City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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North Precinct

Components of population change

The greatest population change for North Precinct is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 5,792 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
North PrecinctForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,8882,1522,4622,9033,278
Deaths--380425513645788
Natural increase/decrease--1,5081,7271,9492,2592,490
Net migration--2,4811,7043,7693,0112,446
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--04475870

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 981 2040 forecast population change: 984 2039 forecast population change: 989 2038 forecast population change: 989 2037 forecast population change: 993 2036 forecast population change: 998 2035 forecast population change: 960 2034 forecast population change: 1,014 2033 forecast population change: 1,147 2032 forecast population change: 1,238 2031 forecast population change: 1,165 2030 forecast population change: 1,163 2029 forecast population change: 1,167 2028 forecast population change: 1,172 2027 forecast population change: 1,126 2026 forecast population change: 795 2025 forecast population change: 677 2024 forecast population change: 644 2023 forecast population change: 626 2022 forecast population change: 733 2021 forecast population change: 1,059 2020 forecast population change: 814 2019 forecast population change: 592 2018 forecast population change: 617 2017 forecast population change: 908
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 515 2040 Natural increase: 507 2039 Natural increase: 498 2038 Natural increase: 489 2037 Natural increase: 480 2036 Natural increase: 472 2035 Natural increase: 463 2034 Natural increase: 453 2033 Natural increase: 441 2032 Natural increase: 429 2031 Natural increase: 417 2030 Natural increase: 403 2029 Natural increase: 390 2028 Natural increase: 376 2027 Natural increase: 363 2026 Natural increase: 355 2025 Natural increase: 350 2024 Natural increase: 346 2023 Natural increase: 342 2022 Natural increase: 335 2021 Natural increase: 322 2020 Natural increase: 311 2019 Natural increase: 302 2018 Natural increase: 292 2017 Natural increase: 281 2041 Total deaths: 169 2040 Total deaths: 163 2039 Total deaths: 157 2038 Total deaths: 152 2037 Total deaths: 146 2036 Total deaths: 140 2035 Total deaths: 135 2034 Total deaths: 129 2033 Total deaths: 123 2032 Total deaths: 118 2031 Total deaths: 112 2030 Total deaths: 107 2029 Total deaths: 102 2028 Total deaths: 98 2027 Total deaths: 94 2026 Total deaths: 91 2025 Total deaths: 88 2024 Total deaths: 84 2023 Total deaths: 82 2022 Total deaths: 80 2021 Total deaths: 78 2020 Total deaths: 77 2019 Total deaths: 75 2018 Total deaths: 76 2017 Total deaths: 73 2041 Total births: 684 2040 Total births: 670 2039 Total births: 656 2038 Total births: 641 2037 Total births: 627 2036 Total births: 612 2035 Total births: 597 2034 Total births: 582 2033 Total births: 565 2032 Total births: 547 2031 Total births: 529 2030 Total births: 511 2029 Total births: 492 2028 Total births: 474 2027 Total births: 457 2026 Total births: 446 2025 Total births: 438 2024 Total births: 430 2023 Total births: 424 2022 Total births: 415 2021 Total births: 400 2020 Total births: 388 2019 Total births: 377 2018 Total births: 369 2017 Total births: 354 2041 Natural increase: 515 2040 Natural increase: 507 2039 Natural increase: 498 2038 Natural increase: 489 2037 Natural increase: 480 2036 Natural increase: 472 2035 Natural increase: 463 2034 Natural increase: 453 2033 Natural increase: 441 2032 Natural increase: 429 2031 Natural increase: 417 2030 Natural increase: 403 2029 Natural increase: 390 2028 Natural increase: 376 2027 Natural increase: 363 2026 Natural increase: 355 2025 Natural increase: 350 2024 Natural increase: 346 2023 Natural increase: 342 2022 Natural increase: 335 2021 Natural increase: 322 2020 Natural increase: 311 2019 Natural increase: 302 2018 Natural increase: 292 2017 Natural increase: 281 2041 Total deaths: 169 2040 Total deaths: 163 2039 Total deaths: 157 2038 Total deaths: 152 2037 Total deaths: 146 2036 Total deaths: 140 2035 Total deaths: 135 2034 Total deaths: 129 2033 Total deaths: 123 2032 Total deaths: 118 2031 Total deaths: 112 2030 Total deaths: 107 2029 Total deaths: 102 2028 Total deaths: 98 2027 Total deaths: 94 2026 Total deaths: 91 2025 Total deaths: 88 2024 Total deaths: 84 2023 Total deaths: 82 2022 Total deaths: 80 2021 Total deaths: 78 2020 Total deaths: 77 2019 Total deaths: 75 2018 Total deaths: 76 2017 Total deaths: 73 2041 Total births: 684 2040 Total births: 670 2039 Total births: 656 2038 Total births: 641 2037 Total births: 627 2036 Total births: 612 2035 Total births: 597 2034 Total births: 582 2033 Total births: 565 2032 Total births: 547 2031 Total births: 529 2030 Total births: 511 2029 Total births: 492 2028 Total births: 474 2027 Total births: 457 2026 Total births: 446 2025 Total births: 438 2024 Total births: 430 2023 Total births: 424 2022 Total births: 415 2021 Total births: 400 2020 Total births: 388 2019 Total births: 377 2018 Total births: 369 2017 Total births: 354
