City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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South Melbourne

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in South Melbourne will increase by an average of 68 dwellings per annum to 6,473 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in City of Port Phillip. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • 79-83 Market Street - 66 dwellings (2016)
  • Momentum - 54 dwellings (2016)
  • Orbis - 48 dwellings (2016)
  • 244 Dorcas Street - 61 dwellings (2017)
  • 274 Coventry Street - 46 dwellings (2017)
  • LT. York Street - 23 dwellings (2017)
  • 240 Dorcas Street - 48 dwellings (2017)
  • 74-76 Eastern Road - 70 dwellings (2018)
  • St Vincent's Garden - 12 dwellings (2018)
  • 79-81 Palmerston Crescent - 11 dwellings (2018)
  • Teri Apartments - 195 dwellings (2019)
  • 75-77 Palmerston Crescent - 77 dwellings (2019)
  • 294-302 Ferrars Street - 29 dwellings (2019)
  • 228-230 Dorcas Street - 36 dwellings (2020)
  • 286-294 Kings Way - 35 dwellings (2020)
  • 114-130 Albert Road - 18 dwellings (2021)
  • 172-180 Albert Road - 40 dwellings (2021)
  • Future potential development - 20 dwellings (2022)
  • Moderate-high level of in-centre development (15-30 dwellings per annum)
  • Low-high level of infill (5-50 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 6,473 2040 Total dwellings: 6,418 2039 Total dwellings: 6,363 2038 Total dwellings: 6,308 2037 Total dwellings: 6,253 2036 Total dwellings: 6,198 2035 Total dwellings: 6,143 2034 Total dwellings: 6,088 2033 Total dwellings: 6,033 2032 Total dwellings: 5,978 2031 Total dwellings: 5,933 2030 Total dwellings: 5,888 2029 Total dwellings: 5,843 2028 Total dwellings: 5,798 2027 Total dwellings: 5,753 2026 Total dwellings: 5,708 2025 Total dwellings: 5,663 2024 Total dwellings: 5,633 2023 Total dwellings: 5,603 2022 Total dwellings: 5,578 2021 Total dwellings: 5,548 2020 Total dwellings: 5,460 2019 Total dwellings: 5,379 2018 Total dwellings: 5,068 2017 Total dwellings: 4,965 2041 Total dwellings: 6,473 2040 Total dwellings: 6,418 2039 Total dwellings: 6,363 2038 Total dwellings: 6,308 2037 Total dwellings: 6,253 2036 Total dwellings: 6,198 2035 Total dwellings: 6,143 2034 Total dwellings: 6,088 2033 Total dwellings: 6,033 2032 Total dwellings: 5,978 2031 Total dwellings: 5,933 2030 Total dwellings: 5,888 2029 Total dwellings: 5,843 2028 Total dwellings: 5,798 2027 Total dwellings: 5,753 2026 Total dwellings: 5,708 2025 Total dwellings: 5,663 2024 Total dwellings: 5,633 2023 Total dwellings: 5,603 2022 Total dwellings: 5,578 2021 Total dwellings: 5,548 2020 Total dwellings: 5,460 2019 Total dwellings: 5,379 2018 Total dwellings: 5,068 2017 Total dwellings: 4,965 2041 Forecast development: 55 2040 Forecast development: 55 2039 Forecast development: 55 2038 Forecast development: 55 2037 Forecast development: 55 2036 Forecast development: 55 2035 Forecast development: 55 2034 Forecast development: 55 2033 Forecast development: 55 2032 Forecast development: 45 2031 Forecast development: 45 2030 Forecast development: 45 2029 Forecast development: 45 2028 Forecast development: 45 2027 Forecast development: 45 2026 Forecast development: 45 2025 Forecast development: 30 2024 Forecast development: 30 2023 Forecast development: 25 2022 Forecast development: 30 2021 Forecast development: 88 2020 Forecast development: 81 2019 Forecast development: 311 2018 Forecast development: 103 2017 Forecast development: 183
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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