City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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East Precinct

Components of population change

The greatest population change for East Precinct is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 7,315 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
East PrecinctForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--8661,4732,0492,3682,624
Deaths--155278436598781
Natural increase/decrease--7111,1941,6121,7711,843
Net migration--3,3726,0313,3402,3612,043
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--175901652400

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 734 2040 forecast population change: 765 2039 forecast population change: 793 2038 forecast population change: 785 2037 forecast population change: 808 2036 forecast population change: 855 2035 forecast population change: 843 2034 forecast population change: 822 2033 forecast population change: 804 2032 forecast population change: 1,047 2031 forecast population change: 881 2030 forecast population change: 933 2029 forecast population change: 982 2028 forecast population change: 1,034 2027 forecast population change: 1,288 2026 forecast population change: 1,231 2025 forecast population change: 1,408 2024 forecast population change: 1,477 2023 forecast population change: 1,591 2022 forecast population change: 1,607 2021 forecast population change: 1,580 2020 forecast population change: 1,234 2019 forecast population change: 584 2018 forecast population change: 373 2017 forecast population change: 486
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 372 2040 Natural increase: 371 2039 Natural increase: 369 2038 Natural increase: 367 2037 Natural increase: 364 2036 Natural increase: 361 2035 Natural increase: 358 2034 Natural increase: 354 2033 Natural increase: 351 2032 Natural increase: 347 2031 Natural increase: 341 2030 Natural increase: 333 2029 Natural increase: 324 2028 Natural increase: 314 2027 Natural increase: 300 2026 Natural increase: 284 2025 Natural increase: 263 2024 Natural increase: 241 2023 Natural increase: 216 2022 Natural increase: 191 2021 Natural increase: 166 2020 Natural increase: 146 2019 Natural increase: 138 2018 Natural increase: 134 2017 Natural increase: 127 2041 Total deaths: 172 2040 Total deaths: 164 2039 Total deaths: 156 2038 Total deaths: 148 2037 Total deaths: 141 2036 Total deaths: 133 2035 Total deaths: 126 2034 Total deaths: 119 2033 Total deaths: 113 2032 Total deaths: 106 2031 Total deaths: 100 2030 Total deaths: 94 2029 Total deaths: 87 2028 Total deaths: 81 2027 Total deaths: 75 2026 Total deaths: 68 2025 Total deaths: 62 2024 Total deaths: 55 2023 Total deaths: 49 2022 Total deaths: 43 2021 Total deaths: 38 2020 Total deaths: 33 2019 Total deaths: 30 2018 Total deaths: 28 2017 Total deaths: 25 2041 Total births: 544 2040 Total births: 535 2039 Total births: 525 2038 Total births: 515 2037 Total births: 505 2036 Total births: 495 2035 Total births: 484 2034 Total births: 474 2033 Total births: 463 2032 Total births: 453 2031 Total births: 441 2030 Total births: 427 2029 Total births: 412 2028 Total births: 395 2027 Total births: 375 2026 Total births: 352 2025 Total births: 325 2024 Total births: 296 2023 Total births: 265 2022 Total births: 234 2021 Total births: 204 2020 Total births: 180 2019 Total births: 168 2018 Total births: 162 2017 Total births: 152 2041 Natural increase: 372 2040 Natural increase: 371 2039 Natural increase: 369 2038 Natural increase: 367 2037 Natural increase: 364 2036 Natural increase: 361 2035 Natural increase: 358 2034 Natural increase: 354 2033 Natural increase: 351 2032 Natural increase: 347 2031 Natural increase: 341 2030 Natural increase: 333 2029 Natural increase: 324 2028 Natural increase: 314 2027 Natural increase: 300 2026 Natural increase: 284 2025 Natural increase: 263 2024 Natural increase: 241 2023 Natural increase: 216 2022 Natural increase: 191 2021 Natural increase: 166 2020 Natural increase: 146 2019 Natural increase: 138 2018 Natural increase: 134 2017 Natural increase: 127 2041 Total deaths: 172 2040 Total deaths: 164 2039 Total deaths: 156 2038 Total deaths: 148 2037 Total deaths: 141 2036 Total deaths: 133 2035 Total deaths: 126 2034 Total deaths: 119 2033 Total deaths: 113 2032 Total deaths: 106 2031 Total deaths: 100 2030 Total deaths: 94 2029 Total deaths: 87 2028 Total deaths: 81 2027 Total deaths: 75 2026 Total deaths: 68 2025 Total deaths: 62 2024 Total deaths: 55 2023 Total deaths: 49 2022 Total deaths: 43 2021 Total deaths: 38 2020 Total deaths: 33 2019 Total deaths: 30 2018 Total deaths: 28 2017 Total deaths: 25 2041 Total births: 544 2040 Total births: 535 2039 Total births: 525 2038 Total births: 515 2037 Total births: 505 2036 Total births: 495 2035 Total births: 484 2034 Total births: 474 2033 Total births: 463 2032 Total births: 453 2031 Total births: 441 2030 Total births: 427 2029 Total births: 412 2028 Total births: 395 2027 Total births: 375 2026 Total births: 352 2025 Total births: 325 2024 Total births: 296 2023 Total births: 265 2022 Total births: 234 2021 Total births: 204 2020 Total births: 180 2019 Total births: 168 2018 Total births: 162 2017 Total births: 152
