City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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South East Precinct

Components of population change

The greatest population change for South East Precinct is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,416 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
South East PrecinctForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,7371,7971,8571,8321,836
Deaths--237249261272291
Natural increase/decrease--1,5001,5481,5961,5601,545
Net migration---300-131-1,234-1,187-1,174
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--00000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 76 2040 forecast population change: 75 2039 forecast population change: 75 2038 forecast population change: 72 2037 forecast population change: 73 2036 forecast population change: 76 2035 forecast population change: 78 2034 forecast population change: 77 2033 forecast population change: 70 2032 forecast population change: 72 2031 forecast population change: 75 2030 forecast population change: 67 2029 forecast population change: 78 2028 forecast population change: 70 2027 forecast population change: 73 2026 forecast population change: 290 2025 forecast population change: 281 2024 forecast population change: 282 2023 forecast population change: 283 2022 forecast population change: 281 2021 forecast population change: 56 2020 forecast population change: 313 2019 forecast population change: 229 2018 forecast population change: 463 2017 forecast population change: 138
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 309 2040 Natural increase: 309 2039 Natural increase: 309 2038 Natural increase: 309 2037 Natural increase: 310 2036 Natural increase: 311 2035 Natural increase: 311 2034 Natural increase: 311 2033 Natural increase: 313 2032 Natural increase: 314 2031 Natural increase: 316 2030 Natural increase: 317 2029 Natural increase: 319 2028 Natural increase: 321 2027 Natural increase: 323 2026 Natural increase: 318 2025 Natural increase: 313 2024 Natural increase: 310 2023 Natural increase: 306 2022 Natural increase: 301 2021 Natural increase: 306 2020 Natural increase: 304 2019 Natural increase: 302 2018 Natural increase: 293 2017 Natural increase: 296 2041 Total deaths: 60 2040 Total deaths: 59 2039 Total deaths: 58 2038 Total deaths: 57 2037 Total deaths: 56 2036 Total deaths: 55 2035 Total deaths: 55 2034 Total deaths: 55 2033 Total deaths: 54 2032 Total deaths: 53 2031 Total deaths: 52 2030 Total deaths: 53 2029 Total deaths: 52 2028 Total deaths: 52 2027 Total deaths: 52 2026 Total deaths: 51 2025 Total deaths: 51 2024 Total deaths: 49 2023 Total deaths: 49 2022 Total deaths: 49 2021 Total deaths: 49 2020 Total deaths: 48 2019 Total deaths: 48 2018 Total deaths: 47 2017 Total deaths: 46 2041 Total births: 369 2040 Total births: 368 2039 Total births: 367 2038 Total births: 367 2037 Total births: 366 2036 Total births: 366 2035 Total births: 366 2034 Total births: 366 2033 Total births: 367 2032 Total births: 367 2031 Total births: 368 2030 Total births: 370 2029 Total births: 371 2028 Total births: 373 2027 Total births: 375 2026 Total births: 369 2025 Total births: 364 2024 Total births: 359 2023 Total births: 355 2022 Total births: 350 2021 Total births: 355 2020 Total births: 352 2019 Total births: 350 2018 Total births: 340 2017 Total births: 341 2041 Natural increase: 309 2040 Natural increase: 309 2039 Natural increase: 309 2038 Natural increase: 309 2037 Natural increase: 310 2036 Natural increase: 311 2035 Natural increase: 311 2034 Natural increase: 311 2033 Natural increase: 313 2032 Natural increase: 314 2031 Natural increase: 316 2030 Natural increase: 317 2029 Natural increase: 319 2028 Natural increase: 321 2027 Natural increase: 323 2026 Natural increase: 318 2025 Natural increase: 313 2024 Natural increase: 310 2023 Natural increase: 306 2022 Natural increase: 301 2021 Natural increase: 306 2020 Natural increase: 304 2019 Natural increase: 302 2018 Natural increase: 293 2017 Natural increase: 296 2041 Total deaths: 60 2040 Total deaths: 59 2039 Total deaths: 58 2038 Total deaths: 57 2037 Total deaths: 56 2036 Total deaths: 55 2035 Total deaths: 55 2034 Total deaths: 55 2033 Total deaths: 54 2032 Total deaths: 53 2031 Total deaths: 52 2030 Total deaths: 53 2029 Total deaths: 52 2028 Total deaths: 52 2027 Total deaths: 52 2026 Total deaths: 51 2025 Total deaths: 51 2024 Total deaths: 49 2023 Total deaths: 49 2022 Total deaths: 49 2021 Total deaths: 49 2020 Total deaths: 48 2019 Total deaths: 48 2018 Total deaths: 47 2017 Total deaths: 46 2041 Total births: 369 2040 Total births: 368 2039 Total births: 367 2038 Total births: 367 2037 Total births: 366 2036 Total births: 366 2035 Total births: 366 2034 Total births: 366 2033 Total births: 367 2032 Total births: 367 2031 Total births: 368 2030 Total births: 370 2029 Total births: 371 2028 Total births: 373 2027 Total births: 375 2026 Total births: 369 2025 Total births: 364 2024 Total births: 359 2023 Total births: 355 2022 Total births: 350 2021 Total births: 355 2020 Total births: 352 2019 Total births: 350 2018 Total births: 340 2017 Total births: 341
