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City of MonashPopulation forecast

Wheelers Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Wheelers Hill indicate a 11.8% increase in population under working age, a 14.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 17.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wheelers Hill is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wheelers Hill - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49604.61,0214.21,0974.3+137
5 to 91,1365.41,2465.11,3385.2+202
10 to 141,2235.81,4446.01,5596.0+336
15 to 191,2966.21,6486.81,7206.7+424
20 to 241,3266.31,5866.51,6786.5+352
25 to 291,0925.21,2895.31,3855.4+293
30 to 341,0014.81,2155.01,3005.0+299
35 to 391,0815.21,4486.01,5506.0+469
40 to 441,3186.31,6947.01,8177.0+499
45 to 491,4707.01,7537.21,8917.3+421
50 to 541,3826.61,5726.51,7676.8+385
55 to 591,3456.41,4135.81,6066.2+261
60 to 641,3636.51,2835.31,3815.4+18
65 to 691,4326.81,1344.71,2164.7-216
70 to 741,2055.81,0284.21,0864.2-119
75 to 798934.31,0144.29833.8+90
80 to 846493.11,0354.39573.7+308
85 and over7453.61,4255.91,4775.7+732
Total persons20,917100.024,249100.025,809100.0+4,892
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Wheelers Hill was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 680 and account for 5.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 1,753 persons.

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