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Point Cook South

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Point Cook South is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 4,656 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Point Cook SouthForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--2,9562,7172,7562,9112,860
Deaths--119165230333450
Natural increase/decrease--2,8372,5512,5262,5782,410
Net migration--1,8199321,5661,098-866
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--00000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 32 2040 forecast population change: 112 2039 forecast population change: 358 2038 forecast population change: 443 2037 forecast population change: 599 2036 forecast population change: 594 2035 forecast population change: 674 2034 forecast population change: 725 2033 forecast population change: 836 2032 forecast population change: 846 2031 forecast population change: 927 2030 forecast population change: 887 2029 forecast population change: 825 2028 forecast population change: 705 2027 forecast population change: 748 2026 forecast population change: 736 2025 forecast population change: 828 2024 forecast population change: 876 2023 forecast population change: 629 2022 forecast population change: 414 2021 forecast population change: 462 2020 forecast population change: 601 2019 forecast population change: 936 2018 forecast population change: 1,235 2017 forecast population change: 1,423
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 453 2040 Natural increase: 472 2039 Natural increase: 485 2038 Natural increase: 496 2037 Natural increase: 503 2036 Natural increase: 511 2035 Natural increase: 515 2034 Natural increase: 518 2033 Natural increase: 518 2032 Natural increase: 516 2031 Natural increase: 510 2030 Natural increase: 505 2029 Natural increase: 502 2028 Natural increase: 504 2027 Natural increase: 504 2026 Natural increase: 505 2025 Natural increase: 503 2024 Natural increase: 500 2023 Natural increase: 510 2022 Natural increase: 534 2021 Natural increase: 560 2020 Natural increase: 575 2019 Natural increase: 578 2018 Natural increase: 570 2017 Natural increase: 554 2041 Total deaths: 99 2040 Total deaths: 95 2039 Total deaths: 90 2038 Total deaths: 86 2037 Total deaths: 81 2036 Total deaths: 76 2035 Total deaths: 71 2034 Total deaths: 67 2033 Total deaths: 62 2032 Total deaths: 57 2031 Total deaths: 53 2030 Total deaths: 49 2029 Total deaths: 46 2028 Total deaths: 43 2027 Total deaths: 40 2026 Total deaths: 37 2025 Total deaths: 35 2024 Total deaths: 33 2023 Total deaths: 31 2022 Total deaths: 29 2021 Total deaths: 28 2020 Total deaths: 26 2019 Total deaths: 24 2018 Total deaths: 22 2017 Total deaths: 20 2041 Total births: 552 2040 Total births: 567 2039 Total births: 575 2038 Total births: 582 2037 Total births: 584 2036 Total births: 587 2035 Total births: 587 2034 Total births: 585 2033 Total births: 579 2032 Total births: 573 2031 Total births: 563 2030 Total births: 555 2029 Total births: 548 2028 Total births: 546 2027 Total births: 544 2026 Total births: 542 2025 Total births: 538 2024 Total births: 533 2023 Total births: 541 2022 Total births: 563 2021 Total births: 588 2020 Total births: 601 2019 Total births: 602 2018 Total births: 592 2017 Total births: 574 2041 Natural increase: 453 2040 Natural increase: 472 2039 Natural increase: 485 2038 Natural increase: 496 2037 Natural increase: 503 2036 Natural increase: 511 2035 Natural increase: 515 2034 Natural increase: 518 2033 Natural increase: 518 2032 Natural increase: 516 2031 Natural increase: 510 2030 Natural increase: 505 2029 Natural increase: 502 2028 Natural increase: 504 2027 Natural increase: 504 2026 Natural increase: 505 2025 Natural increase: 503 2024 Natural increase: 500 2023 Natural increase: 510 2022 Natural increase: 534 2021 Natural increase: 560 2020 Natural increase: 575 2019 Natural increase: 578 2018 Natural increase: 570 2017 Natural increase: 554 2041 Total deaths: 99 2040 Total deaths: 95 2039 Total deaths: 90 2038 Total deaths: 86 2037 Total deaths: 81 2036 Total deaths: 76 2035 Total deaths: 71 2034 Total deaths: 67 2033 Total deaths: 62 2032 Total deaths: 57 2031 Total deaths: 53 2030 Total deaths: 49 2029 Total deaths: 46 2028 Total deaths: 43 2027 Total deaths: 40 2026 Total deaths: 37 2025 Total deaths: 35 2024 Total deaths: 33 2023 Total deaths: 31 2022 Total deaths: 29 2021 Total deaths: 28 2020 Total deaths: 26 2019 Total deaths: 24 2018 Total deaths: 22 2017 Total deaths: 20 2041 Total births: 552 2040 Total births: 567 2039 Total births: 575 2038 Total births: 582 2037 Total births: 584 2036 Total births: 587 2035 Total births: 587 2034 Total births: 585 2033 Total births: 579 2032 Total births: 573 2031 Total births: 563 2030 Total births: 555 2029 Total births: 548 2028 Total births: 546 2027 Total births: 544 2026 Total births: 542 2025 Total births: 538 2024 Total births: 533 2023 Total births: 541 2022 Total births: 563 2021 Total births: 588 2020 Total births: 601 2019 Total births: 602 2018 Total births: 592 2017 Total births: 574
