in population under working age, a 42.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 48.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shire of Murray is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shire of Murray - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9905.81,8607.26,4057.9+5,414
5 to 9 1,1816.91,8457.26,1427.6+4,960
10 to 14 1,0756.31,6386.45,4336.7+4,358
15 to 19 1,0436.11,3645.34,1475.1+3,103
20 to 24 8865.21,2484.94,0035.0+3,117
25 to 29 8835.21,4745.75,0806.3+4,196
30 to 34 8354.91,5676.15,6747.0+4,839
35 to 39 8735.11,5506.05,5676.9+4,694
40 to 44 1,0916.41,4235.55,0126.2+3,921
45 to 49 1,1406.71,4035.54,6915.8+3,551
50 to 54 1,2037.01,6396.44,4955.6+3,291
55 to 59 1,1576.81,7596.94,6055.7+3,448
60 to 64 1,1426.71,8017.04,6775.8+3,534
65 to 69 1,2477.31,5876.24,4345.5+3,188
70 to 74 9125.31,2725.03,7404.6+2,829
75 to 79 7034.11,1014.32,9603.7+2,257
80 to 84 4162.46882.72,1412.7+1,725
85 and over3071.84581.81,5762.0+1,269
Total persons17,085100.025,676100.080,781100.0+63,696

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 1,576 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 2,141 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 2,960 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 3,740 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 4,434 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 4,677 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 4,605 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 4,495 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 4,691 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 5,012 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 5,567 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 5,674 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 5,080 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 4,003 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 4,147 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 5,433 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 6,142 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 6,405 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 458 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 688 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,101 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,272 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,587 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,801 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,759 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,639 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,403 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,423 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,550 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,567 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,474 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,248 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,364 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,638 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,845 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,860 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 307 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 416 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 703 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 912 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,247 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,142 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,157 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,203 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,140 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,091 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 873 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 835 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 883 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 886 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,043 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,075 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,181 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 990
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 1,118 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,454 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 1,860 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 2,468 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 2,847 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 2,876 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 2,845 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 2,856 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 3,288 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 3,589 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 4,017 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 4,107 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 3,606 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 2,755 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 2,783 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 3,795 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 4,297 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 4,545 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 151 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 272 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 398 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 361 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 341 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 659 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 603 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 435 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 263 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 332 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 677 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 732 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 591 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 362 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 321 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 563 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 663 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 869
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Shire of Murray was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 869 and account for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 1,860 persons.

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