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -233 2040 Total net migration: -233 2039 Total net migration: -234 2038 Total net migration: -237 2037 Total net migration: -236 2036 Total net migration: -235 2035 Total net migration: -233 2034 Total net migration: -234 2033 Total net migration: -243 2032 Total net migration: -242 2031 Total net migration: -241 2030 Total net migration: -251 2029 Total net migration: -241 2028 Total net migration: -251 2027 Total net migration: -250 2026 Total net migration: -28 2025 Total net migration: -33 2024 Total net migration: -28 2023 Total net migration: -23 2022 Total net migration: -20 2021 Total net migration: -250 2020 Total net migration: 9 2019 Total net migration: -73 2018 Total net migration: 170 2017 Total net migration: -157 2041 Total out migration: 1,745 2040 Total out migration: 1,738 2039 Total out migration: 1,730 2038 Total out migration: 1,724 2037 Total out migration: 1,719 2036 Total out migration: 1,714 2035 Total out migration: 1,710 2034 Total out migration: 1,705 2033 Total out migration: 1,701 2032 Total out migration: 1,698 2031 Total out migration: 1,696 2030 Total out migration: 1,695 2029 Total out migration: 1,693 2028 Total out migration: 1,690 2027 Total out migration: 1,687 2026 Total out migration: 1,659 2025 Total out migration: 1,635 2024 Total out migration: 1,606 2023 Total out migration: 1,581 2022 Total out migration: 1,554 2021 Total out migration: 1,555 2020 Total out migration: 1,521 2019 Total out migration: 1,505 2018 Total out migration: 1,457 2017 Total out migration: 1,462 2041 Total in migration: 1,512 2040 Total in migration: 1,504 2039 Total in migration: 1,496 2038 Total in migration: 1,487 2037 Total in migration: 1,483 2036 Total in migration: 1,479 2035 Total in migration: 1,477 2034 Total in migration: 1,471 2033 Total in migration: 1,458 2032 Total in migration: 1,456 2031 Total in migration: 1,454 2030 Total in migration: 1,445 2029 Total in migration: 1,451 2028 Total in migration: 1,440 2027 Total in migration: 1,437 2026 Total in migration: 1,631 2025 Total in migration: 1,603 2024 Total in migration: 1,578 2023 Total in migration: 1,558 2022 Total in migration: 1,534 2021 Total in migration: 1,305 2020 Total in migration: 1,531 2019 Total in migration: 1,433 2018 Total in migration: 1,627 2017 Total in migration: 1,305 2041 Total net migration: -233 2040 Total net migration: -233 2039 Total net migration: -234 2038 Total net migration: -237 2037 Total net migration: -236 2036 Total net migration: -235 2035 Total net migration: -233 2034 Total net migration: -234 2033 Total net migration: -243 2032 Total net migration: -242 2031 Total net migration: -241 2030 Total net migration: -251 2029 Total net migration: -241 2028 Total net migration: -251 2027 Total net migration: -250 2026 Total net migration: -28 2025 Total net migration: -33 2024 Total net migration: -28 2023 Total net migration: -23 2022 Total net migration: -20 2021 Total net migration: -250 2020 Total net migration: 9 2019 Total net migration: -73 2018 Total net migration: 170 2017 Total net migration: -157 2041 Total out migration: 1,745 2040 Total out migration: 1,738 2039 Total out migration: 1,730 2038 Total out migration: 1,724 2037 Total out migration: 1,719 2036 Total out migration: 1,714 2035 Total out migration: 1,710 2034 Total out migration: 1,705 2033 Total out migration: 1,701 2032 Total out migration: 1,698 2031 Total out migration: 1,696 2030 Total out migration: 1,695 2029 Total out migration: 1,693 2028 Total out migration: 1,690 2027 Total out migration: 1,687 2026 Total out migration: 1,659 2025 Total out migration: 1,635 2024 Total out migration: 1,606 2023 Total out migration: 1,581 2022 Total out migration: 1,554 2021 Total out migration: 1,555 2020 Total out migration: 1,521 2019 Total out migration: 1,505 2018 Total out migration: 1,457 2017 Total out migration: 1,462 2041 Total in migration: 1,512 2040 Total in migration: 1,504 2039 Total in migration: 1,496 2038 Total in migration: 1,487 2037 Total in migration: 1,483 2036 Total in migration: 1,479 2035 Total in migration: 1,477 2034 Total in migration: 1,471 2033 Total in migration: 1,458 2032 Total in migration: 1,456 2031 Total in migration: 1,454 2030 Total in migration: 1,445 2029 Total in migration: 1,451 2028 Total in migration: 1,440 2027 Total in migration: 1,437 2026 Total in migration: 1,631 2025 Total in migration: 1,603 2024 Total in migration: 1,578 2023 Total in migration: 1,558 2022 Total in migration: 1,534 2021 Total in migration: 1,305 2020 Total in migration: 1,531 2019 Total in migration: 1,433 2018 Total in migration: 1,627 2017 Total in migration: 1,305
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
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