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Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast

Lilydale

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Lilydale indicate a 38.1% increase in females under working age, a 35.8% increase in females of retirement age, and a 42.9% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Yarra Ranges Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lilydale - Total females202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44715.27666.18875.6+416
5 to 94374.96395.18005.0+363
10 to 145736.46415.18035.0+231
15 to 195416.06645.38305.2+289
20 to 245225.87255.78195.1+298
25 to 295656.38997.19656.1+400
30 to 345986.71,0037.91,0826.8+484
35 to 395456.19557.61,1036.9+559
40 to 445526.19327.41,1267.1+575
45 to 496367.18286.61,1217.0+486
50 to 546587.37616.01,0916.9+433
55 to 595796.47365.89916.2+412
60 to 645366.06885.48795.5+344
65 to 694535.16555.28265.2+372
70 to 745025.66295.08365.3+334
75 to 793063.44603.67304.6+425
80 to 842432.73662.95513.5+308
85 and over2602.92852.34682.9+208
Total persons8,976100.012,632100.015,911100.0+6,935
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Lilydale was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.3% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 410 and account for 7.6% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,003 females.

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