City of WyndhamPopulation forecast
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Arndell

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Arndell indicate a 11.4% decrease in population under working age, a 91.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Wyndham is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Arndell - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45317.14556.24105.8-122
5 to 95737.74916.74386.2-135
10 to 145247.04976.84486.4-76
15 to 195507.44986.84356.2-115
20 to 245447.34436.14135.9-131
25 to 295367.24536.24216.0-115
30 to 345697.64716.54356.2-134
35 to 394596.14566.34185.9-41
40 to 445557.44626.34145.9-141
45 to 495707.64456.14186.0-152
50 to 545667.65087.04296.1-137
55 to 595136.95297.24516.4-62
60 to 644235.75076.94246.0+1
65 to 692633.54245.84105.8+147
70 to 741632.23204.43665.2+203
75 to 79731.01772.43084.4+235
80 to 84360.5961.32243.2+188
85 and over260.4590.81692.4+143
Total persons7,475100.07,291100.07,032100.0-443

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 169 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 224 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 308 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 366 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 410 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 424 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 451 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 429 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 418 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 414 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 418 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 435 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 421 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 413 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 435 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 448 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 438 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 410 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 59 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 177 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 320 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 424 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 507 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 529 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 508 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 445 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 462 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 456 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 471 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 453 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 443 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 498 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 497 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 491 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 455 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 36 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 73 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 163 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 263 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 423 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 513 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 566 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 570 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 555 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 459 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 569 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 536 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 544 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 550 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 524 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 573 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 531
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 110 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 129 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 131 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 46 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: -14 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -83 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -78 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -79 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: -27 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -48 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -38 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -36 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -32 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: -30 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -63 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -49 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -53 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -46 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 157 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -58 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -125 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -93 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -98 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -83 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -101 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -52 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -82 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -76
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Arndell was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 162 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 529 persons.

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