City of MonashPopulation forecast
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City of Monash

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for the City of Monash indicate a 12.7% increase in population under working age, a 14.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 19.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Monash is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Monash - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 410,2135.311,5285.112,6075.1+2,394
5 to 910,5565.511,4235.012,4855.0+1,929
10 to 1410,0405.211,7635.212,8275.1+2,787
15 to 1913,1816.817,2577.618,4707.4+5,289
20 to 2419,28910.022,2659.824,1219.7+4,832
25 to 2915,8188.218,7468.320,6088.3+4,790
30 to 3413,9327.216,3677.218,0167.2+4,084
35 to 3912,1446.315,5606.817,0366.8+4,892
40 to 4412,5636.515,4296.816,9336.8+4,370
45 to 4912,5836.514,7136.516,2106.5+3,627
50 to 5411,2995.913,0355.714,7695.9+3,470
55 to 5910,1575.311,8425.213,1965.3+3,039
60 to 649,0424.710,7184.711,5464.6+2,504
65 to 698,4714.49,3434.110,3514.2+1,880
70 to 747,2583.87,9923.58,9963.6+1,738
75 to 796,3553.36,7253.07,5583.0+1,203
80 to 844,8202.55,5982.56,1632.5+1,343
85 and over5,1292.76,8633.07,3933.0+2,264
Total persons192,850100.0227,168100.0249,287100.0+56,436

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 7,393 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 6,163 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 7,558 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 8,996 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 10,351 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 11,546 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 13,196 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 14,769 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 16,210 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 16,933 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 17,036 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 18,016 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 20,608 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 24,121 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 18,470 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 12,827 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 12,485 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 12,607 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 6,863 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 5,598 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 6,725 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 7,992 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 9,343 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 10,718 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 11,842 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 13,035 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 14,713 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 15,429 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 15,560 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 16,367 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 18,746 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 22,265 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 17,257 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 11,763 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 11,423 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 11,528 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 5,129 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 4,820 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 6,355 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 7,258 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,471 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 9,042 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 10,157 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 11,299 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 12,583 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 12,563 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 12,144 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 13,932 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 15,818 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 19,289 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 13,181 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 10,040 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 10,556 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 10,213
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 530 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 565 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 833 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 1,004 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 1,009 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 828 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 1,353 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 1,734 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 1,497 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 1,504 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 1,476 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 1,650 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 1,863 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 1,856 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 1,213 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 1,064 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 1,062 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 1,079 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 1,734 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 778 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 370 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 734 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 872 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 1,676 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 1,685 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 1,736 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 2,130 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 2,866 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 3,416 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 2,435 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 2,928 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 2,976 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 4,076 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 1,723 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 867 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 1,315
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Monash was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 10.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 4,076 and account for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 22,265 persons.

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