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City of WyndhamPopulation forecast

Point Cook South

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Point Cook South indicate a 32.1% increase in population under working age, a 173.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 40.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Point Cook South is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Point Cook South - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,05013.52,0839.73,0129.1+962
5 to 91,56410.32,1089.83,0469.2+1,482
10 to 149486.31,8348.52,6077.8+1,659
15 to 196554.31,2996.01,9836.0+1,327
20 to 246684.49724.51,4504.4+782
25 to 291,1647.71,3336.21,8395.5+675
30 to 342,15114.22,0889.72,8708.6+718
35 to 392,11414.02,28710.63,2209.7+1,106
40 to 441,3468.92,0649.62,7838.4+1,437
45 to 498215.41,6497.72,2356.7+1,413
50 to 545053.31,1365.31,7955.4+1,290
55 to 593712.58173.81,6184.9+1,247
60 to 643352.26312.91,4794.4+1,143
65 to 692501.74952.31,2123.6+962
70 to 741290.93801.89012.7+772
75 to 79510.32361.16121.8+561
80 to 84180.1970.43651.1+347
85 and over70.0350.22470.7+240
Total persons15,152100.021,545100.033,275100.0+18,123
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Point Cook South was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 14.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 885 and account for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 2,287 persons.

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