City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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South West Precinct

Components of population change

The greatest population change for South West Precinct is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,208 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
South West PrecinctForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,4361,5621,7941,9482,008
Deaths--386393430470510
Natural increase/decrease--1,0491,1691,3641,4781,498
Net migration---22649844-67-663
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--00000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 139 2040 forecast population change: 120 2039 forecast population change: 117 2038 forecast population change: 193 2037 forecast population change: 266 2036 forecast population change: 240 2035 forecast population change: 241 2034 forecast population change: 306 2033 forecast population change: 306 2032 forecast population change: 317 2031 forecast population change: 370 2030 forecast population change: 369 2029 forecast population change: 444 2028 forecast population change: 440 2027 forecast population change: 585 2026 forecast population change: 487 2025 forecast population change: 356 2024 forecast population change: 362 2023 forecast population change: 393 2022 forecast population change: 221 2021 forecast population change: 188 2020 forecast population change: 297 2019 forecast population change: 233 2018 forecast population change: 179 2017 forecast population change: 130
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 297 2040 Natural increase: 299 2039 Natural increase: 301 2038 Natural increase: 301 2037 Natural increase: 300 2036 Natural increase: 299 2035 Natural increase: 299 2034 Natural increase: 297 2033 Natural increase: 294 2032 Natural increase: 290 2031 Natural increase: 285 2030 Natural increase: 282 2029 Natural increase: 274 2028 Natural increase: 267 2027 Natural increase: 256 2026 Natural increase: 247 2025 Natural increase: 241 2024 Natural increase: 234 2023 Natural increase: 225 2022 Natural increase: 222 2021 Natural increase: 218 2020 Natural increase: 213 2019 Natural increase: 210 2018 Natural increase: 205 2017 Natural increase: 203 2041 Total deaths: 105 2040 Total deaths: 103 2039 Total deaths: 102 2038 Total deaths: 101 2037 Total deaths: 99 2036 Total deaths: 98 2035 Total deaths: 96 2034 Total deaths: 93 2033 Total deaths: 92 2032 Total deaths: 91 2031 Total deaths: 90 2030 Total deaths: 88 2029 Total deaths: 86 2028 Total deaths: 84 2027 Total deaths: 82 2026 Total deaths: 81 2025 Total deaths: 79 2024 Total deaths: 78 2023 Total deaths: 78 2022 Total deaths: 77 2021 Total deaths: 78 2020 Total deaths: 77 2019 Total deaths: 75 2018 Total deaths: 78 2017 Total deaths: 79 2041 Total births: 402 2040 Total births: 402 2039 Total births: 403 2038 Total births: 402 2037 Total births: 399 2036 Total births: 396 2035 Total births: 394 2034 Total births: 390 2033 Total births: 386 2032 Total births: 381 2031 Total births: 375 2030 Total births: 369 2029 Total births: 360 2028 Total births: 352 2027 Total births: 338 2026 Total births: 327 2025 Total births: 320 2024 Total births: 312 2023 Total births: 303 2022 Total births: 299 2021 Total births: 296 2020 Total births: 289 2019 Total births: 285 2018 Total births: 283 2017 Total births: 282 2041 Natural increase: 297 2040 Natural increase: 299 2039 Natural increase: 301 2038 Natural increase: 301 2037 Natural increase: 300 2036 Natural increase: 299 2035 Natural increase: 299 2034 Natural increase: 297 2033 Natural increase: 294 2032 Natural increase: 290 2031 Natural increase: 285 2030 Natural increase: 282 2029 Natural increase: 274 2028 Natural increase: 267 2027 Natural increase: 256 2026 Natural increase: 247 2025 Natural increase: 241 2024 Natural increase: 234 2023 Natural increase: 225 2022 Natural increase: 222 2021 Natural increase: 218 2020 Natural increase: 213 2019 Natural increase: 210 2018 Natural increase: 205 2017 Natural increase: 203 2041 Total deaths: 105 2040 Total deaths: 103 2039 Total deaths: 102 2038 Total deaths: 101 2037 Total deaths: 99 2036 Total deaths: 98 2035 Total deaths: 96 2034 Total deaths: 93 2033 Total deaths: 92 2032 Total deaths: 91 2031 Total deaths: 90 2030 Total deaths: 88 2029 Total deaths: 86 2028 Total deaths: 84 2027 Total deaths: 82 2026 Total deaths: 81 2025 Total deaths: 79 2024 Total deaths: 78 2023 Total deaths: 78 2022 Total deaths: 77 2021 Total deaths: 78 2020 Total deaths: 77 2019 Total deaths: 75 2018 Total deaths: 78 2017 Total deaths: 79 2041 Total births: 402 2040 Total births: 402 2039 Total births: 403 2038 Total births: 402 2037 Total births: 399 2036 Total births: 396 2035 Total births: 394 2034 Total births: 390 2033 Total births: 386 2032 Total births: 381 2031 Total births: 375 2030 Total births: 369 2029 Total births: 360 2028 Total births: 352 2027 Total births: 338 2026 Total births: 327 2025 Total births: 320 2024 Total births: 312 2023 Total births: 303 2022 Total births: 299 2021 Total births: 296 2020 Total births: 289 2019 Total births: 285 2018 Total births: 283 2017 Total births: 282