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 362 2040 Total net migration: 394 2039 Total net migration: 425 2038 Total net migration: 418 2037 Total net migration: 444 2036 Total net migration: 494 2035 Total net migration: 485 2034 Total net migration: 468 2033 Total net migration: 454 2032 Total net migration: 460 2031 Total net migration: 540 2030 Total net migration: 600 2029 Total net migration: 657 2028 Total net migration: 720 2027 Total net migration: 823 2026 Total net migration: 947 2025 Total net migration: 1,145 2024 Total net migration: 1,236 2023 Total net migration: 1,330 2022 Total net migration: 1,372 2021 Total net migration: 1,294 2020 Total net migration: 1,058 2019 Total net migration: 446 2018 Total net migration: 239 2017 Total net migration: 334 2041 Total out migration: 4,589 2040 Total out migration: 4,492 2039 Total out migration: 4,391 2038 Total out migration: 4,291 2037 Total out migration: 4,188 2036 Total out migration: 4,076 2035 Total out migration: 3,966 2034 Total out migration: 3,860 2033 Total out migration: 3,756 2032 Total out migration: 3,651 2031 Total out migration: 3,534 2030 Total out migration: 3,406 2029 Total out migration: 3,270 2028 Total out migration: 3,123 2027 Total out migration: 2,959 2026 Total out migration: 2,774 2025 Total out migration: 2,557 2024 Total out migration: 2,324 2023 Total out migration: 2,078 2022 Total out migration: 1,829 2021 Total out migration: 1,594 2020 Total out migration: 1,402 2019 Total out migration: 1,314 2018 Total out migration: 1,259 2017 Total out migration: 1,201 2041 Total in migration: 4,951 2040 Total in migration: 4,886 2039 Total in migration: 4,815 2038 Total in migration: 4,710 2037 Total in migration: 4,632 2036 Total in migration: 4,570 2035 Total in migration: 4,451 2034 Total in migration: 4,327 2033 Total in migration: 4,210 2032 Total in migration: 4,111 2031 Total in migration: 4,074 2030 Total in migration: 4,006 2029 Total in migration: 3,927 2028 Total in migration: 3,843 2027 Total in migration: 3,782 2026 Total in migration: 3,721 2025 Total in migration: 3,702 2024 Total in migration: 3,560 2023 Total in migration: 3,409 2022 Total in migration: 3,201 2021 Total in migration: 2,889 2020 Total in migration: 2,460 2019 Total in migration: 1,760 2018 Total in migration: 1,497 2017 Total in migration: 1,535 2041 Total net migration: 362 2040 Total net migration: 394 2039 Total net migration: 425 2038 Total net migration: 418 2037 Total net migration: 444 2036 Total net migration: 494 2035 Total net migration: 485 2034 Total net migration: 468 2033 Total net migration: 454 2032 Total net migration: 460 2031 Total net migration: 540 2030 Total net migration: 600 2029 Total net migration: 657 2028 Total net migration: 720 2027 Total net migration: 823 2026 Total net migration: 947 2025 Total net migration: 1,145 2024 Total net migration: 1,236 2023 Total net migration: 1,330 2022 Total net migration: 1,372 2021 Total net migration: 1,294 2020 Total net migration: 1,058 2019 Total net migration: 446 2018 Total net migration: 239 2017 Total net migration: 334 2041 Total out migration: 4,589 2040 Total out migration: 4,492 2039 Total out migration: 4,391 2038 Total out migration: 4,291 2037 Total out migration: 4,188 2036 Total out migration: 4,076 2035 Total out migration: 3,966 2034 Total out migration: 3,860 2033 Total out migration: 3,756 2032 Total out migration: 3,651 2031 Total out migration: 3,534 2030 Total out migration: 3,406 2029 Total out migration: 3,270 2028 Total out migration: 3,123 2027 Total out migration: 2,959 2026 Total out migration: 2,774 2025 Total out migration: 2,557 2024 Total out migration: 2,324 2023 Total out migration: 2,078 2022 Total out migration: 1,829 2021 Total out migration: 1,594 2020 Total out migration: 1,402 2019 Total out migration: 1,314 2018 Total out migration: 1,259 2017 Total out migration: 1,201 2041 Total in migration: 4,951 2040 Total in migration: 4,886 2039 Total in migration: 4,815 2038 Total in migration: 4,710 2037 Total in migration: 4,632 2036 Total in migration: 4,570 2035 Total in migration: 4,451 2034 Total in migration: 4,327 2033 Total in migration: 4,210 2032 Total in migration: 4,111 2031 Total in migration: 4,074 2030 Total in migration: 4,006 2029 Total in migration: 3,927 2028 Total in migration: 3,843 2027 Total in migration: 3,782 2026 Total in migration: 3,721 2025 Total in migration: 3,702 2024 Total in migration: 3,560 2023 Total in migration: 3,409 2022 Total in migration: 3,201 2021 Total in migration: 2,889 2020 Total in migration: 2,460 2019 Total in migration: 1,760 2018 Total in migration: 1,497 2017 Total in migration: 1,535
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
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