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Murray Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

South Yunderup

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for South Yunderup indicate a 50.9% increase in population under working age, a 37.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 32.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of South Yunderup is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Yunderup - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41976.12936.61,0977.5+900
5 to 91966.02906.51,0887.4+892
10 to 141715.22686.09726.6+801
15 to 191655.12535.78856.0+720
20 to 241966.02786.29866.7+790
25 to 291685.22796.21,0357.1+868
30 to 341604.92645.91,0277.0+868
35 to 391374.22315.29156.2+777
40 to 442076.42325.28645.9+657
45 to 492136.62345.28145.6+601
50 to 541996.12415.47575.2+557
55 to 592146.62635.97034.8+489
60 to 642668.22796.37144.9+449
65 to 692908.92796.37425.1+452
70 to 742297.02655.97034.8+474
75 to 791514.62355.36024.1+451
80 to 84621.91683.84192.9+357
85 and over331.01082.43422.3+309
Total persons3,252100.04,459100.014,663100.0+11,412
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in South Yunderup was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 111 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 293 persons.

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