City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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North Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for North Precinct indicate a 35.9% increase in population under working age, a 54.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 33.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Maribyrnong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
North Precinct - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,2816.11,8256.42,7736.2+1,492
5 to 99394.51,2734.51,9354.4+996
10 to 148374.01,0573.71,6493.7+812
15 to 191,0545.01,5605.52,4095.4+1,355
20 to 242,30311.02,94010.44,50710.1+2,205
25 to 292,83713.63,57712.65,48712.3+2,649
30 to 342,49211.93,24411.44,93911.1+2,448
35 to 391,7548.42,4988.83,7928.5+2,038
40 to 441,4036.71,9136.72,9026.5+1,499
45 to 491,2736.11,6325.72,5725.8+1,300
50 to 541,1085.31,5395.42,3795.4+1,271
55 to 591,0635.11,4105.02,1634.9+1,099
60 to 647793.71,1334.01,7644.0+985
65 to 695822.89243.31,4563.3+874
70 to 743461.76472.31,1462.6+800
75 to 793071.54931.79562.2+649
80 to 842351.13121.17171.6+481
85 and over3291.64111.49262.1+597
Total persons20,923100.028,388100.044,472100.0+23,549

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 926 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 717 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 956 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 1,146 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,456 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,764 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 2,163 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 2,379 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 2,572 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 2,902 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 3,792 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 4,939 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 5,487 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 4,507 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 2,409 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,649 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,935 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 2,773 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 411 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 312 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 493 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 647 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 924 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,133 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,410 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,539 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,632 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,913 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,498 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 3,244 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 3,577 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 2,940 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,560 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,057 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,273 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,825 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 329 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 235 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 307 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 346 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 582 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 779 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,063 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,108 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,273 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,403 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,754 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,492 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,837 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 2,303 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,054 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 837 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 939 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,281
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 515 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 404 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 463 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 499 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 531 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 630 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 753 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 841 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 941 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 989 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 1,293 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 1,695 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 1,910 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 1,567 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 849 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 592 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 662 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 948 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 186 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 301 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 342 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 355 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 346 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 430 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 359 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 510 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 744 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 752 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 740 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 638 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 505 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 219 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 334 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 544
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in North Precinct was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 13.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 752 and account for 11.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 3,577 persons.

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