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -158 2040 Total net migration: -179 2039 Total net migration: -184 2038 Total net migration: -108 2037 Total net migration: -34 2036 Total net migration: -58 2035 Total net migration: -58 2034 Total net migration: 10 2033 Total net migration: 12 2032 Total net migration: 27 2031 Total net migration: 85 2030 Total net migration: 87 2029 Total net migration: 170 2028 Total net migration: 172 2027 Total net migration: 330 2026 Total net migration: 240 2025 Total net migration: 115 2024 Total net migration: 127 2023 Total net migration: 167 2022 Total net migration: -1 2021 Total net migration: -30 2020 Total net migration: 84 2019 Total net migration: 23 2018 Total net migration: -26 2017 Total net migration: -73 2041 Total out migration: 2,074 2040 Total out migration: 2,067 2039 Total out migration: 2,062 2038 Total out migration: 2,048 2037 Total out migration: 2,027 2036 Total out migration: 2,009 2035 Total out migration: 1,991 2034 Total out migration: 1,965 2033 Total out migration: 1,939 2032 Total out migration: 1,913 2031 Total out migration: 1,880 2030 Total out migration: 1,847 2029 Total out migration: 1,805 2028 Total out migration: 1,763 2027 Total out migration: 1,703 2026 Total out migration: 1,654 2025 Total out migration: 1,619 2024 Total out migration: 1,586 2023 Total out migration: 1,547 2022 Total out migration: 1,527 2021 Total out migration: 1,514 2020 Total out migration: 1,481 2019 Total out migration: 1,458 2018 Total out migration: 1,444 2017 Total out migration: 1,443 2041 Total in migration: 1,916 2040 Total in migration: 1,889 2039 Total in migration: 1,878 2038 Total in migration: 1,940 2037 Total in migration: 1,993 2036 Total in migration: 1,951 2035 Total in migration: 1,934 2034 Total in migration: 1,975 2033 Total in migration: 1,951 2032 Total in migration: 1,940 2031 Total in migration: 1,965 2030 Total in migration: 1,935 2029 Total in migration: 1,974 2028 Total in migration: 1,935 2027 Total in migration: 2,032 2026 Total in migration: 1,894 2025 Total in migration: 1,735 2024 Total in migration: 1,714 2023 Total in migration: 1,714 2022 Total in migration: 1,526 2021 Total in migration: 1,484 2020 Total in migration: 1,566 2019 Total in migration: 1,481 2018 Total in migration: 1,419 2017 Total in migration: 1,369 2041 Total net migration: -158 2040 Total net migration: -179 2039 Total net migration: -184 2038 Total net migration: -108 2037 Total net migration: -34 2036 Total net migration: -58 2035 Total net migration: -58 2034 Total net migration: 10 2033 Total net migration: 12 2032 Total net migration: 27 2031 Total net migration: 85 2030 Total net migration: 87 2029 Total net migration: 170 2028 Total net migration: 172 2027 Total net migration: 330 2026 Total net migration: 240 2025 Total net migration: 115 2024 Total net migration: 127 2023 Total net migration: 167 2022 Total net migration: -1 2021 Total net migration: -30 2020 Total net migration: 84 2019 Total net migration: 23 2018 Total net migration: -26 2017 Total net migration: -73 2041 Total out migration: 2,074 2040 Total out migration: 2,067 2039 Total out migration: 2,062 2038 Total out migration: 2,048 2037 Total out migration: 2,027 2036 Total out migration: 2,009 2035 Total out migration: 1,991 2034 Total out migration: 1,965 2033 Total out migration: 1,939 2032 Total out migration: 1,913 2031 Total out migration: 1,880 2030 Total out migration: 1,847 2029 Total out migration: 1,805 2028 Total out migration: 1,763 2027 Total out migration: 1,703 2026 Total out migration: 1,654 2025 Total out migration: 1,619 2024 Total out migration: 1,586 2023 Total out migration: 1,547 2022 Total out migration: 1,527 2021 Total out migration: 1,514 2020 Total out migration: 1,481 2019 Total out migration: 1,458 2018 Total out migration: 1,444 2017 Total out migration: 1,443 2041 Total in migration: 1,916 2040 Total in migration: 1,889 2039 Total in migration: 1,878 2038 Total in migration: 1,940 2037 Total in migration: 1,993 2036 Total in migration: 1,951 2035 Total in migration: 1,934 2034 Total in migration: 1,975 2033 Total in migration: 1,951 2032 Total in migration: 1,940 2031 Total in migration: 1,965 2030 Total in migration: 1,935 2029 Total in migration: 1,974 2028 Total in migration: 1,935 2027 Total in migration: 2,032 2026 Total in migration: 1,894 2025 Total in migration: 1,735 2024 Total in migration: 1,714 2023 Total in migration: 1,714 2022 Total in migration: 1,526 2021 Total in migration: 1,484 2020 Total in migration: 1,566 2019 Total in migration: 1,481 2018 Total in migration: 1,419 2017 Total in migration: 1,369
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
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