City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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Central Precinct

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Central Precinct is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,344 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Central PrecinctForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,7651,8291,8541,9091,940
Deaths--367411453503543
Natural increase/decrease--1,3971,4181,4001,4061,397
Net migration---173-96-275-500-806
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--02222029

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 121 2040 forecast population change: 122 2039 forecast population change: 120 2038 forecast population change: 114 2037 forecast population change: 143 2036 forecast population change: 114 2035 forecast population change: 154 2034 forecast population change: 215 2033 forecast population change: 213 2032 forecast population change: 211 2031 forecast population change: 222 2030 forecast population change: 249 2029 forecast population change: 255 2028 forecast population change: 270 2027 forecast population change: 152 2026 forecast population change: 173 2025 forecast population change: 195 2024 forecast population change: 234 2023 forecast population change: 323 2022 forecast population change: 418 2021 forecast population change: 446 2020 forecast population change: 184 2019 forecast population change: 244 2018 forecast population change: 218 2017 forecast population change: 133
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 279 2040 Natural increase: 279 2039 Natural increase: 279 2038 Natural increase: 280 2037 Natural increase: 281 2036 Natural increase: 282 2035 Natural increase: 282 2034 Natural increase: 281 2033 Natural increase: 280 2032 Natural increase: 280 2031 Natural increase: 280 2030 Natural increase: 280 2029 Natural increase: 279 2028 Natural increase: 279 2027 Natural increase: 281 2026 Natural increase: 283 2025 Natural increase: 284 2024 Natural increase: 285 2023 Natural increase: 284 2022 Natural increase: 282 2021 Natural increase: 277 2020 Natural increase: 279 2019 Natural increase: 279 2018 Natural increase: 280 2017 Natural increase: 282 2041 Total deaths: 111 2040 Total deaths: 110 2039 Total deaths: 109 2038 Total deaths: 107 2037 Total deaths: 106 2036 Total deaths: 104 2035 Total deaths: 102 2034 Total deaths: 101 2033 Total deaths: 99 2032 Total deaths: 97 2031 Total deaths: 95 2030 Total deaths: 92 2029 Total deaths: 90 2028 Total deaths: 89 2027 Total deaths: 87 2026 Total deaths: 86 2025 Total deaths: 84 2024 Total deaths: 83 2023 Total deaths: 81 2022 Total deaths: 78 2021 Total deaths: 76 2020 Total deaths: 75 2019 Total deaths: 73 2018 Total deaths: 72 2017 Total deaths: 71 2041 Total births: 390 2040 Total births: 389 2039 Total births: 388 2038 Total births: 387 2037 Total births: 386 2036 Total births: 386 2035 Total births: 384 2034 Total births: 382 2033 Total births: 379 2032 Total births: 377 2031 Total births: 375 2030 Total births: 373 2029 Total births: 370 2028 Total births: 368 2027 Total births: 368 2026 Total births: 368 2025 Total births: 368 2024 Total births: 367 2023 Total births: 365 2022 Total births: 360 2021 Total births: 353 2020 Total births: 354 2019 Total births: 352 2018 Total births: 352 2017 Total births: 354 2041 Natural increase: 279 2040 Natural increase: 279 2039 Natural increase: 279 2038 Natural increase: 280 2037 Natural increase: 281 2036 Natural increase: 282 2035 Natural increase: 282 2034 Natural increase: 281 2033 Natural increase: 280 2032 Natural increase: 280 2031 Natural increase: 280 2030 Natural increase: 280 2029 Natural increase: 279 2028 Natural increase: 279 2027 Natural increase: 281 2026 Natural increase: 283 2025 Natural increase: 284 2024 Natural increase: 285 2023 Natural increase: 284 2022 Natural increase: 282 2021 Natural increase: 277 2020 Natural increase: 279 2019 Natural increase: 279 2018 Natural increase: 280 2017 Natural increase: 282 2041 Total deaths: 111 2040 Total deaths: 110 2039 Total deaths: 109 2038 Total deaths: 107 2037 Total deaths: 106 2036 Total deaths: 104 2035 Total deaths: 102 2034 Total deaths: 101 2033 Total deaths: 99 2032 Total deaths: 97 2031 Total deaths: 95 2030 Total deaths: 92 2029 Total deaths: 90 2028 Total deaths: 89 2027 Total deaths: 87 2026 Total deaths: 86 2025 Total deaths: 84 2024 Total deaths: 83 2023 Total deaths: 81 2022 Total deaths: 78 2021 Total deaths: 76 2020 Total deaths: 75 2019 Total deaths: 73 2018 Total deaths: 72 2017 Total deaths: 71 2041 Total births: 390 2040 Total births: 389 2039 Total births: 388 2038 Total births: 387 2037 Total births: 386 2036 Total births: 386 2035 Total births: 384 2034 Total births: 382 2033 Total births: 379 2032 Total births: 377 2031 Total births: 375 2030 Total births: 373 2029 Total births: 370 2028 Total births: 368 2027 Total births: 368 2026 Total births: 368 2025 Total births: 368 2024 Total births: 367 2023 Total births: 365 2022 Total births: 360 2021 Total births: 353 2020 Total births: 354 2019 Total births: 352 2018 Total births: 352 2017 Total births: 354
