City of MonashPopulation forecast
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Clayton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Clayton indicate a 56.6% increase in population under working age, a 37.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 31.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Monash is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Clayton - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49124.41,3594.91,4734.8+561
5 to 95782.89083.39983.2+420
10 to 143901.96782.47592.5+369
15 to 192,38411.63,80213.74,17113.5+1,787
20 to 245,57527.06,32322.86,90522.4+1,330
25 to 292,83713.83,77413.64,09713.3+1,260
30 to 341,9629.52,4588.92,7028.8+740
35 to 391,1325.51,6526.01,8105.9+678
40 to 447313.51,1504.11,2924.2+561
45 to 496233.09123.31,0353.4+412
50 to 545692.87722.89012.9+332
55 to 595002.46542.47902.6+290
60 to 644712.36152.27142.3+243
65 to 694102.05852.16592.1+249
70 to 743331.65061.85951.9+262
75 to 793551.74761.75851.9+230
80 to 843351.64201.55391.7+204
85 and over5142.56892.58222.7+307
Total persons20,611100.027,731100.030,848100.0+10,237

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 822 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 539 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 585 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 595 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 659 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 714 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 790 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 901 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,035 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,292 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,810 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,702 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 4,097 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 6,905 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 4,171 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 759 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 998 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,473 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 689 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 420 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 476 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 506 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 585 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 615 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 654 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 772 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 912 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 1,150 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 1,652 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 2,458 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 3,774 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 6,323 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 3,802 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 678 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 908 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,359 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 514 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 335 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 355 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 333 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 410 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 471 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 500 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 569 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 623 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 731 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,132 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,962 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,837 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 5,575 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 2,384 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 390 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 578 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 912
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 133 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 119 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 109 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 89 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 74 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 99 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 136 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 129 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 123 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 143 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 158 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 244 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 323 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 582 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 370 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 81 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 90 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 113 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 174 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 85 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 121 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 173 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 175 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 144 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 154 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 203 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 289 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 419 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 520 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 496 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 937 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 748 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 1,418 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 288 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 330 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 447
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Clayton was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 27.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 1,418 and account for 13.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 6,323 persons.

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