Murray Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Murray

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shire of Murray is forecast for the period from 2037 to 2041, which is expected to have a net increase of 24,801 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shire of MurrayForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,2751,5782,2543,5195,320
Deaths--1,2581,4411,9222,7753,973
Natural increase/decrease--171383327441,347
Net migration--2,9945,33811,24817,83023,354
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--555010050100

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 5,357 2040 forecast population change: 5,188 2039 forecast population change: 5,073 2038 forecast population change: 4,746 2037 forecast population change: 4,437 2036 forecast population change: 4,252 2035 forecast population change: 3,951 2034 forecast population change: 3,718 2033 forecast population change: 3,483 2032 forecast population change: 3,220 2031 forecast population change: 2,904 2030 forecast population change: 2,595 2029 forecast population change: 2,317 2028 forecast population change: 2,033 2027 forecast population change: 1,830 2026 forecast population change: 1,553 2025 forecast population change: 1,184 2024 forecast population change: 1,003 2023 forecast population change: 951 2022 forecast population change: 836 2021 forecast population change: 781 2020 forecast population change: 702 2019 forecast population change: 631 2018 forecast population change: 502 2017 forecast population change: 449
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 324 2040 Natural increase: 296 2039 Natural increase: 269 2038 Natural increase: 242 2037 Natural increase: 216 2036 Natural increase: 192 2035 Natural increase: 169 2034 Natural increase: 147 2033 Natural increase: 127 2032 Natural increase: 109 2031 Natural increase: 93 2030 Natural increase: 79 2029 Natural increase: 65 2028 Natural increase: 52 2027 Natural increase: 43 2026 Natural increase: 35 2025 Natural increase: 29 2024 Natural increase: 27 2023 Natural increase: 25 2022 Natural increase: 22 2021 Natural increase: 19 2020 Natural increase: 17 2019 Natural increase: 11 2018 Natural increase: 0 2017 Natural increase: -30 2041 Total deaths: 910 2040 Total deaths: 850 2039 Total deaths: 790 2038 Total deaths: 736 2037 Total deaths: 687 2036 Total deaths: 639 2035 Total deaths: 595 2034 Total deaths: 553 2033 Total deaths: 513 2032 Total deaths: 474 2031 Total deaths: 440 2030 Total deaths: 408 2029 Total deaths: 382 2028 Total deaths: 358 2027 Total deaths: 334 2026 Total deaths: 314 2025 Total deaths: 300 2024 Total deaths: 288 2023 Total deaths: 274 2022 Total deaths: 264 2021 Total deaths: 255 2020 Total deaths: 247 2019 Total deaths: 243 2018 Total deaths: 246 2017 Total deaths: 267 2041 Total births: 1,235 2040 Total births: 1,146 2039 Total births: 1,059 2038 Total births: 978 2037 Total births: 903 2036 Total births: 832 2035 Total births: 764 2034 Total births: 700 2033 Total births: 640 2032 Total births: 583 2031 Total births: 533 2030 Total births: 487 2029 Total births: 447 2028 Total births: 410 2027 Total births: 377 2026 Total births: 350 2025 Total births: 330 2024 Total births: 314 2023 Total births: 299 2022 Total births: 286 2021 Total births: 274 2020 Total births: 263 2019 Total births: 255 2018 Total births: 246 2017 Total births: 237 2041 Natural increase: 324 2040 Natural increase: 296 2039 Natural increase: 269 2038 Natural increase: 242 2037 Natural increase: 216 2036 Natural increase: 192 2035 Natural increase: 169 2034 Natural increase: 147 2033 Natural increase: 127 2032 Natural increase: 109 2031 Natural increase: 93 2030 Natural increase: 79 2029 Natural increase: 65 2028 Natural increase: 52 2027 Natural increase: 43 2026 Natural increase: 35 2025 Natural increase: 29 2024 Natural increase: 27 2023 Natural increase: 25 2022 Natural increase: 22 2021 Natural increase: 19 2020 Natural increase: 17 2019 Natural increase: 11 2018 Natural increase: 0 2017 Natural increase: -30 2041 Total deaths: 910 2040 Total deaths: 850 2039 Total deaths: 790 2038 Total deaths: 736 2037 Total deaths: 687 2036 Total deaths: 639 2035 Total deaths: 595 2034 Total deaths: 553 2033 Total deaths: 513 2032 Total deaths: 474 2031 Total deaths: 440 2030 Total deaths: 408 2029 Total deaths: 382 2028 Total deaths: 358 2027 Total deaths: 334 2026 Total deaths: 314 2025 Total deaths: 300 2024 Total deaths: 288 2023 Total deaths: 274 2022 Total deaths: 264 2021 Total deaths: 255 2020 Total deaths: 247 2019 Total deaths: 243 2018 Total deaths: 246 2017 Total deaths: 267 2041 Total births: 1,235 2040 Total births: 1,146 2039 Total births: 1,059 2038 Total births: 978 2037 Total births: 903 2036 Total births: 832 2035 Total births: 764 2034 Total births: 700 2033 Total births: 640 2032 Total births: 583 2031 Total births: 533 2030 Total births: 487 2029 Total births: 447 2028 Total births: 410 2027 Total births: 377 2026 Total births: 350 2025 Total births: 330 2024 Total births: 314 2023 Total births: 299 2022 Total births: 286 2021 Total births: 274 2020 Total births: 263 2019 Total births: 255 2018 Total births: 246 2017 Total births: 237
