Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Narrabeen

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Narrabeen is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 737 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
NarrabeenForecast period
Component2017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births725711716730
Deaths537508535580
Natural increase/decrease188203181151
Net migration519254243140
Change in persons in non-private dwellings3045240

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 52 2035 forecast population change: 53 2034 forecast population change: 57 2033 forecast population change: 58 2032 forecast population change: 71 2031 forecast population change: 104 2030 forecast population change: 77 2029 forecast population change: 90 2028 forecast population change: 88 2027 forecast population change: 89 2026 forecast population change: 144 2025 forecast population change: 101 2024 forecast population change: 81 2023 forecast population change: 84 2022 forecast population change: 93 2021 forecast population change: 149 2020 forecast population change: 115 2019 forecast population change: 122 2018 forecast population change: 152 2017 forecast population change: 200
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 28 2035 Natural increase: 29 2034 Natural increase: 30 2033 Natural increase: 31 2032 Natural increase: 33 2031 Natural increase: 34 2030 Natural increase: 35 2029 Natural increase: 36 2028 Natural increase: 38 2027 Natural increase: 38 2026 Natural increase: 40 2025 Natural increase: 40 2024 Natural increase: 41 2023 Natural increase: 41 2022 Natural increase: 41 2021 Natural increase: 41 2020 Natural increase: 42 2019 Natural increase: 41 2018 Natural increase: 36 2017 Natural increase: 29 2036 Total deaths: 119 2035 Total deaths: 118 2034 Total deaths: 116 2033 Total deaths: 114 2032 Total deaths: 112 2031 Total deaths: 110 2030 Total deaths: 109 2029 Total deaths: 107 2028 Total deaths: 105 2027 Total deaths: 104 2026 Total deaths: 102 2025 Total deaths: 101 2024 Total deaths: 101 2023 Total deaths: 101 2022 Total deaths: 102 2021 Total deaths: 103 2020 Total deaths: 103 2019 Total deaths: 105 2018 Total deaths: 110 2017 Total deaths: 117 2036 Total births: 147 2035 Total births: 147 2034 Total births: 146 2033 Total births: 146 2032 Total births: 145 2031 Total births: 144 2030 Total births: 144 2029 Total births: 143 2028 Total births: 143 2027 Total births: 142 2026 Total births: 142 2025 Total births: 142 2024 Total births: 142 2023 Total births: 143 2022 Total births: 143 2021 Total births: 144 2020 Total births: 144 2019 Total births: 146 2018 Total births: 146 2017 Total births: 146 2036 Natural increase: 28 2035 Natural increase: 29 2034 Natural increase: 30 2033 Natural increase: 31 2032 Natural increase: 33 2031 Natural increase: 34 2030 Natural increase: 35 2029 Natural increase: 36 2028 Natural increase: 38 2027 Natural increase: 38 2026 Natural increase: 40 2025 Natural increase: 40 2024 Natural increase: 41 2023 Natural increase: 41 2022 Natural increase: 41 2021 Natural increase: 41 2020 Natural increase: 42 2019 Natural increase: 41 2018 Natural increase: 36 2017 Natural increase: 29 2036 Total deaths: 119 2035 Total deaths: 118 2034 Total deaths: 116 2033 Total deaths: 114 2032 Total deaths: 112 2031 Total deaths: 110 2030 Total deaths: 109 2029 Total deaths: 107 2028 Total deaths: 105 2027 Total deaths: 104 2026 Total deaths: 102 2025 Total deaths: 101 2024 Total deaths: 101 2023 Total deaths: 101 2022 Total deaths: 102 2021 Total deaths: 103 2020 Total deaths: 103 2019 Total deaths: 105 2018 Total deaths: 110 2017 Total deaths: 117 2036 Total births: 147 2035 Total births: 147 2034 Total births: 146 2033 Total births: 146 2032 Total births: 145 2031 Total births: 144 2030 Total births: 144 2029 Total births: 143 2028 Total births: 143 2027 Total births: 142 2026 Total births: 142 2025 Total births: 142 2024 Total births: 142 2023 Total births: 143 2022 Total births: 143 2021 Total births: 144 2020 Total births: 144 2019 Total births: 146 2018 Total births: 146 2017 Total births: 146
