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Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast

Manly (Town Centre)

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Manly (Town Centre) is forecast to grow from 1,838 in 2016 to 2,421 in 2036, with the average household size rising from 1.87 to 1.88 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Manly (Town Centre). The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Manly (Town Centre)Forecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population3,0773,5443,7634,0024,237
Change in population (5yrs)--467220238236
Average annual change--2.87%1.21%1.24%1.15%
Households1,5951,8081,9282,0612,198
Average household size1.871.911.901.891.88
Population in non private dwellings9898989898
Dwellings1,8382,0612,1712,2962,421
Dwelling occupancy rate86.7887.7288.8189.7690.79
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Manly (Town Centre) was estimated to be 3,077 people. It is expected to increase by over 925 people to 4,002 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.66%. This is based on an increase of over 466 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 1.87 to 1.89 by 2026.

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