City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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South Melbourne

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in South Melbourne is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Port Phillip depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Consistent migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • Substantial gain in adults (18-29 years old), attracted to rental housing and proximity to lifestyle, employment and education opportunities
  • Small loss of couples and young families (35-44 and 0-9 year olds), accessing suitable family style housing and affordable home-owning opportunities elsewhere
  • Small gain of empty nesters, accessing dwelling opportunties in new development, falling to a net loss post 2021 as development opportunities become more scarce.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -11 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -38 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -54 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -46 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -72 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -33 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -56 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 18 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -25 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -151 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -213 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 80 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 384 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 387 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 184 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -33 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -154 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -304 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -19 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -59 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -72 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -56 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -14 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -3 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -103 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -206 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 346 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 351 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -35 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -144 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -300 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -28 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -38 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -18 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -32 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -40 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 0 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -6 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -49 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 331 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 621 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 527 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 194 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -44 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -107 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -170 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -11 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -38 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -54 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -46 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -72 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -33 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -56 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 18 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -25 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -151 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -213 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 80 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 384 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 387 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 184 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -33 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -154 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -304 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -19 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -59 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -72 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -56 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -14 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -3 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -103 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -206 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 346 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 351 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -35 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -144 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -300 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -28 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -38 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -18 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -32 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -40 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 0 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -6 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -49 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 331 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 621 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 527 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 194 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -44 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -107 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -170
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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