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 25 2035 Total net migration: 24 2034 Total net migration: 27 2033 Total net migration: 26 2032 Total net migration: 38 2031 Total net migration: 46 2030 Total net migration: 43 2029 Total net migration: 53 2028 Total net migration: 50 2027 Total net migration: 51 2026 Total net migration: 59 2025 Total net migration: 60 2024 Total net migration: 40 2023 Total net migration: 42 2022 Total net migration: 52 2021 Total net migration: 78 2020 Total net migration: 73 2019 Total net migration: 81 2018 Total net migration: 116 2017 Total net migration: 171 2036 Total out migration: 823 2035 Total out migration: 819 2034 Total out migration: 815 2033 Total out migration: 812 2032 Total out migration: 807 2031 Total out migration: 801 2030 Total out migration: 796 2029 Total out migration: 790 2028 Total out migration: 783 2027 Total out migration: 776 2026 Total out migration: 770 2025 Total out migration: 762 2024 Total out migration: 756 2023 Total out migration: 751 2022 Total out migration: 746 2021 Total out migration: 737 2020 Total out migration: 727 2019 Total out migration: 719 2018 Total out migration: 706 2017 Total out migration: 690 2036 Total in migration: 848 2035 Total in migration: 843 2034 Total in migration: 842 2033 Total in migration: 838 2032 Total in migration: 845 2031 Total in migration: 847 2030 Total in migration: 838 2029 Total in migration: 843 2028 Total in migration: 833 2027 Total in migration: 827 2026 Total in migration: 829 2025 Total in migration: 822 2024 Total in migration: 796 2023 Total in migration: 793 2022 Total in migration: 798 2021 Total in migration: 815 2020 Total in migration: 800 2019 Total in migration: 800 2018 Total in migration: 822 2017 Total in migration: 861 2036 Total net migration: 25 2035 Total net migration: 24 2034 Total net migration: 27 2033 Total net migration: 26 2032 Total net migration: 38 2031 Total net migration: 46 2030 Total net migration: 43 2029 Total net migration: 53 2028 Total net migration: 50 2027 Total net migration: 51 2026 Total net migration: 59 2025 Total net migration: 60 2024 Total net migration: 40 2023 Total net migration: 42 2022 Total net migration: 52 2021 Total net migration: 78 2020 Total net migration: 73 2019 Total net migration: 81 2018 Total net migration: 116 2017 Total net migration: 171 2036 Total out migration: 823 2035 Total out migration: 819 2034 Total out migration: 815 2033 Total out migration: 812 2032 Total out migration: 807 2031 Total out migration: 801 2030 Total out migration: 796 2029 Total out migration: 790 2028 Total out migration: 783 2027 Total out migration: 776 2026 Total out migration: 770 2025 Total out migration: 762 2024 Total out migration: 756 2023 Total out migration: 751 2022 Total out migration: 746 2021 Total out migration: 737 2020 Total out migration: 727 2019 Total out migration: 719 2018 Total out migration: 706 2017 Total out migration: 690 2036 Total in migration: 848 2035 Total in migration: 843 2034 Total in migration: 842 2033 Total in migration: 838 2032 Total in migration: 845 2031 Total in migration: 847 2030 Total in migration: 838 2029 Total in migration: 843 2028 Total in migration: 833 2027 Total in migration: 827 2026 Total in migration: 829 2025 Total in migration: 822 2024 Total in migration: 796 2023 Total in migration: 793 2022 Total in migration: 798 2021 Total in migration: 815 2020 Total in migration: 800 2019 Total in migration: 800 2018 Total in migration: 822 2017 Total in migration: 861
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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