Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Yarra Ranges Council area

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Yarra Ranges Council area indicate a 4.6% increase in population under working age, a 39.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Yarra Ranges Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Yarra Ranges Council area - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,8726.410,2876.111,1346.0+1,262
5 to 9 10,3066.610,6606.411,5906.2+1,284
10 to 14 9,8976.410,5266.311,5476.2+1,649
15 to 19 10,2046.610,1426.111,1286.0+924
20 to 24 9,6456.29,2295.510,2345.5+589
25 to 29 9,7096.39,6605.810,4425.6+733
30 to 34 9,6956.210,6196.311,4996.2+1,804
35 to 39 9,6436.211,1196.612,2326.6+2,590
40 to 44 10,8847.010,9606.512,4706.7+1,586
45 to 49 11,1947.210,5616.312,2156.6+1,022
50 to 54 11,0237.110,7886.411,5746.2+551
55 to 59 10,6356.810,4606.210,7085.8+74
60 to 64 9,2656.09,8135.99,7115.2+446
65 to 69 8,4365.49,0975.49,2595.0+824
70 to 74 6,0493.97,8434.78,6674.7+2,618
75 to 79 3,9072.56,8414.17,8914.2+3,984
80 to 84 2,4101.64,6752.86,7113.6+4,300
85 and over2,5271.64,1902.56,8903.7+4,363
Total persons155,300100.0167,469100.0185,902100.0+30,602

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 6,890 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 6,711 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 7,891 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 8,667 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 9,259 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 9,711 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 10,708 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 11,574 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 12,215 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 12,470 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 12,232 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 11,499 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 10,442 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 10,234 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 11,128 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 11,547 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 11,590 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 11,134 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 4,190 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,675 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,841 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 7,843 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 9,097 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 9,813 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 10,460 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 10,788 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 10,561 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 10,960 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 11,119 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 10,619 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 9,660 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 9,229 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 10,142 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 10,526 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 10,660 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 10,287 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,527 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,410 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,907 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 6,049 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,436 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 9,265 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 10,635 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 11,023 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 11,194 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 10,884 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 9,643 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 9,695 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 9,709 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 9,645 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 10,204 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 9,897 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 10,306 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 9,872
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 2,700 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 2,036 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 1,050 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 824 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 162 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -102 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 248 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 786 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 1,654 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 1,510 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 1,113 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 880 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 782 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 1,005 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 987 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 1,020 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 931 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 847 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,662 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 2,264 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 2,934 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,794 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 661 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 548 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -174 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -235 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -632 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,477 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 924 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -50 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -416 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -63 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 629 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 353 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 415
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Yarra Ranges Council area was ages 45 to 49 , which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 2,934 and account for 4.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 11,119 persons.

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