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Murray Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Murray Shire Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Murray Shire Council indicate a 64.6% increase in population under working age, a 42.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 48.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Murray Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Murray Shire Council - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49905.81,8607.26,4057.9+5,414
5 to 91,1816.91,8457.26,1427.6+4,960
10 to 141,0756.31,6386.45,4336.7+4,358
15 to 191,0436.11,3645.34,1475.1+3,103
20 to 248865.21,2484.94,0035.0+3,117
25 to 298835.21,4745.75,0806.3+4,196
30 to 348354.91,5676.15,6747.0+4,839
35 to 398735.11,5506.05,5676.9+4,694
40 to 441,0916.41,4235.55,0126.2+3,921
45 to 491,1406.71,4035.54,6915.8+3,551
50 to 541,2037.01,6396.44,4955.6+3,291
55 to 591,1576.81,7596.94,6055.7+3,448
60 to 641,1426.71,8017.04,6775.8+3,534
65 to 691,2477.31,5876.24,4345.5+3,188
70 to 749125.31,2725.03,7404.6+2,829
75 to 797034.11,1014.32,9603.7+2,257
80 to 844162.46882.72,1412.7+1,725
85 and over3071.84581.81,5762.0+1,269
Total persons17,085100.025,676100.080,781100.0+63,696
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Murray Shire Council was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 869 and account for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 1,860 persons.

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