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Murray Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Murray Shire Council

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Murray Shire Council is forecast to grow from 7,860 in 2016 to 28,957 in 2051, with the average household size remaining stable from 2.49 to 2.66 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Murray Shire Council. The period 2016 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Murray Shire CouncilForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036204120462051
Population17,12218,33620,04223,73432,35244,63957,80170,913
Change in population (5yrs)--1,2131,7063,6928,61812,28813,16213,112
Average annual change--1.38%1.80%3.44%6.39%6.65%5.30%4.17%
Households6,8297,3798,0569,46012,57116,94221,69226,501
Average household size2.492.462.472.492.562.622.652.66
Population in non private dwellings89147169169191258303348
Dwellings7,8608,4519,18910,73114,12218,81223,87728,957
Dwelling occupancy rate86.8887.3287.6788.1689.0290.0690.8591.52
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Murray Shire Council was estimated to be 17,122 people. It is expected to increase by over 6,612 people to 23,734 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 2.20%. This is based on an increase of over 2,631 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.49 to 2.49 by 2031.

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