City of MonashPopulation forecast
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Notting Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Notting Hill indicate a 32.2% increase in population under working age, a 33.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Monash is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Notting Hill - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41685.21945.42005.3+32
5 to 9772.41353.81373.7+60
10 to 14932.91183.31193.2+26
15 to 192567.93459.73629.6+106
20 to 2465520.255715.658615.6-69
25 to 2958518.051614.553814.4-47
30 to 3438711.937710.639510.5+8
35 to 391935.92487.02556.8+62
40 to 441514.71965.51985.3+47
45 to 491394.31835.11905.1+51
50 to 541113.41464.11624.3+51
55 to 591113.41303.61433.8+32
60 to 64912.81153.21283.4+37
65 to 69642.0882.5992.7+35
70 to 74692.1832.3882.4+19
75 to 79441.4571.6651.7+21
80 to 84431.3341.0431.10
85 and over70.2401.1411.1+34
Total persons3,244100.03,563100.03,748100.0+504

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 41 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 65 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 88 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 99 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 128 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 143 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 162 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 190 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 198 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 255 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 395 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 538 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 586 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 362 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 119 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 137 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 200 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 40 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 57 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 83 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 88 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 115 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 130 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 146 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 183 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 196 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 248 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 377 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 516 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 557 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 345 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 118 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 135 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 194 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 44 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 69 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 64 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 91 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 111 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 111 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 139 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 151 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 193 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 387 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 585 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 655 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 256 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 93 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 77 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 168
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 9 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 8 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 12 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 12 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 14 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 16 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 17 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 22 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 28 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 33 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: -9 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 13 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 14 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 24 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 24 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 19 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 35 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 44 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 45 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 55 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: -10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -69 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: -98 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 89 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 25 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 58 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 26
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Notting Hill was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 20.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 89 and account for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 557 persons.

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