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City of WyndhamPopulation forecast

Black Forest South - Racecourse

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Black Forest South - Racecourse indicate a 33.4% increase in population under working age, a 38.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 44.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Wyndham is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Black Forest South - Racecourse - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,4109.51,3226.31,3575.0-53
5 to 91,0917.31,8288.71,7986.6+707
10 to 148825.91,3646.51,7676.5+885
15 to 197344.91,2245.81,7066.3+972
20 to 241,0587.11,4907.11,8366.8+778
25 to 291,4229.51,9799.42,0967.7+674
30 to 341,62410.92,28710.82,4419.0+817
35 to 391,52610.22,22510.62,5819.5+1,055
40 to 449866.61,7048.12,2818.4+1,295
45 to 497925.31,2015.71,9947.4+1,202
50 to 547244.99874.71,7266.4+1,002
55 to 597635.19144.31,5095.6+746
60 to 646254.27943.81,1944.4+569
65 to 695043.45672.78923.3+388
70 to 743492.34342.16552.4+306
75 to 792151.43361.65241.9+309
80 to 841461.02421.14041.5+258
85 and over600.41840.93161.2+256
Total persons14,911100.021,084100.027,079100.0+12,168
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Black Forest South - Racecourse was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 737 and account for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 2,287 persons.

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