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 4,983 2040 Total net migration: 4,892 2039 Total net migration: 4,755 2038 Total net migration: 4,505 2037 Total net migration: 4,221 2036 Total net migration: 4,010 2035 Total net migration: 3,782 2034 Total net migration: 3,571 2033 Total net migration: 3,357 2032 Total net migration: 3,111 2031 Total net migration: 2,760 2030 Total net migration: 2,516 2029 Total net migration: 2,202 2028 Total net migration: 1,981 2027 Total net migration: 1,788 2026 Total net migration: 1,467 2025 Total net migration: 1,154 2024 Total net migration: 976 2023 Total net migration: 926 2022 Total net migration: 814 2021 Total net migration: 762 2020 Total net migration: 686 2019 Total net migration: 565 2018 Total net migration: 502 2017 Total net migration: 479 2041 Total out migration: 6,374 2040 Total out migration: 5,933 2039 Total out migration: 5,504 2038 Total out migration: 5,099 2037 Total out migration: 4,718 2036 Total out migration: 4,357 2035 Total out migration: 4,017 2034 Total out migration: 3,695 2033 Total out migration: 3,392 2032 Total out migration: 3,110 2031 Total out migration: 2,860 2030 Total out migration: 2,633 2029 Total out migration: 2,434 2028 Total out migration: 2,254 2027 Total out migration: 2,092 2026 Total out migration: 1,959 2025 Total out migration: 1,856 2024 Total out migration: 1,768 2023 Total out migration: 1,686 2022 Total out migration: 1,614 2021 Total out migration: 1,547 2020 Total out migration: 1,486 2019 Total out migration: 1,435 2018 Total out migration: 1,389 2017 Total out migration: 1,349 2041 Total in migration: 11,357 2040 Total in migration: 10,825 2039 Total in migration: 10,259 2038 Total in migration: 9,603 2037 Total in migration: 8,939 2036 Total in migration: 8,367 2035 Total in migration: 7,799 2034 Total in migration: 7,266 2033 Total in migration: 6,749 2032 Total in migration: 6,221 2031 Total in migration: 5,621 2030 Total in migration: 5,149 2029 Total in migration: 4,637 2028 Total in migration: 4,236 2027 Total in migration: 3,879 2026 Total in migration: 3,426 2025 Total in migration: 3,010 2024 Total in migration: 2,744 2023 Total in migration: 2,612 2022 Total in migration: 2,428 2021 Total in migration: 2,309 2020 Total in migration: 2,172 2019 Total in migration: 2,000 2018 Total in migration: 1,891 2017 Total in migration: 1,827 2041 Total net migration: 4,983 2040 Total net migration: 4,892 2039 Total net migration: 4,755 2038 Total net migration: 4,505 2037 Total net migration: 4,221 2036 Total net migration: 4,010 2035 Total net migration: 3,782 2034 Total net migration: 3,571 2033 Total net migration: 3,357 2032 Total net migration: 3,111 2031 Total net migration: 2,760 2030 Total net migration: 2,516 2029 Total net migration: 2,202 2028 Total net migration: 1,981 2027 Total net migration: 1,788 2026 Total net migration: 1,467 2025 Total net migration: 1,154 2024 Total net migration: 976 2023 Total net migration: 926 2022 Total net migration: 814 2021 Total net migration: 762 2020 Total net migration: 686 2019 Total net migration: 565 2018 Total net migration: 502 2017 Total net migration: 479 2041 Total out migration: 6,374 2040 Total out migration: 5,933 2039 Total out migration: 5,504 2038 Total out migration: 5,099 2037 Total out migration: 4,718 2036 Total out migration: 4,357 2035 Total out migration: 4,017 2034 Total out migration: 3,695 2033 Total out migration: 3,392 2032 Total out migration: 3,110 2031 Total out migration: 2,860 2030 Total out migration: 2,633 2029 Total out migration: 2,434 2028 Total out migration: 2,254 2027 Total out migration: 2,092 2026 Total out migration: 1,959 2025 Total out migration: 1,856 2024 Total out migration: 1,768 2023 Total out migration: 1,686 2022 Total out migration: 1,614 2021 Total out migration: 1,547 2020 Total out migration: 1,486 2019 Total out migration: 1,435 2018 Total out migration: 1,389 2017 Total out migration: 1,349 2041 Total in migration: 11,357 2040 Total in migration: 10,825 2039 Total in migration: 10,259 2038 Total in migration: 9,603 2037 Total in migration: 8,939 2036 Total in migration: 8,367 2035 Total in migration: 7,799 2034 Total in migration: 7,266 2033 Total in migration: 6,749 2032 Total in migration: 6,221 2031 Total in migration: 5,621 2030 Total in migration: 5,149 2029 Total in migration: 4,637 2028 Total in migration: 4,236 2027 Total in migration: 3,879 2026 Total in migration: 3,426 2025 Total in migration: 3,010 2024 Total in migration: 2,744 2023 Total in migration: 2,612 2022 Total in migration: 2,428 2021 Total in migration: 2,309 2020 Total in migration: 2,172 2019 Total in migration: 2,000 2018 Total in migration: 1,891 2017 Total in migration: 1,827
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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