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -158 2040 Total net migration: -157 2039 Total net migration: -159 2038 Total net migration: -165 2037 Total net migration: -167 2036 Total net migration: -168 2035 Total net migration: -128 2034 Total net migration: -66 2033 Total net migration: -68 2032 Total net migration: -69 2031 Total net migration: -59 2030 Total net migration: -31 2029 Total net migration: -25 2028 Total net migration: -31 2027 Total net migration: -129 2026 Total net migration: -110 2025 Total net migration: -89 2024 Total net migration: -51 2023 Total net migration: 17 2022 Total net migration: 137 2021 Total net migration: 168 2020 Total net migration: -94 2019 Total net migration: -35 2018 Total net migration: -63 2017 Total net migration: -149 2041 Total out migration: 2,791 2040 Total out migration: 2,781 2039 Total out migration: 2,769 2038 Total out migration: 2,760 2037 Total out migration: 2,752 2036 Total out migration: 2,743 2035 Total out migration: 2,729 2034 Total out migration: 2,706 2033 Total out migration: 2,683 2032 Total out migration: 2,660 2031 Total out migration: 2,636 2030 Total out migration: 2,608 2029 Total out migration: 2,579 2028 Total out migration: 2,552 2027 Total out migration: 2,541 2026 Total out migration: 2,528 2025 Total out migration: 2,512 2024 Total out migration: 2,490 2023 Total out migration: 2,457 2022 Total out migration: 2,408 2021 Total out migration: 2,360 2020 Total out migration: 2,347 2019 Total out migration: 2,333 2018 Total out migration: 2,317 2017 Total out migration: 2,327 2041 Total in migration: 2,634 2040 Total in migration: 2,624 2039 Total in migration: 2,610 2038 Total in migration: 2,595 2037 Total in migration: 2,585 2036 Total in migration: 2,576 2035 Total in migration: 2,601 2034 Total in migration: 2,640 2033 Total in migration: 2,615 2032 Total in migration: 2,591 2031 Total in migration: 2,577 2030 Total in migration: 2,577 2029 Total in migration: 2,554 2028 Total in migration: 2,521 2027 Total in migration: 2,411 2026 Total in migration: 2,418 2025 Total in migration: 2,423 2024 Total in migration: 2,439 2023 Total in migration: 2,474 2022 Total in migration: 2,544 2021 Total in migration: 2,529 2020 Total in migration: 2,253 2019 Total in migration: 2,298 2018 Total in migration: 2,255 2017 Total in migration: 2,178 2041 Total net migration: -158 2040 Total net migration: -157 2039 Total net migration: -159 2038 Total net migration: -165 2037 Total net migration: -167 2036 Total net migration: -168 2035 Total net migration: -128 2034 Total net migration: -66 2033 Total net migration: -68 2032 Total net migration: -69 2031 Total net migration: -59 2030 Total net migration: -31 2029 Total net migration: -25 2028 Total net migration: -31 2027 Total net migration: -129 2026 Total net migration: -110 2025 Total net migration: -89 2024 Total net migration: -51 2023 Total net migration: 17 2022 Total net migration: 137 2021 Total net migration: 168 2020 Total net migration: -94 2019 Total net migration: -35 2018 Total net migration: -63 2017 Total net migration: -149 2041 Total out migration: 2,791 2040 Total out migration: 2,781 2039 Total out migration: 2,769 2038 Total out migration: 2,760 2037 Total out migration: 2,752 2036 Total out migration: 2,743 2035 Total out migration: 2,729 2034 Total out migration: 2,706 2033 Total out migration: 2,683 2032 Total out migration: 2,660 2031 Total out migration: 2,636 2030 Total out migration: 2,608 2029 Total out migration: 2,579 2028 Total out migration: 2,552 2027 Total out migration: 2,541 2026 Total out migration: 2,528 2025 Total out migration: 2,512 2024 Total out migration: 2,490 2023 Total out migration: 2,457 2022 Total out migration: 2,408 2021 Total out migration: 2,360 2020 Total out migration: 2,347 2019 Total out migration: 2,333 2018 Total out migration: 2,317 2017 Total out migration: 2,327 2041 Total in migration: 2,634 2040 Total in migration: 2,624 2039 Total in migration: 2,610 2038 Total in migration: 2,595 2037 Total in migration: 2,585 2036 Total in migration: 2,576 2035 Total in migration: 2,601 2034 Total in migration: 2,640 2033 Total in migration: 2,615 2032 Total in migration: 2,591 2031 Total in migration: 2,577 2030 Total in migration: 2,577 2029 Total in migration: 2,554 2028 Total in migration: 2,521 2027 Total in migration: 2,411 2026 Total in migration: 2,418 2025 Total in migration: 2,423 2024 Total in migration: 2,439 2023 Total in migration: 2,474 2022 Total in migration: 2,544 2021 Total in migration: 2,529 2020 Total in migration: 2,253 2019 Total in migration: 2,298 2018 Total in migration: 2,255 2017 Total in migration: 2,178
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
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