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -421 2040 Total net migration: -361 2039 Total net migration: -127 2038 Total net migration: -53 2037 Total net migration: 96 2036 Total net migration: 83 2035 Total net migration: 159 2034 Total net migration: 207 2033 Total net migration: 319 2032 Total net migration: 330 2031 Total net migration: 417 2030 Total net migration: 382 2029 Total net migration: 322 2028 Total net migration: 202 2027 Total net migration: 244 2026 Total net migration: 232 2025 Total net migration: 326 2024 Total net migration: 376 2023 Total net migration: 119 2022 Total net migration: -120 2021 Total net migration: -98 2020 Total net migration: 26 2019 Total net migration: 358 2018 Total net migration: 665 2017 Total net migration: 869 2041 Total out migration: 2,944 2040 Total out migration: 2,952 2039 Total out migration: 2,933 2038 Total out migration: 2,905 2037 Total out migration: 2,861 2036 Total out migration: 2,817 2035 Total out migration: 2,765 2034 Total out migration: 2,707 2033 Total out migration: 2,637 2032 Total out migration: 2,566 2031 Total out migration: 2,485 2030 Total out migration: 2,408 2029 Total out migration: 2,338 2028 Total out migration: 2,282 2027 Total out migration: 2,203 2026 Total out migration: 2,146 2025 Total out migration: 2,081 2024 Total out migration: 2,011 2023 Total out migration: 1,971 2022 Total out migration: 1,958 2021 Total out migration: 1,940 2020 Total out migration: 1,907 2019 Total out migration: 1,839 2018 Total out migration: 1,734 2017 Total out migration: 1,604 2041 Total in migration: 2,523 2040 Total in migration: 2,591 2039 Total in migration: 2,806 2038 Total in migration: 2,852 2037 Total in migration: 2,957 2036 Total in migration: 2,901 2035 Total in migration: 2,924 2034 Total in migration: 2,914 2033 Total in migration: 2,955 2032 Total in migration: 2,896 2031 Total in migration: 2,902 2030 Total in migration: 2,790 2029 Total in migration: 2,660 2028 Total in migration: 2,484 2027 Total in migration: 2,446 2026 Total in migration: 2,378 2025 Total in migration: 2,407 2024 Total in migration: 2,387 2023 Total in migration: 2,090 2022 Total in migration: 1,839 2021 Total in migration: 1,842 2020 Total in migration: 1,933 2019 Total in migration: 2,197 2018 Total in migration: 2,399 2017 Total in migration: 2,473 2041 Total net migration: -421 2040 Total net migration: -361 2039 Total net migration: -127 2038 Total net migration: -53 2037 Total net migration: 96 2036 Total net migration: 83 2035 Total net migration: 159 2034 Total net migration: 207 2033 Total net migration: 319 2032 Total net migration: 330 2031 Total net migration: 417 2030 Total net migration: 382 2029 Total net migration: 322 2028 Total net migration: 202 2027 Total net migration: 244 2026 Total net migration: 232 2025 Total net migration: 326 2024 Total net migration: 376 2023 Total net migration: 119 2022 Total net migration: -120 2021 Total net migration: -98 2020 Total net migration: 26 2019 Total net migration: 358 2018 Total net migration: 665 2017 Total net migration: 869 2041 Total out migration: 2,944 2040 Total out migration: 2,952 2039 Total out migration: 2,933 2038 Total out migration: 2,905 2037 Total out migration: 2,861 2036 Total out migration: 2,817 2035 Total out migration: 2,765 2034 Total out migration: 2,707 2033 Total out migration: 2,637 2032 Total out migration: 2,566 2031 Total out migration: 2,485 2030 Total out migration: 2,408 2029 Total out migration: 2,338 2028 Total out migration: 2,282 2027 Total out migration: 2,203 2026 Total out migration: 2,146 2025 Total out migration: 2,081 2024 Total out migration: 2,011 2023 Total out migration: 1,971 2022 Total out migration: 1,958 2021 Total out migration: 1,940 2020 Total out migration: 1,907 2019 Total out migration: 1,839 2018 Total out migration: 1,734 2017 Total out migration: 1,604 2041 Total in migration: 2,523 2040 Total in migration: 2,591 2039 Total in migration: 2,806 2038 Total in migration: 2,852 2037 Total in migration: 2,957 2036 Total in migration: 2,901 2035 Total in migration: 2,924 2034 Total in migration: 2,914 2033 Total in migration: 2,955 2032 Total in migration: 2,896 2031 Total in migration: 2,902 2030 Total in migration: 2,790 2029 Total in migration: 2,660 2028 Total in migration: 2,484 2027 Total in migration: 2,446 2026 Total in migration: 2,378 2025 Total in migration: 2,407 2024 Total in migration: 2,387 2023 Total in migration: 2,090 2022 Total in migration: 1,839 2021 Total in migration: 1,842 2020 Total in migration: 1,933 2019 Total in migration: 2,197 2018 Total in migration: 2,399 2017 Total in migration: 2,473
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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