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 466 2040 Total net migration: 477 2039 Total net migration: 491 2038 Total net migration: 500 2037 Total net migration: 512 2036 Total net migration: 527 2035 Total net migration: 498 2034 Total net migration: 560 2033 Total net migration: 705 2032 Total net migration: 721 2031 Total net migration: 748 2030 Total net migration: 760 2029 Total net migration: 777 2028 Total net migration: 796 2027 Total net migration: 688 2026 Total net migration: 440 2025 Total net migration: 327 2024 Total net migration: 298 2023 Total net migration: 263 2022 Total net migration: 376 2021 Total net migration: 737 2020 Total net migration: 503 2019 Total net migration: 290 2018 Total net migration: 324 2017 Total net migration: 627 2041 Total out migration: 5,678 2040 Total out migration: 5,568 2039 Total out migration: 5,458 2038 Total out migration: 5,348 2037 Total out migration: 5,237 2036 Total out migration: 5,127 2035 Total out migration: 5,025 2034 Total out migration: 4,900 2033 Total out migration: 4,737 2032 Total out migration: 4,572 2031 Total out migration: 4,405 2030 Total out migration: 4,239 2029 Total out migration: 4,070 2028 Total out migration: 3,900 2027 Total out migration: 3,745 2026 Total out migration: 3,623 2025 Total out migration: 3,506 2024 Total out migration: 3,394 2023 Total out migration: 3,292 2022 Total out migration: 3,179 2021 Total out migration: 3,036 2020 Total out migration: 2,909 2019 Total out migration: 2,829 2018 Total out migration: 2,757 2017 Total out migration: 2,710 2041 Total in migration: 6,143 2040 Total in migration: 6,045 2039 Total in migration: 5,949 2038 Total in migration: 5,848 2037 Total in migration: 5,749 2036 Total in migration: 5,653 2035 Total in migration: 5,522 2034 Total in migration: 5,460 2033 Total in migration: 5,442 2032 Total in migration: 5,293 2031 Total in migration: 5,153 2030 Total in migration: 4,999 2029 Total in migration: 4,847 2028 Total in migration: 4,697 2027 Total in migration: 4,433 2026 Total in migration: 4,063 2025 Total in migration: 3,833 2024 Total in migration: 3,693 2023 Total in migration: 3,555 2022 Total in migration: 3,555 2021 Total in migration: 3,773 2020 Total in migration: 3,411 2019 Total in migration: 3,119 2018 Total in migration: 3,081 2017 Total in migration: 3,337 2041 Total net migration: 466 2040 Total net migration: 477 2039 Total net migration: 491 2038 Total net migration: 500 2037 Total net migration: 512 2036 Total net migration: 527 2035 Total net migration: 498 2034 Total net migration: 560 2033 Total net migration: 705 2032 Total net migration: 721 2031 Total net migration: 748 2030 Total net migration: 760 2029 Total net migration: 777 2028 Total net migration: 796 2027 Total net migration: 688 2026 Total net migration: 440 2025 Total net migration: 327 2024 Total net migration: 298 2023 Total net migration: 263 2022 Total net migration: 376 2021 Total net migration: 737 2020 Total net migration: 503 2019 Total net migration: 290 2018 Total net migration: 324 2017 Total net migration: 627 2041 Total out migration: 5,678 2040 Total out migration: 5,568 2039 Total out migration: 5,458 2038 Total out migration: 5,348 2037 Total out migration: 5,237 2036 Total out migration: 5,127 2035 Total out migration: 5,025 2034 Total out migration: 4,900 2033 Total out migration: 4,737 2032 Total out migration: 4,572 2031 Total out migration: 4,405 2030 Total out migration: 4,239 2029 Total out migration: 4,070 2028 Total out migration: 3,900 2027 Total out migration: 3,745 2026 Total out migration: 3,623 2025 Total out migration: 3,506 2024 Total out migration: 3,394 2023 Total out migration: 3,292 2022 Total out migration: 3,179 2021 Total out migration: 3,036 2020 Total out migration: 2,909 2019 Total out migration: 2,829 2018 Total out migration: 2,757 2017 Total out migration: 2,710 2041 Total in migration: 6,143 2040 Total in migration: 6,045 2039 Total in migration: 5,949 2038 Total in migration: 5,848 2037 Total in migration: 5,749 2036 Total in migration: 5,653 2035 Total in migration: 5,522 2034 Total in migration: 5,460 2033 Total in migration: 5,442 2032 Total in migration: 5,293 2031 Total in migration: 5,153 2030 Total in migration: 4,999 2029 Total in migration: 4,847 2028 Total in migration: 4,697 2027 Total in migration: 4,433 2026 Total in migration: 4,063 2025 Total in migration: 3,833 2024 Total in migration: 3,693 2023 Total in migration: 3,555 2022 Total in migration: 3,555 2021 Total in migration: 3,773 2020 Total in migration: 3,411 2019 Total in migration: 3,119 2018 Total in migration: 3,081 2017 Total in migration: 3,337
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
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